AI Model:
PG
Andrew Nembhard▲
IND · PG
PPG
17.0
RPG
2.8
APG
7.3
L5 PPG
13.4
Last 10 GamesPTS
Season vs Last 5
Season Last 5
PPG-3.6
17.0
13.4
RPG-0.2
2.8
2.6
APG-1.1
7.3
6.2
SPG+0.5
0.9
1.4
BPG-0.1
0.1
0.0
OVER 16.5 PTS
Last 10 games
1
Current Streak
1
Longest Streak
UNDER
Streak Type
16.5
24
NYK
2026-02-10
2026-02-10 vs NYK: 24 pts
5
WAS
2026-02-19
2026-02-19 vs WAS: 5 pts
22
DAL
2026-02-22
2026-02-22 vs DAL: 22 pts
23
PHI
2026-02-24
2026-02-24 vs PHI: 23 pts
20
CHA
2026-02-26
2026-02-26 vs CHA: 20 pts
5
LAC
2026-03-04
2026-03-04 vs LAC: 5 pts
17
LAL
2026-03-06
2026-03-06 vs LAL: 17 pts
14
POR
2026-03-08
2026-03-08 vs POR: 14 pts
23
PHX
2026-03-12
2026-03-12 vs PHX: 23 pts
8
NYK
2026-03-13
2026-03-13 vs NYK: 8 pts
Over 16.5
Under 16.5
Last 10 games
Prop Confidence
PTS
OVER 16.5FANDUEL
70%
AST
OVER 6.5FANDUEL
65%
REB
OVER 2.5DRAFTKINGS
60%
3PM
OVER 1.5FANDUEL
68%
STL
OVER 0.5
75%
PRA
OVER 25.5FANDUEL
72%
P+A
OVER 22.5FANDUEL
70%
Home vs Away
Home
Away
PPG
18.4
14.9
RPG
2.9
3.3
APG
7.4
7.6
vs POR (H2H)5 games
PPG
12.8
RPG
4.2
APG
4.6
Defensive Matchup Profile
Top Defenders This Season
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desmond Bane | 3 | 21 | 56% | +5.8% | medium |
| Payton Pritchard | 4 | 19 | 38% | -6.7% | medium |
| Jalen Brunson | 3 | 17 | 63% | +14.1% | medium |
| Jaylen Brown | 3 | 15 | 53% |
Nembhard's Home Cooking: Pacers PG Primed for Solid Outing vs. Blazers
Andrew Nembhard returns home where he averages 18.4 PPG and 7.4 APG, a significant boost from his 14.9 PPG road splits. His recent form shows volatility, but the last 20-game trend is up, averaging 16.5 PPG and 7.5 APG. Facing a Portland defense ranked 117.35 in defensive rating, the matchup is favorable, though his historical averages vs. the Blazers (12.8 PPG, 4.6 APG) are below his season norms. The Pacers are on a back-to-back, but Nembhard's B2B assist average (9.5) suggests playmaking could remain elevated.
Stat Trends
PPG
13.4(↓ from 17.0)
APG
6.2(↓ from 7.3)
3PM
1.0(↓ from 1.9)
STOCKS
1.4(↑ from 1.0)
Key Matchup
Portland's defense ranks 117.35 in defensive rating, a favorable matchup. Key defender data shows Jrue Holiday has guarded Nembhard for 4.9 minutes per matchup, allowing 3 points on 50% shooting.
Prop Analysis
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Andrew Nembhard▼ | Points | 16.5 | OVER | 70%HIGH | 1/2 | 60% |
Andrew Nembhard▼ | Assists | 6.5 | OVER | 65%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 60% |
Andrew Nembhard▼ | Rebounds | 2.5 | OVER | 60%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 40% |
Andrew Nembhard▼ | 3PM | 1.5 | OVER | 68%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 60% |
Andrew Nembhard▼ | Steals | 0.5 | OVER | 75%HIGH | — | 80% |
Andrew Nembhard▼ | PRA | 25.5 | OVER | 72%HIGH | 1/2 | 50% |
Andrew Nembhard▼ | P+A | 22.5 | OVER | 70%HIGH | 2/2 | 70% |
ML Scout Analysis
PTS16UNDER17%gbt_pointsDecent Leg (12/20)UNDER 4x10/2050%Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW▼
P+R19OVER0%gbt_prDecent Leg (12/20)UNDER 3x10/2050%▼
REB2OVER24%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (11/20)9/2045%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼
PRA27.5UNDER38%gbt_praWeak Leg (11/20)10/2050%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼
P+A24.5OVER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (11/20)13/2065%▼
3PA6UNDER43%gbtWeak Leg (10/20)6/2030%Confidence moved MEDIUM to HIGH▼
AST8OVER37%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 4x9/2045%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼
3PM2UNDER53%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 10x6/2030%▼
FTA4UNDER7%gbtWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 2x9/2045%▼
R+A11UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (9/20)8/2040%▼
FTM3UNDER23%gbtWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 2x8/2040%▼
Featured Pick
Andrew Nembhard
Points OVER 16.5MEDIUM
Nembhard's strong home scoring split (18.4 PPG) and Portland's weak defensive rating create a favorable setup. While his last 5 average is down at 13.4 PPG, his season and home means are well above this line, and he's scored 17+ in 5 of his last 10 games.
This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.