AI Model:

Ayo Dosunmu▲

MIN · SG

PPG

14.4

RPG

2.9

APG

3.4

L5 PPG

13.0

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-1.4

14.4

13.0

RPG+1.3

2.9

4.2

APG-1.0

3.4

2.4

SPG-0.8

0.8

0.0

BPG-0.2

0.2

0.0

UNDER 17.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

17.5

POR

2026-02-24

2026-02-24 vs POR: 7 pts

LAC

2026-02-26

2026-02-26 vs LAC: 12 pts

DEN

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs DEN: 9 pts

MEM

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs MEM: 14 pts

TOR

2026-03-05

2026-03-05 vs TOR: 13 pts

ORL

2026-03-07

2026-03-07 vs ORL: 3 pts

LAL

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs LAL: 13 pts

GSW

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs GSW: 12 pts

OKC

2026-03-15

2026-03-15 vs OKC: 18 pts

PHX

2026-03-17

2026-03-17 vs PHX: 19 pts

Over 17.5

Under 17.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 17.5DRAFTKINGS

68%

REB

UNDER 3.5DRAFTKINGS

63%

AST

UNDER 4.5DRAFTKINGS

67%

3PM

OVER 1.5DRAFTKINGS

70%

STL

UNDER 0.5

60%

BLK

UNDER 0.5

84%

STL+BLK

UNDER 1.5

66%

UNDER 2

72%

PRA

UNDER 25.5DRAFTKINGS

65%

P+A

UNDER 21.5DRAFTKINGS

69%

P+R

UNDER 21.5DRAFTKINGS

64%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

13.3

14.6

RPG

2.8

4.1

APG

2.9

3.7

vs UTA (H2H)9 games

PPG

12.0

RPG

2.6

APG

4.1

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
VJ Edgecombe	3	11	28%	-29.6%	medium
Egor Dëmin	3	11	38%	-26.8%	medium
Desmond Bane	4	11	67%	+14.9%	medium
Ausar Thompson	3	10	38%

Ayo Dosunmu’s scoring is steady, but the market has caught up

Ayo Dosunmu is averaging 14.4 PPG, 2.9 RPG, and 3.4 APG on the season across 26.6 MPG, with strong efficiency at 52.4% from the field and 44.1% from three. His recent scoring has cooled to 13.0 PPG over the last 5 and 12.0 over the last 10, which sits below his season level and makes inflated point lines harder to attack. The matchup context is mixed: he has 12.0 PPG in 9 games vs this opponent, while the opponent has a 124.88 defensive rating and a 2.207 scoring suppression mark. With a back-to-back on the home side of the game, his minutes projection looks stable, but the best angle leans toward efficiency-driven support stats rather than a big scoring ceiling.

Stat Trends

PPG

13.0(↓ from 14.4)

RPG

4.2(↑ from 2.9)

APG

2.4(↓ from 3.4)

3PM

1.6(↓ from 1.8)

Key Matchup

The provided matchup data shows no specific defender matchup data, so the analysis leans on team-level context. The opponent has a 124.88 defensive rating and 2.207 scoring suppression, which is not a strong environment for an efficient scoring spike.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Ayo Dosunmu▼	Points	17.5	UNDER	68%MEDIUM	2/2	80%	23	✗
Ayo Dosunmu▼	Rebounds	3.5	UNDER	63%MEDIUM	1/2	70%	9	✗
Ayo Dosunmu▼	Assists	4.5	UNDER	67%MEDIUM	2/2	90%	6	✗
Ayo Dosunmu▼	3PM	1.5	OVER	70%HIGH	2/2	20%	3	✓
Ayo Dosunmu▼	Steals	0.5	UNDER	60%MEDIUM	—	70%	3	✗
Ayo Dosunmu▼	Blocks	0.5	UNDER	84%HIGH	—	90%	0	✓
Ayo Dosunmu▼	STL+BLK	1.5	UNDER	66%MEDIUM	—	80%	3	✗
Ayo Dosunmu▼	Turnovers	2	UNDER	72%HIGH	—	90%	1	✓
Ayo Dosunmu▼	PRA	25.5	UNDER	65%MEDIUM	2/2	80%	38	✗
Ayo Dosunmu▼	P+A	21.5	UNDER	69%MEDIUM	2/2	100%	29	✗
Ayo Dosunmu▼	P+R	21.5	UNDER	64%MEDIUM	2/2	80%	32	✗

ML Scout Analysis

PRA27.5UNDER16%gbt_praDecent Leg (12/20)UNDER 2x5/2025%+24.0% edge▼

AST4.5UNDER20%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 3x5/2025%+24.0% edgeConfidence moved MEDIUM to LOW▼

P+R18.5UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (10/20)9/2045%▼

P+A17.5OVER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (10/20)10/2050%▼

PTS17.5OVER2%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (9/20)6/2030%Prediction flipped UNDER to OVER; Value edge shifted -0.415; Scorecard changed -3.0▼

REB4.5OVER23%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (9/20)9/2045%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

3PM1.5UNDER24%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (8/20)8/2040%+13.3% edgeConfidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

R+A8.5UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 2x7/2035%▼

Featured Pick

Ayo Dosunmu

Blocks UNDER 0.5HIGH

This is the cleanest edge because his season average is only 0.2 blocks per game and his last 10 is 0.1. He has very little block volume, making the under the most reliable play on the board.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Keyonte George	2	8	12	44%	50%
Isaiah Collier	3	7	11	38%	38%
Ace Bailey	3	4	3	50%	75%
Cody Williams	3	2	7	100%	117%
Elijah Harkless	1	2	0	0%	0%

pointsUNDER 17.568%MEDIUM

He is averaging 14.4 points on the season and only 13.0 over the last 5, both below this line. He has also averaged 12.0 PPG in 9 games vs this opponent, which supports the under.

reboundsUNDER 3.563%MEDIUM

His season average is 2.9 RPG and his last 10 is 3.0 RPG, both below 3.5. The recent spike to 4.2 over the last 5 is helpful, but the broader sample still leans under.

assistsUNDER 4.567%MEDIUM

He averages 3.4 APG on the season and 2.4 over the last 5, so 4.5 is a sizable ask. His head-to-head mark of 4.111111111111111 APG is close, but still below the line.

threesOVER 1.570%HIGH

He averages 1.76 threes per game on the season and 1.1 over the last 10, so 1.5 is reachable. He has also hit 1+ made three in 7 of his last 10 games.

stealsUNDER 0.560%MEDIUM

He is at 0.8 SPG for the season, but only 0.6 over the last 10 and 0.0 over the last 5. The recent trend makes the over less attractive at a standard 0.5 line.

blocksUNDER 0.584%HIGH

His season average is 0.2 BPG and his last 10 is 0.1 BPG, so he is well below a 0.5 line. This is a low-volume category for him.

stocksUNDER 1.566%MEDIUM

He averages 0.98 stocks on the season and 0.7 over the last 10, which is below the typical 1.5 threshold. Recent production has been limited with 0.0 stocks over the last 5.

turnoversUNDER 272%HIGH

He has averaged 1.6 turnovers over the last 20 and 1.4 over the last 10, so a 2.0 line is slightly above his recent rate. His last 5 at 1.8 still leans under.

praUNDER 25.565%MEDIUM

Using the season averages, his PRA is 20.7, and his last 10 production also points below 25.5. The line is elevated relative to his normal output.

paUNDER 21.569%MEDIUM

His season points plus assists is 17.8, well under 21.5, and his recent scoring/assist form has softened. Even with a stable minutes role, this number is tough to clear.

prUNDER 21.564%MEDIUM

His season points plus rebounds sits at 17.3, and the last 10 profile does not suggest a major lift. The line is priced above his typical output.

timelineUNDER 17.5 PTS