Last 10 games
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Williams | 4 | 23 | 60% | +0.1% | medium |
| Zach Edey | 2 | 18 | 33% | -26.6% | low |
| Mitchell Robinson | 3 | 14 | 30% | -29.9% | medium |
| Bam Adebayo | 2 | 12 | 64% |
Ivica Zubac's production has cooled significantly over the last 10 games, averaging just 10.7 points and 9.2 rebounds on 25.8 minutes per game. His recent game logs show a clear trend of reduced playing time, with only one of his last five games exceeding 29 minutes. While the matchup against Portland's 117.35 defensive rating is favorable, his recent minutes ceiling and a concerning home split (8.2 PPG, 8.0 RPG) temper expectations. The Pacers are on a back-to-back, but Zubac's B2B splits show a slight uptick, offering a glimmer of hope for a rebound performance.
Portland's key defenders (Clingan, Grant, Avdija) have limited matchup data against Zubac, but the Blazers' overall 117.35 defensive rating suggests a favorable scoring environment for opposing bigs.
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ivica Zubac▼ | Points | 12.5 | UNDER | 70%HIGH | 2/2 | 80% | 18 | ✗ |
Ivica Zubac▼ | Rebounds | 7.5 | OVER | 65%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 50% | 8 | ✓ |
Ivica Zubac▼ | Assists | 2.5 | UNDER | 75%HIGH | 2/2 | 90% | 3 | ✗ |
Ivica Zubac▼ | PRA | 22.5 | UNDER | 70%HIGH | 2/2 | 80% | 29 | ✗ |
Ivica Zubac▼ | P+R | 20.5 | UNDER | 65%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 70% | 26 | ✗ |
Ivica Zubac▼ | R+A | 9.5 | OVER | 60%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 50% | 11 | ✓ |
Ivica Zubac▼ | Blocks | 0.5 | OVER | 60%MEDIUM | — | 40% | 1 | ✓ |
Ivica Zubac▼ | Steals | 0.5 | UNDER | 75%HIGH | — | 70% | 0 | ✓ |
Despite recent downtrends, Zubac's rebounding floor remains his most stable attribute. He's cleared 7.5 boards in 7 of his last 10 games, and his season average of 10.5 provides a significant buffer. The line is set low enough that even a modest 24-minute outing should yield 8+ rebounds against a middling Portland defense.
| low |
| Karl-Anthony Towns | 2 | 12 | 50% | -14.9% | low |
| Defender | Games | Min | PTS | FG% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Clingan | 2 | 9 | 24 | 75% | 92% |
| Robert Williams III | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Deni Avdija | 2 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 36% |
| Toumani Camara | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Hansen Yang | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
Zubac has averaged 9.6 PPG over his last 5 and only 8.2 PPG at home this season. His recent minutes reduction makes clearing this line a challenge.
Despite recent dips, his season average is 10.5 RPG and he's averaged 9.2 RPG over his last 10. The 7.5 line is low enough for him to clear even in limited minutes.
He's averaged only 1.6 APG over his last 10 games, well below this line. His recent assist distribution shows minimal upside.
His recent PRA average is approximately 21.3 (10.7 + 9.2 + 1.6). With his minutes down and home struggles, the under is the safer play.
His recent PR average is 19.9. The line is tight against his recent production, and his low home scoring (8.2 PPG) pushes this under.
His recent Rebounds + Assists average is 10.8. Even with a minutes dip, his rebounding floor should help him surpass this low line.
He's averaged 0.8 BPG over his last 5 and 0.7 over his last 20. His season average is 0.8, giving him a slight edge to record at least one block.
He's averaged only 0.3 SPG over his last 10 and has zero steals in 4 of his last 5 games. This is not a reliable category for him.