AI Model:

Donte DiVincenzo▲

MIN · PG

PPG

12.3

RPG

4.4

APG

4.1

L5 PPG

7.4

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-4.9

12.3

7.4

RPG+0.6

4.4

5.0

APG-2.3

4.1

1.8

SPG-0.6

1.4

0.8

BPG-0.2

0.4

0.2

UNDER 14.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

14.5

LAC

2026-02-26

2026-02-26 vs LAC: 18 pts

DEN

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs DEN: 17 pts

MEM

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs MEM: 7 pts

TOR

2026-03-05

2026-03-05 vs TOR: 16 pts

ORL

2026-03-07

2026-03-07 vs ORL: 0 pts

LAL

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs LAL: 8 pts

LAC

2026-03-11

2026-03-11 vs LAC: 6 pts

GSW

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs GSW: 7 pts

OKC

2026-03-15

2026-03-15 vs OKC: 16 pts

PHX

2026-03-17

2026-03-17 vs PHX: 0 pts

Over 14.5

Under 14.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 14.5FANDUEL

72%

REB

OVER 4.5FANDUEL

57%

AST

UNDER 4.5FANDUEL

60%

3PM

UNDER 2.5FANDUEL

55%

STL

UNDER 1.5FANDUEL

58%

BLK

UNDER 0.5BETMGM

63%

STL+BLK

UNDER 2.5

56%

OVER 1.5

54%

PRA

UNDER 22.5FANDUEL

67%

P+A

UNDER 18.5FANDUEL

64%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

6.3

13.8

RPG

3.8

4.1

APG

4.2

3.3

vs UTA (H2H)14 games

PPG

12.4

RPG

4.4

APG

3.8

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Tim Hardaway Jr.	4	21	100%	+37.2%	medium
Kris Dunn	4	17	19%	-28.1%	medium
Amen Thompson	2	16	80%	+39.4%	low
Collin Gillespie	3	14	65%

DiVincenzo’s scoring floor is shaky, but the all-around path is still live

Donte DiVincenzo is starting and logging 30.8 MPG on the season, but his recent scoring has cooled hard: 7.4 PPG over the last 5 and 9.5 over the last 10 versus 12.3 on the season. His peripheral production has been steadier, with 4.4 RPG and 4.1 APG for the year, though his last-5 assist rate has dipped to 1.8. The matchup is workable on paper with Utah’s 124.88 defensive rating and 100 pace, but the opponent context also shows no automatic scoring boost beyond his season baseline, while his home split is notably weaker at 6.3 PPG in 10 home games. Given the volatility, the cleanest angle is fading a points number and leaning on his steadier rebound/combined production.

Stat Trends

PPG

7.4(↓ from 12.3)

RPG

5.0(↑ from 4.4)

APG

1.8(↓ from 4.1)

3PM

1.6(↓ from 3.0)

Key Matchup

Utah’s defense data shows a 124.88 defensive rating, 100 pace, 2.207 scoring suppression, and 1.303 three suppression, which does not create a strong scoring environment. For defender context, Isaiah Collier, Brice Sensabaugh, and Cody Williams are listed, but the provided data does not identify a specific defender matchup data that clearly shifts the prop outlook.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Donte DiVincenzo▼	Points	14.5	UNDER	72%HIGH	2/2	60%	9	✓
Donte DiVincenzo▼	Rebounds	4.5	OVER	57%MEDIUM	1/2	40%	3	✗
Donte DiVincenzo▼	Assists	4.5	UNDER	60%MEDIUM	2/2	80%	7	✗
Donte DiVincenzo▼	3PM	2.5	UNDER	55%MEDIUM	2/2	60%	3	✗
Donte DiVincenzo▼	Steals	1.5	UNDER	58%MEDIUM	2/2	70%	1	✓
Donte DiVincenzo▼	Blocks	0.5	UNDER	63%MEDIUM	—	90%	0	✓
Donte DiVincenzo▼	STL+BLK	2.5	UNDER	56%MEDIUM	—	100%	1	✓
Donte DiVincenzo▼	Turnovers	1.5	OVER	54%MEDIUM	—	10%	1	✗
Donte DiVincenzo▼	PRA	22.5	UNDER	67%MEDIUM	2/2	60%	19	✓
Donte DiVincenzo▼	P+A	18.5	UNDER	64%MEDIUM	1/2	80%	16	✓

ML Scout Analysis

PRA18.5UNDER33%gbt_praDecent Leg (13/20)UNDER 3x10/2050%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

REB3.5UNDER37%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 7x7/2035%+13.1% edge▼

PTS11.5OVER6%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 3x9/2045%Prediction flipped UNDER to OVER; Value edge shifted -0.093▼

P+R14UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 3x9/2045%▼

P+A14OVER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 3x10/2050%▼

AST3.5UNDER68%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 8x6/2030%+12.0% edge▼

STL1.5UNDER20%gbt_stealsWeak Leg (9/20)6/2030%Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW▼

3PM2.5UNDER37%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (8/20)11/2055%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

R+A6UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 8x8/2040%▼

Featured Pick

Donte DiVincenzo

Points UNDER 14.5HIGH

This is the clearest numbers-based edge in the data. DiVincenzo is at 12.3 PPG for the season, but his last 5 and last 10 scoring marks are only 7.4 and 9.5, and his home scoring is just 6.3 PPG across 10 games.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Svi Mykhailiuk	3	13	8	25%	38%
Ace Bailey	4	7	2	20%	20%
Isaiah Collier	4	5	4	100%	100%
Brice Sensabaugh	3	4	4	33%	33%
Cody Williams	2	4	2	100%	100%

pointsUNDER 14.572%HIGH

He is at 12.3 PPG on the season but only 7.4 PPG over the last 5 and 9.5 over the last 10. The home split is also just 6.3 PPG in 10 home games, making 14.5 a tough clear.

reboundsOVER 4.557%MEDIUM

His season mean is 4.4 RPG with 4.2 RPG over the last 10 and 5.0 RPG over the last 5. The line is close enough to his baseline that a modest minutes game can get him there.

assistsUNDER 4.560%MEDIUM

DiVincenzo averages 4.06 APG for the season, but that falls to 3.0 over the last 10 and 1.8 over the last 5. With the recent trend down and a 4.5 line, the under is slightly favored.

threesUNDER 2.555%MEDIUM

He averages 2.96 threes per game on the season, but just 2.2 over the last 10 and 1.6 over the last 5. The recent dip is meaningful against a 2.5 line.

stealsUNDER 1.558%MEDIUM

He averages 1.4 steals per game on the season, but only 0.8 over the last 5 and 1.2 over the last 10. At 1.5, the recent production leans below the threshold.

blocksUNDER 0.563%MEDIUM

His season average is 0.4 blocks per game and just 0.2 over the last 5. Since the line is 0.5, the under is the cleaner side.

stocksUNDER 2.556%MEDIUM

He averages 1.72 stocks per game on the season and 1.3 over the last 10. That is below a 2.5 combo threshold, especially with recent defensive production cooling.

turnoversOVER 1.554%MEDIUM

He is at 1.4 turnovers per game on the season and 1.4 over the last 20, with 1.6 at home. A 1.5 line is close enough to make the over playable.

praUNDER 22.567%MEDIUM

His season PRA profile is 12.3 points, 4.4 rebounds, and 4.1 assists, but recent scoring and assists have dipped. With the line at 22.5, the current form is not strong enough to justify the over.

paUNDER 18.564%MEDIUM

He combines 12.3 PPG and 4.1 APG on the season, but recent mean production is 9.5 points and 3.0 assists. That recent pullback makes 18.5 a little high.

timelineUNDER 14.5 PTS