AI Model:

Scottie Barnes▼

TOR · PF

PPG

18.7

RPG

7.9

APG

5.4

L5 PPG

15.6

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-3.1

18.7

15.6

RPG-1.7

7.9

6.2

APG-0.8

5.4

4.6

SPG0.0

1.4

BPG-0.2

1.6

1.4

UNDER 17.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

17.5

OKC

2026-02-24

2026-02-24 vs OKC: 15 pts

SAS

2026-02-25

2026-02-25 vs SAS: 15 pts

WAS

2026-02-28

2026-02-28 vs WAS: 18 pts

NYK

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs NYK: 14 pts

MIN

2026-03-05

2026-03-05 vs MIN: 16 pts

DAL

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs DAL: 17 pts

HOU

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs HOU: 24 pts

NOP

2026-03-11

2026-03-11 vs NOP: 9 pts

PHX

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs PHX: 14 pts

DET

2026-03-15

2026-03-15 vs DET: 14 pts

Over 17.5

Under 17.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 17.5DRAFTKINGS

58%

REB

UNDER 7.5DRAFTKINGS

62%

AST

UNDER 5.5DRAFTKINGS

57%

3PM

OVER 0.5DRAFTKINGS

55%

STL

OVER 1.5DRAFTKINGS

54%

BLK

OVER 1.5DRAFTKINGS

60%

PRA

UNDER 30.5FANDUEL

59%

P+R

UNDER 24.5FANDUEL

56%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

16.4

15.6

RPG

7.2

6.8

APG

5.2

4.5

vs CHI (H2H)16 games

PPG

15.8

RPG

7.2

APG

5.2

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Pascal Siakam	4	26	48%	-10.2%	medium
Evan Mobley	3	22	65%	+9.8%	medium
Paolo Banchero	3	22	35%	-14.9%	medium
Jalen Johnson	4	21	75%

Scottie Barnes brings multi-category upside, but recent scoring and rebounding dip keeps the ceiling in check

Barnes is still logging big minutes at 34.3 per game, and his season profile remains strong with 18.7 points, 7.9 rebounds, 5.4 assists, 1.4 steals, and 1.6 blocks. The concern is recent form: over the last 5 games he has dropped to 15.6 points, 6.2 rebounds, and 4.6 assists, with the trend marked down. Against Chicago, the matchup is not especially restrictive by the data given, but his head-to-head averages of 15.75 points, 7.1875 rebounds, and 5.1875 assists suggest a solid all-around baseline rather than a spike spot.

Stat Trends

PPG

15.6(↓ from 18.7)

RPG

6.2(↓ from 7.9)

APG

4.6(↓ from 5.4)

Stocks

2.8(→ from 2.9)

Key Matchup

No specific defender matchup data is provided, so the key read is team-level only. Chicago’s defense context shows a 120.09 defensive rating and 100 pace, with scoring suppression of 1.101 and three-point suppression of 1.172, which points to a modestly tougher scoring environment.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Scottie Barnes▼	Points	17.5	UNDER	58%MEDIUM	2/2	80%	18	✗
Scottie Barnes▼	Rebounds	7.5	UNDER	62%MEDIUM	2/2	90%	7	✓
Scottie Barnes▼	Assists	5.5	UNDER	57%MEDIUM	2/2	80%	3	✓
Scottie Barnes▼	3PM	0.5	OVER	55%MEDIUM	—	60%	1	✓
Scottie Barnes▼	Steals	1.5	OVER	54%MEDIUM	1/2	40%	1	✗
Scottie Barnes▼	Blocks	1.5	OVER	60%MEDIUM	2/2	30%	0	✗
Scottie Barnes▼	PRA	30.5	UNDER	59%MEDIUM	2/2	80%	28	✓
Scottie Barnes▼	P+R	24.5	UNDER	56%MEDIUM	2/2	90%	25	✗

ML Scout Analysis

PTS17.5UNDER26%gbt_pointsDecent Leg (15/20)UNDER 4x6/2030%+17.8% edge▼

P+R20.5OVER0%gbt_prDecent Leg (14/20)UNDER 4x10/2050%▼

REB7.5UNDER50%gbt_reboundsDecent Leg (13/20)UNDER 6x3/2015%+27.0% edgeConfidence moved MEDIUM to HIGH▼

PRA32.5UNDER26%gbt_praDecent Leg (13/20)UNDER 4x3/2015%+30.0% edge▼

P+A22UNDER0%gbt_paDecent Leg (12/20)UNDER 2x7/2035%▼

AST6.5OVER7%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (11/20)9/2045%▼

BLK1.5UNDER81%gbt_blocksWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 3x5/2025%+8.3% edge▼

R+A12UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (11/20)9/2045%▼

STL1.5UNDER9%gbt_stealsWeak Leg (10/20)OVER 7x12/2060%▼

Featured Pick

Scottie Barnes

Rebounds UNDER 7.5MEDIUM

This is the cleanest angle off the data because Barnes is at 7.9 rebounds for the season but only 6.2 over the last 5 and 4.8 over the last 10. Even with strong minutes, the recent rebounding trend is well below the line.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Josh Giddey	2	6	5	67%	67%
Matas Buzelis	2	4	0	0%	0%
Patrick Williams	2	3	0	0%	0%
Jalen Smith	2	3	3	100%	150%
Guerschon Yabusele	2	2	0	0%	0%

pointsUNDER 17.558%MEDIUM

His last 5 games sit at 15.6 points, below the 17.5 line, and his season mean of 18.66 is only modestly above it. The recent downtrend adds caution even with strong minutes.

reboundsUNDER 7.562%MEDIUM

Barnes is averaging 7.9 rebounds for the season, but only 6.2 over the last 5 and 4.8 over the last 10. That recent drop makes 7.5 feel a bit high.

assistsUNDER 5.557%MEDIUM

His season average is 5.35 assists, but the last 5 are down to 4.6 and the last 10 to 4.0. The 5.5 number sits above his recent output.

threesOVER 0.555%MEDIUM

He averages 0.89 made threes on the season and 0.9 over the last 10, so one make is still reachable. The volume is modest, but the line is low.

stealsOVER 1.554%MEDIUM

Barnes averages 1.4 steals on the season and 1.7 over the last 10, with strong stocks production overall. The 1.5 line is close to his recent form.

blocksOVER 1.560%MEDIUM

He averages 1.6 blocks per game on the season and 1.5 over the last 10, which supports an over lean. His defensive production remains one of his steadiest fantasy drivers.

praUNDER 30.559%MEDIUM

His season points-rebounds-assists profile supports a big ceiling, but recent form is weaker at 15.6/6.2/4.6 over the last 5. That recent production is short of a 30.5 PRA line.

prUNDER 24.556%MEDIUM

Barnes averages 26.56 points plus rebounds on the season, but his last 5 in those categories are only 21.8 combined. The recent dip makes the under playable.

timelineUNDER 17.5 PTS

Defensive Matchup Profile

Scottie Barnes brings multi-category upside, but recent scoring and rebounding dip keeps the ceiling in check

Stat Trends

Key Matchup

Prop Analysis

ML Scout Analysis

Featured Pick

UNDER 17.5 PTS