Last 10 games
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayan Rupert | 2 | 6 | 57% | -11.1% | low |
| Jaylin Williams | 3 | 5 | 0% | -54.0% | medium |
| LeBron James | 1 | 5 | 0% | -54.0% | low |
| Bobby Portis | 1 | 5 | 79% | +3.1% |
Leonard Miller’s form is trending sharply up: he’s at 11.2 PPG, 7.0 RPG, and 1.4 APG over his last 5 games after a season line of 4.8/2.7/0.6, with minutes jumping from 10.7 season-long to 26.8 recently. He’s cleared the injury report and has produced 10+ points in 4 of his last 5, while also contributing rebounds and stocks at a much higher rate than his season baseline. The matchup context is usable, with Toronto allowing a neutral-to-favorable scoring environment and no specific defender matchup data provided. With multiple books posting points at 10.5-11.5 and his recent production well above that range, his scoring prop stands out most.
No specific defender matchup data is available, so the read is based on the broader team environment only. Toronto’s opponent profile shows a def_rating of 111.88 with pace at 100, which does not point to a major slowdown, and the provided data does not suggest a strong suppression spot for Miller.
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Leonard Miller▼ | Points | 10.5 | OVER | 78%HIGH | 2/2 | 50% | 13 | ✓ |
Leonard Miller▼ | Rebounds | 6.5 | OVER | 71%HIGH | 1/2 | 50% | 4 | ✗ |
Leonard Miller▼ | Assists | 0.5 | OVER | 58%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 60% | 0 | ✗ |
Leonard Miller▼ | 3PM | 1.5 | OVER | 56%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 30% | 1 | ✗ |
Leonard Miller▼ | Blocks | 0.5 | OVER | 60%MEDIUM | — | 50% | 0 | ✗ |
Leonard Miller▼ | STL+BLK | 1.5 | UNDER | 62%MEDIUM | — | 50% | 0 | ✓ |
Leonard Miller▼ | P+R | 17.5 | UNDER | 55%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 60% | 17 | ✓ |
Leonard Miller▼ | P+A | 12.5 | OVER | 68%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 50% | 13 | ✓ |
This is the cleanest angle because his recent scoring is 11.2 PPG over the last 5 and 10.3 over the last 10, both far above his 4.8 season average. With minutes up to 26.8 recently and books hanging 10.5-11.5, the over is better aligned with current usage than season-long production.
| low |
| Gui Santos | 2 | 5 | 43% | -11.1% | low |
| Defender | Games | Min | PTS | FG% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottie Barnes | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0% | 0% |
| Jamison Battle | 1 | 2 | 3 | 50% | 75% |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 1 | 1 | 5 | 100% | 125% |
| Brandon Ingram | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0% | 0% |
| RJ Barrett | 1 | 1 | 6 | 100% | 100% |
DraftKings has 10.5 and his last 5 games are at 11.2 PPG with 4 straight double-digit scoring outings. His recent minutes at 26.8 are well above his 10.7 season average, giving the over support.
He’s averaging 7.0 RPG over the last 5 compared with 2.7 RPG for the season. The recent role boost makes 6.5 a reachable number despite the lower season baseline.
His season mean is 0.59 and last 5 average is 1.4 APG, so he’s been clearing low assist thresholds more often lately. Variance is high, so this is a lighter lean than points or rebounds.
He’s at 0.8 FG3M per game over the last 5 and 1.0 over the last 10, versus 0.34 for the season. The volume is still modest, so the hit rate is less secure than the scoring prop.
He averages 0.3 blocks for the season but 0.6 over the last 5 and 0.8 over the last 10. That recent spike makes 0.5 a playable over, though the season volatility is meaningful.
Season stocks are only 0.56 and even with the recent surge he’s at 1.4 over the last 5 and 1.3 over the last 10. That’s close, but the season mean still sits below a 1.5 threshold.
His last 5 points plus rebounds average is 18.2, but this prop is right on the edge with multiple books at 17.5. Because rebounds are the cleaner path than points here, this line is playable but not as strong as the points over.
His last 5 scoring plus assists combine to 12.6, and his recent minutes increase supports continued usage. Since assists have risen alongside scoring, this combo has value if he stays in the 20s for minutes.