Last 10 games
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Brown | 4 | 19 | 63% | +10.4% | medium |
| Jalen Johnson | 4 | 12 | 53% | +10.4% | medium |
| Paolo Banchero | 2 | 9 | 100% | +60.4% | low |
| Naji Marshall | 3 | 9 | 100% |
Noah Clowney is averaging 12.6 PPG, 4.2 RPG, and 1.7 APG on the season, but his recent production has cooled to 10.0 PPG over the last 5 and 11.0 over the last 10. His home splits are stronger than his away numbers, with 13.1 PPG at home versus 10.1 away, which helps in this Brooklyn spot. The matchup data leans mixed: his two games vs this opponent are only 8.5 PPG and 4.5 RPG, while the team’s pace and defense profile do not create a clear scoring boost. With minutes down to 24.4 recently from 27.7 on the season, the overall projection is more modest than his season-long averages.
He has specific defender matchup data available: Chet Holmgren has been credited with 5 points allowed, Luguentz Dort with 2, and Isaiah Hartenstein with 0 in the provided sample. Clowney’s own history vs this opponent is only 8.5 PPG and 4.5 RPG across 2 games, which is a notable drag versus his season baseline.
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Noah Clowney▼ | Points | 9.5 | OVER | 57%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 70% | 3 | ✗ |
Noah Clowney▼ | Rebounds | 3.5 | OVER | 55%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 40% | 2 | ✗ |
Noah Clowney▼ | Assists | 1.5 | OVER | 54%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 40% | 0 | ✗ |
Noah Clowney▼ | 3PM | 1.5 | OVER | 53%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 40% | 0 | ✗ |
Noah Clowney▼ | Blocks | 0.5 | OVER | 52%MEDIUM | — | 30% | 0 | ✗ |
Noah Clowney▼ | STL+BLK | 1.5 | UNDER | 56%MEDIUM | — | 80% | 0 | ✓ |
Noah Clowney▼ | P+R | 12.5 | OVER | 54%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 60% | 5 | ✗ |
Noah Clowney▼ | PRA | 14.5 | OVER | 51%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 60% | 5 | ✗ |
This line is below both his season scoring average of 12.6 and his last-10 average of 11.0. The recent downturn and reduced minutes limit the upside, but 9.5 is still a reachable number relative to his typical output.
| medium |
| Brandon Ingram | 3 | 8 | 42% | -1.1% | medium |
| Defender | Games | Min | PTS | FG% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chet Holmgren | 2 | 5 | 5 | 50% | 75% |
| Cason Wallace | 2 | 2 | 2 | 25% | 25% |
| Aaron Wiggins | 2 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 50% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | 1 | 1 | 6 | 75% | 75% |
| Jaylin Williams | 2 | 1 | 3 | 100% | 150% |
He averages 12.6 points on the season and 10.0 over the last 5, both above 9.5. The recent minute dip to 24.4 lowers ceiling, but the line still sits below both his season and recent scoring rates.
Clowney’s season average is 4.2 rebounds and his last 20 is also 4.2, giving him a small edge over 3.5. His recent 3.8 rebound average is close enough to keep this playable, though not high-confidence.
He’s at 1.7 APG for the season and 1.6 over the last 5, so a 1.5 line would be slightly favorable. The low-assist role keeps variance elevated, but the volume is still there.
He averages 2.05 threes per game on the season and 1.8 over the last 10, both above 1.5. The recent last-5 dip to 1.2 makes it less secure, but his season-long volume supports the over.
He averages 0.7 blocks per game on the season, which is above 0.5. The recent block rate is only 0.4 over the last 5, so this is more of a thin-volume play.
His season stocks average is 1.43 and his last 5 is 1.0, both below 1.5. With recent defensive play trending softer, the under has the cleaner edge.
Season points plus rebounds come out to 16.8, and even his last 5 combines to 13.8. The 12.5 line is below his typical production, though the recent minutes drop keeps confidence moderate.
His season PRA is 18.5 using the provided averages, and his last 5 is 15.4. That supports the over, but the downtrend and lower recent minutes make it more fragile.