AI Model:
PF
Jerami Grant▼
POR · PF
PPG
18.8
RPG
3.5
APG
2.3
L5 PPG
17.2
Last 10 GamesPTS
Season vs Last 5
Season Last 5
PPG-1.6
18.8
17.2
RPG-0.7
3.5
2.8
APG-0.3
2.3
2.0
SPG+0.3
0.7
1.0
BPG0.0
0.6
0.6
OVER 17.5 PTS
Last 10 games
1
Current Streak
1
Longest Streak
UNDER
Streak Type
17.5
27
CHI
2026-02-26
2026-02-26 vs CHI: 27 pts
21
CHA
2026-02-28
2026-02-28 vs CHA: 21 pts
4
ATL
2026-03-01
2026-03-01 vs ATL: 4 pts
30
MEM
2026-03-04
2026-03-04 vs MEM: 30 pts
21
HOU
2026-03-06
2026-03-06 vs HOU: 21 pts
21
IND
2026-03-08
2026-03-08 vs IND: 21 pts
24
CHA
2026-03-10
2026-03-10 vs CHA: 24 pts
9
UTA
2026-03-13
2026-03-13 vs UTA: 9 pts
20
PHI
2026-03-15
2026-03-15 vs PHI: 20 pts
12
BKN
2026-03-16
2026-03-16 vs BKN: 12 pts
Over 17.5
Under 17.5
Last 10 games
Prop Confidence
PTS
OVER 17.5FANDUEL
80%
REB
UNDER 3.5FANDUEL
65%
AST
UNDER 2.5
60%
3PM
OVER 2.5FANDUEL
75%
STL+BLK
UNDER 1.5
60%
PRA
OVER 24.5BETONLINEAG
70%
P+R
OVER 21.5FANDUEL
75%
Home vs Away
Home
Away
PPG
18.6
18.6
RPG
3.1
3.4
APG
1.8
2.1
vs IND (H2H)11 games
PPG
22.3
RPG
4.4
APG
2.5
Defensive Matchup Profile
Top Defenders This Season
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler III | 3 | 12 | 67% | +21.2% | medium |
| Julius Randle | 4 | 11 | 50% | -8.0% | medium |
| GG Jackson | 3 | 10 | 45% | -9.1% | medium |
| Jaden McDaniels | 4 | 10 | 90% |
Grant's Scoring Surge vs Pacers Sets Up Points OVER
Jerami Grant faces a Pacers defense he historically torches, averaging 22.3 PPG in 11 career meetings. His recent form shows volatility, but he dropped 21 points on them just 10 days ago. Indiana's league-worst 119.91 defensive rating and high pace create an ideal scoring environment. Grant's minutes are up to 32.3 MPG over his last 10, and his 3-point volume (2.9 3PM in last 10) remains high against a defense that struggles to suppress threes.
Stat Trends
PPG
17.2(↓ from 18.8)
3PM
3.4(↑ from 2.4)
PTS vs IND
21.0(→ from 22.3)
Key Matchup
Grant will primarily be defended by Pascal Siakam (13.6 matchup minutes, allowing 10 PPG on 33.3% FG). However, Grant scored 21 points on 6-10 FG vs this matchup just 10 days ago.
Prop Analysis
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jerami Grant▼ | Points | 17.5 | OVER | 80%HIGH | 1/2 | 70% | 8 | ✗ |
Jerami Grant▼ | Rebounds | 3.5 | UNDER | 65%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 70% | 3 | ✓ |
Jerami Grant▼ | Assists | 2.5 | UNDER | 60%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 70% | 1 | ✓ |
Jerami Grant▼ | 3PM | 2.5 | OVER | 75%HIGH | 1/2 | 60% | 0 | ✗ |
Jerami Grant▼ | STL+BLK | 1.5 | UNDER | 60%MEDIUM | — | 70% | 0 | ✓ |
Jerami Grant▼ | PRA | 24.5 | OVER | 70%HIGH | 1/2 | 40% | 12 | ✗ |
Jerami Grant▼ | P+R | 21.5 | OVER | 75%HIGH | 2/2 | 70% | 11 | ✗ |
ML Scout Analysis
P+A19OVER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 2x10/2050%▼
P+R21OVER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (9/20)11/2055%▼
R+A5UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 2x8/2040%▼
Featured Pick
Jerami Grant
Points OVER 17.5HIGH
Grant's historical dominance vs Indiana (22.3 PPG in 11 games) combined with their league-worst defense creates massive scoring upside. He's exceeded 17.5 points in 7 of last 10 games and gets increased minutes (32.3 MPG last 10). The line is set below both his season (18.8) and recent (18.9) averages.
This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.