AI Model:
SG
T.J. McConnell▲
IND · SG
PPG
9.3
RPG
2.2
APG
4.9
L5 PPG
9.0
Last 10 GamesPTS
Season vs Last 5
Season Last 5
PPG-0.3
9.3
9.0
RPG+0.4
2.2
2.6
APG+1.9
4.9
6.8
SPG-0.4
1.0
0.6
BPG-0.2
0.2
0.0
UNDER 9.5 PTS
Last 10 games
1
Current Streak
1
Longest Streak
OVER
Streak Type
9.5
9
WAS
2026-02-20
2026-02-20 vs WAS: 9 pts
7
PHI
2026-02-24
2026-02-24 vs PHI: 7 pts
9
CHA
2026-02-26
2026-02-26 vs CHA: 9 pts
8
MEM
2026-03-01
2026-03-01 vs MEM: 8 pts
6
LAC
2026-03-04
2026-03-04 vs LAC: 6 pts
10
LAL
2026-03-06
2026-03-06 vs LAL: 10 pts
6
POR
2026-03-08
2026-03-08 vs POR: 6 pts
10
NYK
2026-03-13
2026-03-13 vs NYK: 10 pts
9
MIL
2026-03-15
2026-03-15 vs MIL: 9 pts
10
NYK
2026-03-17
2026-03-17 vs NYK: 10 pts
Over 9.5
Under 9.5
Last 10 games
Prop Confidence
PTS
UNDER 9.5STAKE
60%
REB
OVER 2.5STAKE
55%
AST
OVER 4.5STAKE
70%
STL
OVER 0.5STAKE
65%
P+A
OVER 14.5STAKE
68%
P+R
OVER 12.5STAKE
62%
Home vs Away
Home
Away
PPG
7.6
9.0
RPG
2.0
2.1
APG
4.7
4.8
vs POR (H2H)9 games
PPG
7.1
RPG
3.4
APG
4.2
Defensive Matchup Profile
Top Defenders This Season
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Rollins | 2 | 10 | 50% | -3.8% | low |
| Jase Richardson | 3 | 9 | 60% | +6.2% | medium |
| Craig Porter Jr. | 3 | 8 | 33% | -20.5% | medium |
| Jose Alvarado | 3 | 8 | 100% |
McConnell's Assist Upside Shines in Home Matchup
T.J. McConnell's playmaking has been trending upward, averaging 6.8 assists over his last 5 games on increased minutes (20.6 MPG). He faces a Trail Blazers defense that ranks 28th in defensive rating (117.35), which should create ample opportunities for his distribution. While his scoring is steady (9.0 PPG last 5), his assist volume and recent double-digit assist performances make him a strong candidate to exceed his season averages in a favorable home matchup.
Stat Trends
PPG
9.0(→ from 9.3)
APG
6.8(↑ from 4.9)
RPG
2.6(↑ from 2.2)
SPG
0.6(↓ from 1.0)
Key Matchup
Faces Scoot Henderson (7.4 matchup minutes, allows 10 pts on 50% FG) in primary matchup. Trail Blazers have league-worst 117.35 defensive rating, creating favorable conditions for McConnell's playmaking.
Prop Analysis
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
T.J. McConnell▼ | Points | 9.5 | UNDER | 60%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 70% | 7 | ✓ |
T.J. McConnell▼ | Rebounds | 2.5 | OVER | 55%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 40% | 5 | ✓ |
T.J. McConnell▼ | Assists | 4.5 | OVER | 70%HIGH | 2/2 | 60% | 10 | ✓ |
T.J. McConnell▼ | Steals | 0.5 | OVER | 65%MEDIUM | — | 50% | 1 | ✓ |
T.J. McConnell▼ | P+A | 14.5 | OVER | 68%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 40% | 17 | ✓ |
T.J. McConnell▼ | P+R | 12.5 | OVER | 62%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 20% | 12 | ✗ |
ML Scout Analysis
P+R11UNDER0%logisticDecent Leg (12/20)8/2040%Scorecard changed +3.0▼
R+A8UNDER0%logisticWeak Leg (10/20)8/2040%Scorecard changed +3.0▼
P+A14.5OVER0%logisticWeak Leg (10/20)10/2050%Scorecard changed +3.0▼
Featured Pick
T.J. McConnell
Assists OVER 4.5MEDIUM
McConnell's assist trend is sharply up (6.8 last 5) with recent double-digit performances. The Blazers' poor defense (117.35 rating) and his 4.2 APG career average against them support continued distribution success. Minutes have increased to 20.6 MPG last 5, further boosting his opportunity.
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