AI Model:

Jarace Walker▲

IND · SF

PPG

11.3

RPG

5.1

APG

2.4

L5 PPG

13.6

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+2.3

11.3

13.6

RPG+2.3

5.1

7.4

APG+1.2

2.4

3.6

SPG0.0

0.8

BPG-0.1

0.3

0.2

OVER 15.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

15.5

CHA

2026-02-26

2026-02-26 vs CHA: 16 pts

MEM

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs MEM: 21 pts

LAC

2026-03-04

2026-03-04 vs LAC: 17 pts

LAL

2026-03-06

2026-03-06 vs LAL: 10 pts

POR

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs POR: 14 pts

SAC

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs SAC: 8 pts

PHX

2026-03-12

2026-03-12 vs PHX: 12 pts

NYK

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs NYK: 18 pts

MIL

2026-03-15

2026-03-15 vs MIL: 14 pts

NYK

2026-03-17

2026-03-17 vs NYK: 16 pts

Over 15.5

Under 15.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

OVER 15.5DRAFTKINGS

70%

REB

OVER 6.5DRAFTKINGS

65%

AST

OVER 3.5DRAFTKINGS

60%

3PM

OVER 1.5DRAFTKINGS

75%

STL

UNDER 1.5DRAFTKINGS

70%

PRA

OVER 26.5DRAFTKINGS

68%

OVER 2.5

65%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

15.6

14.6

RPG

7.0

7.7

APG

3.2

3.9

vs POR (H2H)3 games

PPG

6.0

RPG

1.3

APG

0.7

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Brandon Ingram	4	14	59%	+14.2%	medium
Khris Middleton	2	11	64%	+15.0%	low
Bilal Coulibaly	3	8	50%	+7.9%	medium
Tristan da Silva	3	7	20%

Jarace Walker's Elevated Role and Hot Form Set for Home B2B Test vs. Blazers

Jarace Walker is in the midst of a significant statistical surge, averaging 13.6 PPG, 7.4 RPG, and 3.6 APG over his last five games while seeing his minutes jump to 33.0 MPG. He faces a Portland defense ranked 117.35 in defensive rating, which should provide ample scoring opportunities. However, the Pacers are on a back-to-back, and Walker's historical numbers against the Blazers (6.0 PPG in 3 games) are a notable counterpoint to his recent form.

Stat Trends

PPG

13.6(↑ from 11.3)

RPG

7.4(↑ from 5.1)

APG

3.6(↑ from 2.4)

3PM

1.8(→ from 1.7)

Key Matchup

Portland's primary matchup data shows Toumani Camara (4.9 min matchup) and Jerami Grant (2.0 min) as potential defenders, but sample sizes are small. The broader defensive context (117.35 rating) is the key factor.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Jarace Walker▼	Points	15.5	OVER	70%HIGH	1/2	50%	10	✗
Jarace Walker▼	Rebounds	6.5	OVER	65%MEDIUM	1/2	40%	7	✓
Jarace Walker▼	Assists	3.5	OVER	60%MEDIUM	1/2	40%	2	✗
Jarace Walker▼	3PM	1.5	OVER	75%HIGH	1/2	60%	2	✓
Jarace Walker▼	Steals	1.5	UNDER	70%HIGH	—	80%	1	✓
Jarace Walker▼	PRA	26.5	OVER	68%MEDIUM	1/2	30%	19	✗
Jarace Walker▼	Turnovers	2.5	OVER	65%MEDIUM	—	20%	1	✗

ML Scout Analysis

PTS15.5UNDER6%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (10/20)10/1953%▼

REB5.5OVER41%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (9/20)12/1963%▼

PRA25.5UNDER17%gbt_praWeak Leg (9/20)11/1958%▼

P+R22.5UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (8/20)8/1942%▼

P+A19OVER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (8/20)10/1953%▼

AST3.5UNDER19%gbt_assistsAvoid (6/20)10/1953%▼

3PM1.5OVER13%gbt_three_pmAvoid (6/20)OVER 7x13/1968%▼

R+A11UNDER0%gbt_raAvoid (6/20)UNDER 5x7/1937%▼

3PA5UNDER27%gbtAvoid (5/20)9/1947%▼

FTM2UNDER26%gbtAvoid (5/20)7/1937%▼

FTA3UNDER20%gbtAvoid (5/20)9/1947%▼

Featured Pick

Jarace Walker

Threes OVER 1.5HIGH

Walker is averaging 1.8 threes over his last five and 2.0 per game at home, with the shooting volume to support it. Portland allows a high rate of three-point success (0.759 suppression rating), making this his most reliable prop tonight.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Deni Avdija	2	6	6	100%	100%
Toumani Camara	2	6	8	43%	57%
Jerami Grant	2	5	3	50%	75%
Kris Murray	2	2	6	100%	150%
Scoot Henderson	2	2	0	0%	0%

pointsOVER 15.570%HIGH

Walker averages 15.6 PPG at home and 13.8 PPG recently, exceeding his season average of 11.3. The Blazers' poor defense (117.35 rating) supports an over, despite his low career average vs. POR.

reboundsOVER 6.565%MEDIUM

His recent rebounding is up (7.4 RPG last 5), and he's cleared 6.5 boards in 3 of his last 5 games. The B2B context is a minor concern, but his role and minutes support the over.

assistsOVER 3.560%MEDIUM

Walker's recent assist average is 3.6 APG, and he's hit 3+ assists in 4 of his last 5 games. The line is set at his recent mean, offering a slight edge for the over.

threesOVER 1.575%HIGH

He averages 1.8 3PM over his last 5 and 2.0 3PM at home. With a high volume role and Portland's weak three-point suppression (0.759), he's well-positioned to hit 2+ threes.

stealsUNDER 1.570%HIGH

Walker averages 0.8 SPG for the season and 0.8 SPG over his last 5. He has not recorded more than 1 steal in any of his last 5 games, making the over on this line a low-probability outcome.

praOVER 26.568%MEDIUM

His recent combined PRA average is 24.6 (13.6+7.4+3.6), and with increased minutes and a favorable matchup, he projects to exceed this total, as he has in 3 of his last 5 contests.

turnoversOVER 2.565%MEDIUM

Walker averages 2.2 TOPG over his last 5 and has a higher 3.0 TOPG in away splits. His increased usage and playmaking role in a B2B setting could lead to 3+ turnovers.

timelineOVER 15.5 PTS