AI Model:
PG
Jrue Holiday▼
POR · PG
PPG
16.3
RPG
4.6
APG
6.2
L5 PPG
13.2
Last 10 GamesPTS
Season vs Last 5
Season Last 5
PPG-3.1
16.3
13.2
RPG0.0
4.6
4.6
APG-1.6
6.2
4.6
SPG-0.6
1.2
0.6
BPG+0.3
0.1
0.4
OVER 15.5 PTS
Last 10 games
2
Current Streak
2
Longest Streak
UNDER
Streak Type
15.5
10
CHI
2026-02-26
2026-02-26 vs CHI: 10 pts
25
CHA
2026-02-28
2026-02-28 vs CHA: 25 pts
23
ATL
2026-03-01
2026-03-01 vs ATL: 23 pts
35
MEM
2026-03-04
2026-03-04 vs MEM: 35 pts
20
HOU
2026-03-06
2026-03-06 vs HOU: 20 pts
21
IND
2026-03-08
2026-03-08 vs IND: 21 pts
4
CHA
2026-03-10
2026-03-10 vs CHA: 4 pts
25
UTA
2026-03-13
2026-03-13 vs UTA: 25 pts
5
PHI
2026-03-15
2026-03-15 vs PHI: 5 pts
11
BKN
2026-03-16
2026-03-16 vs BKN: 11 pts
Over 15.5
Under 15.5
Last 10 games
Prop Confidence
PTS
OVER 15.5FANDUEL
70%
AST
OVER 5.5FANDUEL
65%
REB
OVER 4.5FANDUEL
75%
3PM
OVER 2.5FANDUEL
60%
PRA
OVER 26.5FANDUEL
70%
P+A
OVER 21.5FANDUEL
68%
Home vs Away
Home
Away
PPG
17.8
17.6
RPG
3.6
5.3
APG
5.0
6.0
vs IND (H2H)17 games
PPG
20.4
RPG
5.5
APG
7.6
Defensive Matchup Profile
Top Defenders This Season
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Randle | 4 | 10 | 59% | +9.0% | medium |
| Kawhi Leonard | 2 | 10 | 60% | +4.5% | low |
| Aaron Gordon | 3 | 10 | 40% | -5.5% | medium |
| Jamal Murray | 4 | 9 | 68% |
Jrue Holiday's Scoring Upside Meets Pacers' Porous Defense
Jrue Holiday's recent form has been volatile, with his last 5 games averaging just 13.2 PPG, but he's shown high-end scoring upside with a 35-point game earlier this month. He faces an Indiana defense that ranks 29th in defensive rating (119.91) and has historically struggled against him, as he averages 20.4 PPG in 17 career matchups. The Pacers are on a back-to-back, which could further compromise their defensive effort, and Holiday's recent minutes (30.2 MPG last 10) provide a solid floor for production.
Stat Trends
PPG
13.2(↓ from 16.3)
APG
4.6(↓ from 6.2)
RPG
4.6(→ from 4.6)
3PM
2.2(→ from 2.4)
Key Matchup
Holiday will see primary defense from Andrew Nembhard (14.6 MPG matchup, 17 pts allowed) and Aaron Nesmith (11.0 MPG, 19 pts allowed). Both have allowed efficient scoring, with Nesmith allowing 53.8% FG. The Pacers' overall poor defense and back-to-back fatigue create a favorable environment.
Prop Analysis
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jrue Holiday▼ | Points | 15.5 | OVER | 70%HIGH | 1/2 | 60% | 15 | ✗ |
Jrue Holiday▼ | Assists | 5.5 | OVER | 65%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 40% | 8 | ✓ |
Jrue Holiday▼ | Rebounds | 4.5 | OVER | 75%HIGH | 1/2 | 60% | 3 | ✗ |
Jrue Holiday▼ | 3PM | 2.5 | OVER | 60%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 50% | 4 | ✓ |
Jrue Holiday▼ | PRA | 26.5 | OVER | 70%HIGH | 1/2 | 60% | 26 | ✗ |
Jrue Holiday▼ | P+A | 21.5 | OVER | 68%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 60% | 23 | ✓ |
ML Scout Analysis
P+A23.5OVER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (10/20)OVER 3x11/2055%▼
PTS17UNDER23%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 3x10/2050%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼
AST5OVER4%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 2x9/2045%Prediction flipped UNDER to OVER; Scorecard changed +2.0▼
R+A10.5OVER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 2x10/2050%▼
P+R22OVER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 3x10/2050%▼
REB5UNDER42%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (8/20)5/2025%Confidence moved MEDIUM to HIGH▼
FTA1.5UNDER8%gbtWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 2x10/2050%▼
PRA26.5UNDER11%gbt_praWeak Leg (8/20)OVER 3x10/2050%▼
3PM3UNDER20%gbt_three_pmAvoid (7/20)OVER 3x8/2040%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER▼
3PA7.5UNDER12%gbtAvoid (7/20)OVER 3x10/2050%Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW▼
FTM1UNDER28%gbtAvoid (6/20)UNDER 2x8/2040%▼
Featured Pick
Jrue Holiday
Points OVER 15.5HIGH
Holiday's 20.4 PPG career average against Indiana is his highest against any opponent, and the Pacers own the league's 29th-ranked defense. Despite a recent cold stretch, the matchup and historical dominance are too compelling to ignore, especially with Portland playing on two days' rest.
This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.