Last 10 games
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VJ Edgecombe | 3 | 11 | 28% | -29.6% | medium |
| Egor Dëmin | 3 | 11 | 38% | -26.8% | medium |
| Desmond Bane | 4 | 11 | 67% | +14.9% | medium |
| Ausar Thompson | 3 | 10 | 38% |
Ayo Dosunmu is averaging 14.4 PPG, 2.9 RPG, and 3.4 APG on the season across 26.6 MPG, with strong efficiency at 52.4% from the field and 44.1% from three. His recent scoring has cooled to 13.0 PPG over the last 5 and 12.0 over the last 10, which sits below his season level and makes inflated point lines harder to attack. The matchup context is mixed: he has 12.0 PPG in 9 games vs this opponent, while the opponent has a 124.88 defensive rating and a 2.207 scoring suppression mark. With a back-to-back on the home side of the game, his minutes projection looks stable, but the best angle leans toward efficiency-driven support stats rather than a big scoring ceiling.
The provided matchup data shows no specific defender matchup data, so the analysis leans on team-level context. The opponent has a 124.88 defensive rating and 2.207 scoring suppression, which is not a strong environment for an efficient scoring spike.
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ayo Dosunmu▼ | Points | 17.5 | UNDER | 68%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 80% | 23 | ✗ |
Ayo Dosunmu▼ | Rebounds | 3.5 | UNDER | 63%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 70% | 9 | ✗ |
Ayo Dosunmu▼ | Assists | 4.5 | UNDER | 67%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 90% | 6 | ✗ |
Ayo Dosunmu▼ | 3PM | 1.5 | OVER | 70%HIGH | 2/2 | 20% | 3 | ✓ |
Ayo Dosunmu▼ | Steals | 0.5 | UNDER | 60%MEDIUM | — | 70% | 3 | ✗ |
Ayo Dosunmu▼ | Blocks | 0.5 | UNDER | 84%HIGH | — | 90% | 0 | ✓ |
Ayo Dosunmu▼ | STL+BLK | 1.5 | UNDER | 66%MEDIUM | — | 80% | 3 | ✗ |
Ayo Dosunmu▼ | Turnovers | 2 | UNDER | 72%HIGH | — | 90% | 1 | ✓ |
Ayo Dosunmu▼ | PRA | 25.5 | UNDER | 65%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 80% | 38 | ✗ |
Ayo Dosunmu▼ | P+A | 21.5 | UNDER | 69%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 100% | 29 | ✗ |
Ayo Dosunmu▼ | P+R | 21.5 | UNDER | 64%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 80% | 32 | ✗ |
This is the cleanest edge because his season average is only 0.2 blocks per game and his last 10 is 0.1. He has very little block volume, making the under the most reliable play on the board.
| medium |
| Toumani Camara | 4 | 10 | 33% | -18.5% | medium |
| Defender | Games | Min | PTS | FG% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keyonte George | 2 | 8 | 12 | 44% | 50% |
| Isaiah Collier | 3 | 7 | 11 | 38% | 38% |
| Ace Bailey | 3 | 4 | 3 | 50% | 75% |
| Cody Williams | 3 | 2 | 7 | 100% | 117% |
| Elijah Harkless | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
He is averaging 14.4 points on the season and only 13.0 over the last 5, both below this line. He has also averaged 12.0 PPG in 9 games vs this opponent, which supports the under.
His season average is 2.9 RPG and his last 10 is 3.0 RPG, both below 3.5. The recent spike to 4.2 over the last 5 is helpful, but the broader sample still leans under.
He averages 3.4 APG on the season and 2.4 over the last 5, so 4.5 is a sizable ask. His head-to-head mark of 4.111111111111111 APG is close, but still below the line.
He averages 1.76 threes per game on the season and 1.1 over the last 10, so 1.5 is reachable. He has also hit 1+ made three in 7 of his last 10 games.
He is at 0.8 SPG for the season, but only 0.6 over the last 10 and 0.0 over the last 5. The recent trend makes the over less attractive at a standard 0.5 line.
His season average is 0.2 BPG and his last 10 is 0.1 BPG, so he is well below a 0.5 line. This is a low-volume category for him.
He averages 0.98 stocks on the season and 0.7 over the last 10, which is below the typical 1.5 threshold. Recent production has been limited with 0.0 stocks over the last 5.
He has averaged 1.6 turnovers over the last 20 and 1.4 over the last 10, so a 2.0 line is slightly above his recent rate. His last 5 at 1.8 still leans under.
Using the season averages, his PRA is 20.7, and his last 10 production also points below 25.5. The line is elevated relative to his normal output.
His season points plus assists is 17.8, well under 21.5, and his recent scoring/assist form has softened. Even with a stable minutes role, this number is tough to clear.
His season points plus rebounds sits at 17.3, and the last 10 profile does not suggest a major lift. The line is priced above his typical output.