AI Model:

Leonard Miller▲

CHI · PF

PPG

4.8

RPG

2.7

APG

0.6

L5 PPG

11.2

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+6.4

4.8

11.2

RPG+4.3

2.7

7.0

APG+0.8

0.6

1.4

SPG+0.5

0.3

0.8

BPG+0.3

0.3

0.6

OVER 10.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

10.5

CHA

2026-02-24

2026-02-24 vs CHA: 5 pts

POR

2026-02-26

2026-02-26 vs POR: 11 pts

MIL

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs MIL: 15 pts

OKC

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs OKC: 8 pts

PHX

2026-03-05

2026-03-05 vs PHX: 8 pts

SAC

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs SAC: 0 pts

GSW

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs GSW: 17 pts

LAL

2026-03-12

2026-03-12 vs LAL: 15 pts

LAC

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs LAC: 14 pts

MEM

2026-03-16

2026-03-16 vs MEM: 10 pts

Over 10.5

Under 10.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

OVER 10.5DRAFTKINGS

78%

REB

OVER 6.5FANDUEL

71%

AST

OVER 0.5

58%

3PM

OVER 1.5FANDUEL

56%

BLK

OVER 0.5BETMGM

60%

STL+BLK

UNDER 1.5

62%

P+R

UNDER 17.5FANDUEL

55%

P+A

OVER 12.5BETMGM

68%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

5.5

7.2

RPG

2.5

4.7

APG

0.9

0.6

vs TOR (H2H)1 games

PPG

5.0

RPG

1.0

APG

2.0

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Rayan Rupert	2	6	57%	-11.1%	low
Jaylin Williams	3	5	0%	-54.0%	medium
LeBron James	1	5	0%	-54.0%	low
Bobby Portis	1	5	79%	+3.1%

Minutes spike makes Leonard Miller a live over target

Leonard Miller’s form is trending sharply up: he’s at 11.2 PPG, 7.0 RPG, and 1.4 APG over his last 5 games after a season line of 4.8/2.7/0.6, with minutes jumping from 10.7 season-long to 26.8 recently. He’s cleared the injury report and has produced 10+ points in 4 of his last 5, while also contributing rebounds and stocks at a much higher rate than his season baseline. The matchup context is usable, with Toronto allowing a neutral-to-favorable scoring environment and no specific defender matchup data provided. With multiple books posting points at 10.5-11.5 and his recent production well above that range, his scoring prop stands out most.

Stat Trends

PPG

11.2(↑ from 4.8)

RPG

7.0(↑ from 2.7)

APG

1.4(↑ from 0.6)

Stocks

1.4(↑ from 0.6)

Key Matchup

No specific defender matchup data is available, so the read is based on the broader team environment only. Toronto’s opponent profile shows a def_rating of 111.88 with pace at 100, which does not point to a major slowdown, and the provided data does not suggest a strong suppression spot for Miller.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Leonard Miller▼	Points	10.5	OVER	78%HIGH	2/2	50%	13	✓
Leonard Miller▼	Rebounds	6.5	OVER	71%HIGH	1/2	50%	4	✗
Leonard Miller▼	Assists	0.5	OVER	58%MEDIUM	2/2	60%	0	✗
Leonard Miller▼	3PM	1.5	OVER	56%MEDIUM	2/2	30%	1	✗
Leonard Miller▼	Blocks	0.5	OVER	60%MEDIUM	—	50%	0	✗
Leonard Miller▼	STL+BLK	1.5	UNDER	62%MEDIUM	—	50%	0	✓
Leonard Miller▼	P+R	17.5	UNDER	55%MEDIUM	2/2	60%	17	✓
Leonard Miller▼	P+A	12.5	OVER	68%MEDIUM	1/2	50%	13	✓

ML Scout Analysis

PTS16.5UNDER23%gbt_pointsDecent Leg (13/20)4/1822%+26.8% edgeConfidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

REB8.5UNDER24%gbt_reboundsDecent Leg (12/20)5/1828%+21.2% edgeConfidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

PRA27.5UNDER21%gbt_praDecent Leg (12/20)4/1822%+25.2% edgeConfidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

P+R19.5OVER0%gbt_prDecent Leg (12/20)OVER 2x10/1856%▼

P+A14.5OVER0%gbt_paDecent Leg (12/20)9/1850%▼

R+A8OVER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (11/20)10/1856%▼

AST2.5UNDER57%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 3x4/1822%+10.3% edgeConfidence moved MEDIUM to HIGH▼

3PM1.5UNDER14%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 2x8/1844%▼

Featured Pick

Leonard Miller

Points OVER 10.5HIGH

This is the cleanest angle because his recent scoring is 11.2 PPG over the last 5 and 10.3 over the last 10, both far above his 4.8 season average. With minutes up to 26.8 recently and books hanging 10.5-11.5, the over is better aligned with current usage than season-long production.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Scottie Barnes	1	3	2	0%	0%
Jamison Battle	1	2	3	50%	75%
Sandro Mamukelashvili	1	1	5	100%	125%
Brandon Ingram	1	1	2	0%	0%
RJ Barrett	1	1	6	100%	100%

pointsOVER 10.578%HIGH

DraftKings has 10.5 and his last 5 games are at 11.2 PPG with 4 straight double-digit scoring outings. His recent minutes at 26.8 are well above his 10.7 season average, giving the over support.

reboundsOVER 6.571%HIGH

He’s averaging 7.0 RPG over the last 5 compared with 2.7 RPG for the season. The recent role boost makes 6.5 a reachable number despite the lower season baseline.

assistsOVER 0.558%MEDIUM

His season mean is 0.59 and last 5 average is 1.4 APG, so he’s been clearing low assist thresholds more often lately. Variance is high, so this is a lighter lean than points or rebounds.

threesOVER 1.556%MEDIUM

He’s at 0.8 FG3M per game over the last 5 and 1.0 over the last 10, versus 0.34 for the season. The volume is still modest, so the hit rate is less secure than the scoring prop.

blocksOVER 0.560%MEDIUM

He averages 0.3 blocks for the season but 0.6 over the last 5 and 0.8 over the last 10. That recent spike makes 0.5 a playable over, though the season volatility is meaningful.

stocksUNDER 1.562%MEDIUM

Season stocks are only 0.56 and even with the recent surge he’s at 1.4 over the last 5 and 1.3 over the last 10. That’s close, but the season mean still sits below a 1.5 threshold.

prUNDER 17.555%MEDIUM

His last 5 points plus rebounds average is 18.2, but this prop is right on the edge with multiple books at 17.5. Because rebounds are the cleaner path than points here, this line is playable but not as strong as the points over.

paOVER 12.568%MEDIUM

His last 5 scoring plus assists combine to 12.6, and his recent minutes increase supports continued usage. Since assists have risen alongside scoring, this combo has value if he stays in the 20s for minutes.

timelineOVER 10.5 PTS