AI Model:

Toumani Camara▲

POR · SG

PPG

12.7

RPG

5.3

APG

2.5

L5 PPG

9.6

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-3.1

12.7

9.6

RPG+0.1

5.3

5.4

APG+0.5

2.5

3.0

SPG-0.3

1.1

0.8

BPG+0.2

0.4

0.6

UNDER 12.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

12.5

CHI

2026-02-26

2026-02-26 vs CHI: 16 pts

CHA

2026-02-28

2026-02-28 vs CHA: 12 pts

ATL

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs ATL: 9 pts

MEM

2026-03-04

2026-03-04 vs MEM: 9 pts

HOU

2026-03-06

2026-03-06 vs HOU: 16 pts

IND

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs IND: 7 pts

CHA

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs CHA: 11 pts

UTA

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs UTA: 5 pts

PHI

2026-03-15

2026-03-15 vs PHI: 7 pts

BKN

2026-03-16

2026-03-16 vs BKN: 18 pts

Over 12.5

Under 12.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 12.5DRAFTKINGS

70%

REB

UNDER 5.5DRAFTKINGS

60%

AST

OVER 2.5BETONLINEAG

65%

3PM

UNDER 2.5DRAFTKINGS

75%

STL+BLK

OVER 1.5

70%

PRA

UNDER 19.5DRAFTKINGS

65%

P+A

OVER 14.5DRAFTKINGS

60%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

12.2

RPG

5.4

5.9

APG

2.4

2.5

vs IND (H2H)5 games

PPG

7.4

RPG

5.6

APG

1.2

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Kevin Durant	4	33	59%	+10.5%	medium
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	4	24	69%	+21.5%	medium
Stephen Curry	4	21	61%	+3.4%	medium
Jaylen Brown	2	21	68%

Camara's Volume Role Faces Tough Pacers Defense

Toumani Camara's production has been inconsistent recently, averaging 9.6 PPG over his last 5 games despite maintaining solid rebounding and assist numbers. His matchup against Indiana is concerning as he's averaged just 7.4 PPG in 5 career games against them, including 7 points in their meeting 8 days ago. While Camara continues to see heavy minutes (33.3 MPG season), Indiana's fast pace and poor defense (120.14 defensive rating) could create opportunities, but his shooting struggles (42.2% FG) and low historical output vs this opponent temper expectations.

Stat Trends

PPG

9.6(↓ from 12.7)

RPG

5.4(→ from 5.3)

APG

3.0(↑ from 2.5)

3PM

1.6(↓ from 2.5)

Key Matchup

Indiana's defense ranks poorly (120.14 defensive rating) but Camara has historically struggled against them, averaging just 7.4 PPG in 5 career meetings. Key defenders include Andrew Nembhard (3.0 minutes matchup), Jarace Walker (2.5 minutes), and Aaron Nesmith (2.1 minutes), though sample sizes are small.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Toumani Camara▼	Points	12.5	UNDER	70%HIGH	1/2	70%	17	✗
Toumani Camara▼	Rebounds	5.5	UNDER	60%MEDIUM	2/2	60%	2	✓
Toumani Camara▼	Assists	2.5	OVER	65%MEDIUM	2/2	40%	1	✗
Toumani Camara▼	3PM	2.5	UNDER	75%HIGH	2/2	70%	3	✗
Toumani Camara▼	STL+BLK	1.5	OVER	70%HIGH	—	50%	1	✗
Toumani Camara▼	PRA	19.5	UNDER	65%MEDIUM	2/2	50%	20	✗
Toumani Camara▼	P+A	14.5	OVER	60%MEDIUM	1/2	30%	18	✓

ML Scout Analysis

P+A16.5OVER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (10/20)OVER 4x10/2050%▼

AST2UNDER59%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 4x6/2030%Confidence moved MEDIUM to HIGH▼

PRA20OVER14%gbt_praWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 4x9/2045%Prediction flipped UNDER to OVER; Scorecard changed +2.0▼

PTS14UNDER12%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (8/20)OVER 4x10/2050%▼

3PM2.5UNDER8%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (8/20)OVER 4x10/2050%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER▼

FTM1.5UNDER26%gbtWeak Leg (8/20)10/2050%▼

R+A7UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 3x7/2035%▼

P+R19.5UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (8/20)OVER 4x9/2045%▼

REB5UNDER25%gbt_reboundsAvoid (7/20)UNDER 2x6/2030%▼

FTA2UNDER30%gbtAvoid (7/20)UNDER 3x6/2030%▼

STL1UNDER52%gbt_stealsAvoid (6/20)8/2040%Confidence moved MEDIUM to HIGH▼

3PA7UNDER13%gbtAvoid (6/20)OVER 4x9/2045%▼

Featured Pick

Toumani Camara

Points UNDER 12.5MEDIUM

Camara's scoring has declined to 9.6 PPG over his last 5 games, and his career numbers against Indiana are abysmal (7.4 PPG in 5 games). He scored just 7 points against them 8 days ago, and with his inconsistent shooting (42.2% FG), the under offers solid value despite Indiana's poor team defense.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Pascal Siakam	1	4	3	100%	100%
Jarace Walker	2	3	0	0%	0%
Andrew Nembhard	1	3	3	100%	150%
T.J. McConnell	1	2	0	0%	0%
Quenton Jackson	1	2	2	100%	100%

pointsUNDER 12.570%HIGH

Camara averages just 7.4 PPG in 5 career games vs Indiana and has scored under 12.5 in 7 of his last 10 games, including 7 points against this same opponent on March 8.

reboundsUNDER 5.560%MEDIUM

While his season average is 5.3 RPG, he's hit exactly 5 rebounds in 3 of last 5 games and Indiana's pace doesn't guarantee extra rebounding opportunities given his role.

assistsOVER 2.565%MEDIUM

Camara has averaged 3.0 APG over his last 5 games and Indiana's fast pace (100 pace) should create more assist opportunities in transition.

threesUNDER 2.575%HIGH

He's made 2+ threes in only 2 of his last 10 games, averaging just 1.9 3PM over that stretch despite taking 7.7 attempts per game at 34.6% efficiency.

stocksOVER 1.570%HIGH

Camara averages 1.5 stocks seasonally and 1.9 over his last 10 games, with Indiana's high-turnover style (fast pace) creating more steal opportunities.

praUNDER 19.565%MEDIUM

His P+R+A projection based on recent form (9.6+5.4+3.0 = 18.0) falls below this line, and his poor scoring history vs Indiana (7.4 PPG) makes 19.5 challenging.

paOVER 14.560%MEDIUM

Even with scoring concerns, his assist upside (3.0 APG last 5) combined with modest scoring should push him over this low combined line.

timelineUNDER 12.5 PTS