AI Model:

Scoot Henderson▼

POR · PG

PPG

13.9

RPG

2.8

APG

4.0

L5 PPG

19.4

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+5.5

13.9

19.4

RPG-0.2

2.8

2.6

APG-0.8

4.0

3.2

SPG+0.2

0.4

0.6

BPG+0.2

0.4

0.6

OVER 14.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

14.5

CHI

2026-02-26

2026-02-26 vs CHI: 12 pts

CHA

2026-02-28

2026-02-28 vs CHA: 8 pts

ATL

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs ATL: 11 pts

MEM

2026-03-04

2026-03-04 vs MEM: 8 pts

HOU

2026-03-06

2026-03-06 vs HOU: 4 pts

IND

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs IND: 28 pts

CHA

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs CHA: 17 pts

UTA

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs UTA: 25 pts

PHI

2026-03-15

2026-03-15 vs PHI: 11 pts

BKN

2026-03-16

2026-03-16 vs BKN: 16 pts

Over 14.5

Under 14.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

OVER 14.5DRAFTKINGS

70%

AST

UNDER 3.5FANDUEL

65%

REB

OVER 2.5DRAFTKINGS

75%

3PM

OVER 1.5FANDUEL

70%

PRA

OVER 21.5FANDUEL

68%

P+A

OVER 18.5FANDUEL

72%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

16.7

10.9

RPG

3.2

2.2

APG

5.1

3.6

vs IND (H2H)5 games

PPG

17.0

RPG

3.6

APG

4.4

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Christian Braun	3	10	58%	+8.2%	medium
Ayo Dosunmu	3	8	75%	+24.9%	medium
VJ Edgecombe	2	7	20%	-21.8%	low
Javon Small	2	5	50%

Scoot Henderson's Away Struggles Clash with Pacers' Porous Defense

Scoot Henderson is in a volatile stretch, averaging 19.4 PPG in his last 5 but showing a 'down' trend overall. His splits are the story: he averages 16.7 PPG at home but just 10.9 PPG on the road, and tonight's game is in Indiana. However, he just dropped 28 points on the Pacers a week ago, and Indiana's league-worst defense (119.91 rating) presents a major opportunity. With a 23-minute role and high variance, his output hinges on his three-point shot falling in an unfavorable road environment.

Stat Trends

PPG

19.4(↑ from 13.9)

APG

3.2(↓ from 4.0)

3PM

3.4(↑ from 1.9)

Key Matchup

The Pacers' primary matchup data shows T.J. McConnell (8.0 min) as the most frequent defender, but Henderson has historically thrived against this opponent, averaging 17 PPG. Indiana's overall defensive rating of 119.91 (league-worst) is the key factor, not a specific lockdown defender.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Scoot Henderson▼	Points	14.5	OVER	70%HIGH	2/2	40%	9	✗
Scoot Henderson▼	Assists	3.5	UNDER	65%MEDIUM	2/2	60%	5	✗
Scoot Henderson▼	Rebounds	2.5	OVER	75%HIGH	1/2	50%	3	✓
Scoot Henderson▼	3PM	1.5	OVER	70%HIGH	1/2	50%	1	✗
Scoot Henderson▼	PRA	21.5	OVER	68%MEDIUM	1/2	20%	17	✗
Scoot Henderson▼	P+A	18.5	OVER	72%HIGH	1/2	30%	14	✗

ML Scout Analysis

P+A17.5UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (9/20)7/2035%▼

REB3UNDER65%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 12x1/205%▼

3PM1.5UNDER19%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (8/20)OVER 3x10/2050%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER▼

PRA18.5UNDER9%gbt_praWeak Leg (8/20)10/2050%Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW▼

R+A6UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 3x8/2040%▼

P+R17UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (8/20)7/2035%▼

PTS13UNDER13%gbt_pointsAvoid (7/20)OVER 4x9/2045%▼

AST3UNDER15%gbt_assistsAvoid (7/20)UNDER 3x8/2040%Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW▼

3PA5UNDER28%gbtAvoid (7/20)8/2040%▼

FTA2.5UNDER8%gbtAvoid (7/20)UNDER 3x10/2050%▼

FTM2UNDER38%gbtAvoid (6/20)UNDER 3x7/2035%▼

Featured Pick

Scoot Henderson

Points OVER 14.5MEDIUM

While Henderson's road splits are concerning (10.9 PPG), his recent form (19.4 PPG last 5) and specific success against the Pacers (17.0 PPG career, 28 last meeting) are compelling. Indiana's pace and terrible defense create a perfect bounce-back spot for his scoring, even in an away game.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
T.J. McConnell	2	4	2	50%	50%
Quenton Jackson	2	3	2	25%	25%
Ben Sheppard	2	3	3	50%	75%
Andrew Nembhard	1	2	1	0%	0%
Kobe Brown	2	1	0	0%	0%

pointsOVER 14.570%HIGH

Henderson averages 17.0 PPG in 5 career games vs IND, including 28 on March 8. Despite poor road splits, the Pacers' terrible defense (119.91 rating) and his recent hot streak (19.4 PPG last 5) support the over.

assistsUNDER 3.565%MEDIUM

His assist average is down to 3.2 over the last 5 games and 3.4 on the road this season. The line is tight to his recent production, and he's gone under 3.5 assists in 3 of his last 5 games.

reboundsOVER 2.575%HIGH

He averages 2.8 RPG for the season and has cleared 2.5 rebounds in 12 of his 17 games. His role and minutes are stable enough to expect 3+ boards against a fast-paced Pacers team.

threesOVER 1.570%HIGH

He's made 2+ threes in 4 of his last 5 games, averaging 3.4 3PM in that span. Indiana allows a high volume of threes (-0.554 suppression), and he hit 3 against them last week.

praOVER 21.568%MEDIUM

His season PRA average is 20.7, but he's averaged 25.2 over his last 5. His history vs IND (25.0 PRA average) and the favorable matchup push this over a reasonable line.

paOVER 18.572%HIGH

He combines for 17.2 P+A on the season, but that jumps to 22.6 over his last 5. His scoring upside against the Pacers' weak defense makes this combined line very achievable.

timelineOVER 14.5 PTS