AI Model:
SG
Kris Murray▲
POR · SG
PPG
5.9
RPG
3.8
APG
1.1
L5 PPG
3.4
Last 10 GamesPTS
Season vs Last 5
Season Last 5
PPG-2.5
5.9
3.4
RPG-1.2
3.8
2.6
APG-0.5
1.1
0.6
SPG-0.6
1.0
0.4
BPG-0.2
0.4
0.2
UNDER 5.5 PTS
Last 10 games
1
Current Streak
1
Longest Streak
OVER
Streak Type
5.5
1
DEN
2026-02-20
2026-02-20 vs DEN: 1 pts
6
PHX
2026-02-22
2026-02-22 vs PHX: 6 pts
16
MIN
2026-02-24
2026-02-24 vs MIN: 16 pts
10
CHI
2026-02-26
2026-02-26 vs CHI: 10 pts
2
CHA
2026-02-28
2026-02-28 vs CHA: 2 pts
0
ATL
2026-03-01
2026-03-01 vs ATL: 0 pts
3
IND
2026-03-08
2026-03-08 vs IND: 3 pts
0
CHA
2026-03-10
2026-03-10 vs CHA: 0 pts
0
UTA
2026-03-13
2026-03-13 vs UTA: 0 pts
14
BKN
2026-03-16
2026-03-16 vs BKN: 14 pts
Over 5.5
Under 5.5
Last 10 games
Prop Confidence
PTS
UNDER 5.5
65%
REB
UNDER 3.5
60%
AST
UNDER 1.5
70%
3PM
UNDER 0.5
55%
STL+BLK
UNDER 1.5
65%
Home vs Away
Home
Away
PPG
5.8
7.0
RPG
3.9
3.0
APG
1.2
1.1
vs IND (H2H)3 games
PPG
2.7
RPG
2.7
APG
0.0
Defensive Matchup Profile
Top Defenders This Season
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawhi Leonard | 3 | 10 | 33% | -12.4% | medium |
| Derik Queen | 3 | 8 | 67% | +21.0% | medium |
| Keegan Murray | 2 | 6 | 29% | -17.1% | low |
| Chaney Johnson | 2 | 6 | 100% |
Murray's Minutes Volatility Caps Upside in Pacers Matchup
Kris Murray's role has been inconsistent recently, with his minutes dropping to just 14.6 MPG over his last five games after averaging 22.6 MPG in his last 20. While he showed flashes with 14 points against Brooklyn on March 16, he followed that with three straight games of minimal production. The Pacers' fast pace (100) and poor defense (119.91 rating) could provide opportunities, but Murray's recent usage decline makes him a risky proposition. His season averages of 5.9 points and 3.8 rebounds reflect his limited offensive role in Portland's rotation.
Stat Trends
PPG
3.4(↓ from 5.9)
RPG
2.6(↓ from 3.8)
MPG
14.6(↓ from 24.0)
Key Matchup
The Pacers have three defenders who have matched up with Murray for minimal minutes: T.J. McConnell (1.5 minutes, 2 points allowed), Kobe Brown (1.4 minutes, 0 points), and Jarace Walker (1.2 minutes, 3 points). Indiana's poor defensive rating (119.91) suggests opportunities, but Murray's limited role reduces his exposure.
Prop Analysis
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kris Murray▼ | Points | 5.5 | UNDER | 65%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 60% | 8 | ✗ |
Kris Murray▼ | Rebounds | 3.5 | UNDER | 60%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 60% | 4 | ✗ |
Kris Murray▼ | Assists | 1.5 | UNDER | 70%HIGH | 2/2 | 80% | 4 | ✗ |
Kris Murray▼ | 3PM | 0.5 | UNDER | 55%MEDIUM | — | 70% | 2 | ✗ |
Kris Murray▼ | STL+BLK | 1.5 | UNDER | 65%MEDIUM | — | 60% | 0 | ✓ |
ML Scout Analysis
P+A7.5UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 2x7/1839%▼
PTS4UNDER6%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 2x9/1850%▼
AST1.5OVER7%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (9/20)9/1850%Prediction flipped UNDER to OVER▼
3PA1.5UNDER35%gbtWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 2x9/1850%Confidence moved HIGH to MEDIUM▼
PRA8.5UNDER24%gbt_praWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 2x9/1850%▼
R+A5UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 2x6/1833%▼
P+R9UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 2x7/1839%▼
REB3UNDER34%gbt_reboundsAvoid (7/20)UNDER 2x7/1839%▼
Featured Pick
Kris Murray
Points UNDER 5.5MEDIUM
Murray's minutes have cratered to 14.6 MPG in his last five, and he's scored 3 points or fewer in three of his last four games. His career averages against Indiana (2.7 PPG in 13.7 MPG) show limited success. With his role shrinking, expecting him to exceed his season average seems optimistic.
This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.