AI Model:

Kyle Filipowski▼

UTA · C

PPG

10.6

RPG

7.0

APG

2.4

L5 PPG

15.8

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+5.2

10.6

15.8

RPG+3.6

7.0

10.6

APG+2.4

2.4

4.8

SPG+0.6

1.0

1.6

BPG+0.7

0.5

1.2

UNDER 13.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

13.5

HOU

2026-02-23

2026-02-23 vs HOU: 13 pts

NOP

2026-02-26

2026-02-26 vs NOP: 13 pts

NOP

2026-02-28

2026-02-28 vs NOP: 12 pts

DEN

2026-03-02

2026-03-02 vs DEN: 19 pts

PHI

2026-03-04

2026-03-04 vs PHI: 6 pts

WAS

2026-03-05

2026-03-05 vs WAS: 20 pts

MIL

2026-03-07

2026-03-07 vs MIL: 14 pts

GSW

2026-03-09

2026-03-09 vs GSW: 19 pts

NYK

2026-03-11

2026-03-11 vs NYK: 15 pts

POR

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs POR: 11 pts

Over 13.5

Under 13.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 13.5FANDUEL

64%

REB

UNDER 7.5DRAFTKINGS

58%

AST

OVER 2.5DRAFTKINGS

57%

3PM

UNDER 1.5BETONLINEAG

66%

STL

UNDER 1.5FANDUEL

72%

BLK

OVER 0.5

55%

STL+BLK

OVER 1.5

56%

OVER 2

60%

P+R

UNDER 20.5DRAFTKINGS

61%

P+A

OVER 15.5DRAFTKINGS

54%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

13.7

13.3

RPG

7.7

9.7

APG

3.1

vs MIN (H2H)7 games

PPG

9.3

RPG

6.0

APG

2.4

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Alperen Sengun	4	14	79%	+29.2%	medium
Dwight Powell	3	13	80%	+30.6%	medium
Julius Randle	4	11	50%	+0.6%	medium
Nic Claxton	2	10	29%

Filipowski’s recent all-around surge faces a tougher Minnesota test

Kyle Filipowski has been producing well above his season baseline lately, with 15.8 PPG, 10.6 RPG, and 4.8 APG over his last 5 games compared to season marks of 10.6, 7.0, and 2.4. That said, his longer trend is still down, and his last-20 numbers (13.4 PPG, 8.8 RPG, 3.1 APG) sit closer to his true mid-tier range than the short hot stretch. Minnesota has held him to 9.3 PPG and 6.0 RPG across 7 head-to-head games, so the matchup history leans more conservative than his recent form. With Utah on the road and no injury limitation, he still has multi-category upside, but the safer angle is to expect efficiency and volume to settle back toward season norms.

Stat Trends

PPG

15.8(↑ from 10.6)

RPG

10.6(↑ from 7.0)

APG

4.8(↑ from 2.4)

Stocks

2.8(↑ from 1.5)

Key Matchup

Minnesota has held him to 9.3 PPG and 6.0 RPG across 7 head-to-head games, which is notably below his recent form. The opponent defense data shows a 114.93 defensive rating with 100 pace and a 0.055 three suppression, so this is not an especially easy environment for his volume to fully carry.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Kyle Filipowski▼	Points	13.5	UNDER	64%MEDIUM	2/2	50%	7	✓
Kyle Filipowski▼	Rebounds	7.5	UNDER	58%MEDIUM	2/2	50%	3	✓
Kyle Filipowski▼	Assists	2.5	OVER	57%MEDIUM	2/2	80%	4	✓
Kyle Filipowski▼	3PM	1.5	UNDER	66%MEDIUM	1/2	70%	1	✓
Kyle Filipowski▼	Steals	1.5	UNDER	72%HIGH	2/2	60%	1	✓
Kyle Filipowski▼	Blocks	0.5	OVER	55%MEDIUM	—	70%	1	✓
Kyle Filipowski▼	STL+BLK	1.5	OVER	56%MEDIUM	—	70%	2	✓
Kyle Filipowski▼	Turnovers	2	OVER	60%MEDIUM	—	30%	3	✓
Kyle Filipowski▼	P+R	20.5	UNDER	61%MEDIUM	1/2	50%	10	✓
Kyle Filipowski▼	P+A	15.5	OVER	54%MEDIUM	2/2	70%	11	✗

ML Scout Analysis

AST3.5OVER4%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (10/20)12/2060%+8.1% edge▼

PRA31.5UNDER16%gbt_praWeak Leg (10/20)8/2040%+8.1% edge▼

PTS18.5UNDER0%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (9/20)8/2040%+5.9% edge▼

REB9.5UNDER24%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (9/20)7/2035%+13.1% edge▼

P+A19.5OVER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (9/20)10/2050%▼

3PA4UNDER18%gbtWeak Leg (8/20)9/2045%▼

P+R24.5UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (8/20)9/2045%▼

3PM1.5UNDER30%gbt_three_pmAvoid (7/20)UNDER 2x6/2030%+7.3% edge▼

FTM2.5UNDER16%gbtAvoid (7/20)UNDER 2x10/2050%▼

FTA4UNDER30%gbtAvoid (7/20)UNDER 2x8/2040%▼

R+A12.5UNDER0%gbt_raAvoid (7/20)9/2045%▼

STL1UNDER11%gbt_stealsAvoid (6/20)UNDER 3x6/2030%▼

Featured Pick

Kyle Filipowski

Points UNDER 13.5MEDIUM

This line sits above his 10.6 PPG season average and above his 9.29 PPG in 7 games versus Minnesota. The recent 15.8 PPG surge is real, but the longer sample and matchup history both lean to regression rather than another peak scoring night.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Julius Randle	4	11	13	50%	50%
Naz Reid	3	6	6	33%	33%
Rudy Gobert	3	4	2	100%	100%
Anthony Edwards	3	3	15	33%	42%
Jaden McDaniels	4	3	6	38%	38%

pointsUNDER 13.564%MEDIUM

His season mean is 10.63 PPG and his vs-opponent average is 9.29 PPG across 7 games, both below this line. The last-5 surge to 15.8 PPG is strong, but the last-20 at 13.4 and the stated downtrend suggest regression risk.

reboundsUNDER 7.558%MEDIUM

Season rebounding sits at 7.02 RPG, and Minnesota has limited him to 6.0 RPG in 7 meetings. His last-5 of 10.6 RPG is well above the season level, so the market is asking for a repeat of a hot stretch.

assistsOVER 2.557%MEDIUM

He averages 2.4 APG on the season and 4.0 APG over the last 10, with 4.8 APG in the last 5 and 5 assists in each of his last two games. The line is modest and his recent creation volume is clearly elevated.

threesUNDER 1.566%MEDIUM

He averages 0.89 made threes per game on the season and 1.1 over the last 20, which is still below this line. Recent volume has improved, but the baseline makes 2+ threes the less likely outcome.

stealsUNDER 1.572%HIGH

Season steals are exactly 1.0 per game, but the 1.5 line is high relative to his baseline. Even with a strong last-5 at 1.6 SPG, the over requires another above-average defensive outing.

blocksOVER 0.555%MEDIUM

He averages 0.5 BPG on the season and 0.9 BPG over the last 10, so this is right around his normal range. Recent game logs also show multiple 1+ block outings.

stocksOVER 1.556%MEDIUM

His season stocks average is 1.49, but that has climbed to 2.5 over the last 10 and 2.8 over the last 5. The current form supports a modest over, though this remains a volatile category.

turnoversOVER 260%MEDIUM

He has averaged 2.3 turnovers over the last 10 and 2.4 over the last 20, with a 2.0-turnover game in the last 5 and even a 6-turnover outlier. The recent usage bump makes 2+ turnovers more likely than not.

prUNDER 20.561%MEDIUM

His season blend is 17.65 PR (10.63 points + 7.02 rebounds), which is comfortably below this number. The recent run is hotter, but the opponent history and season averages point under.

paOVER 15.554%MEDIUM

He averages 13.03 PA on the season and 18.9 PA over the last 5, with strong recent assist production helping lift the combo. This is a lower-confidence over because it relies on sustaining both scoring and playmaking.

timelineUNDER 13.5 PTS

Defensive Matchup Profile

Filipowski’s recent all-around surge faces a tougher Minnesota test

Stat Trends

Key Matchup

Prop Analysis

ML Scout Analysis

Featured Pick

UNDER 13.5 PTS