AI Model:
SG
Quenton Jackson▲
IND · SG
PPG
8.6
RPG
2.2
APG
2.3
L5 PPG
5.2
Last 10 GamesPTS
Season vs Last 5
Season Last 5
PPG-3.4
8.6
5.2
RPG+0.2
2.2
2.4
APG+1.1
2.3
3.4
SPG-0.4
0.6
0.2
BPG-0.2
0.2
0.0
OVER 8.5 PTS
Last 10 games
5
Current Streak
5
Longest Streak
UNDER
Streak Type
8.5
11
DAL
2026-02-22
2026-02-22 vs DAL: 11 pts
15
PHI
2026-02-24
2026-02-24 vs PHI: 15 pts
13
CHA
2026-02-26
2026-02-26 vs CHA: 13 pts
2
MEM
2026-03-01
2026-03-01 vs MEM: 2 pts
11
LAC
2026-03-04
2026-03-04 vs LAC: 11 pts
8
LAL
2026-03-06
2026-03-06 vs LAL: 8 pts
2
POR
2026-03-08
2026-03-08 vs POR: 2 pts
4
SAC
2026-03-10
2026-03-10 vs SAC: 4 pts
5
MIL
2026-03-15
2026-03-15 vs MIL: 5 pts
7
NYK
2026-03-17
2026-03-17 vs NYK: 7 pts
Over 8.5
Under 8.5
Last 10 games
Prop Confidence
PTS
OVER 8.5
70%
REB
OVER 2.5
60%
AST
OVER 2.5
65%
3PM
OVER 0.5
65%
STL+BLK
UNDER 0.5
60%
PRA
OVER 13.5
70%
Home vs Away
Home
Away
PPG
13.0
8.2
RPG
3.3
2.2
APG
2.6
2.8
vs POR (H2H)3 games
PPG
4.7
RPG
2.7
APG
2.7
Defensive Matchup Profile
Top Defenders This Season
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davion Mitchell | 2 | 9 | 67% | +18.8% | low |
| Stephen Curry | 1 | 7 | 25% | -27.9% | low |
| Ryan Rollins | 3 | 7 | 75% | +27.1% | medium |
| Collin Sexton | 2 | 6 | 0% |
Jackson's Home Cooking: Pacers Guard Primed for Home Bounce-Back
Quenton Jackson's production sees a dramatic home/away split, averaging 13.0 PPG at home versus just 8.2 PPG on the road. Tonight's game is at home, where his minutes (21.3 MPG) and scoring are elevated. While his last 5 games show a scoring dip (5.2 PPG), his last 20 (9.8 PPG) and recent home performances suggest a return to form is likely. Facing a Trail Blazers defense with a 117.35 rating, the matchup is favorable for offensive production.
Stat Trends
PPG
5.2(↓ from 8.6)
APG
3.4(↑ from 2.3)
RPG
2.4(→ from 2.2)
3PM
0.4(↓ from 0.9)
Key Matchup
Portland's defense ranks poorly (117.35 rating). Jackson has limited matchup data vs specific defenders, but Scoot Henderson has allowed 8 points in just 3 minutes of matchup time this season, indicating potential vulnerability.
Prop Analysis
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Quenton Jackson▼ | Points | 8.5 | OVER | 70%HIGH | 1/2 | 40% | 13 | ✓ |
Quenton Jackson▼ | Rebounds | 2.5 | OVER | 60%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 60% | 0 | ✗ |
Quenton Jackson▼ | Assists | 2.5 | OVER | 65%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 60% | 6 | ✓ |
Quenton Jackson▼ | 3PM | 0.5 | OVER | 65%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 50% | 0 | ✗ |
Quenton Jackson▼ | STL+BLK | 0.5 | UNDER | 60%MEDIUM | — | 70% | 2 | ✗ |
Quenton Jackson▼ | PRA | 13.5 | OVER | 70%HIGH | 1/2 | 50% | 19 | ✓ |
ML Scout Analysis
PTS14.5UNDER34%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (10/20)OVER 2x4/1921%+21.3% edge▼
PRA21.5UNDER33%gbt_praWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 2x3/1916%+30.1% edge▼
P+R12.5UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 2x8/1942%▼
REB3.5UNDER50%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (8/20)6/1932%▼
FTM2UNDER40%gbtWeak Leg (8/20)6/1932%▼
AST4.5UNDER13%gbt_assistsAvoid (7/20)7/1937%▼
FTA2UNDER11%gbtAvoid (7/20)OVER 2x7/1937%▼
R+A6.5UNDER0%gbt_raAvoid (7/20)OVER 3x7/1937%▼
P+A13OVER0%gbt_paAvoid (7/20)OVER 3x10/1953%▼
3PA2UNDER24%gbtAvoid (6/20)OVER 2x9/1947%▼
Featured Pick
Quenton Jackson
Points OVER 8.5MEDIUM
Jackson's pronounced home/away split is the key driver. He scores 5+ PPG more at home, and his recent 5-game slump is an outlier compared to his stronger 10 and 20-game trends. Facing a weak defense at home, he is well-positioned to exceed his modest season scoring average.
This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.