AI Model:

Rudy Gobert—

MIN · C

PPG

10.8

RPG

11.4

APG

1.8

L5 PPG

8.2

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-2.6

10.8

8.2

RPG-1.0

11.4

10.4

APG+0.4

1.8

2.2

SPG-0.4

0.8

0.4

BPG-0.6

1.6

1.0

UNDER 12.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

12.5

LAC

2026-02-26

2026-02-26 vs LAC: 3 pts

DEN

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs DEN: 7 pts

MEM

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs MEM: 5 pts

TOR

2026-03-05

2026-03-05 vs TOR: 18 pts

ORL

2026-03-07

2026-03-07 vs ORL: 12 pts

LAL

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs LAL: 3 pts

LAC

2026-03-11

2026-03-11 vs LAC: 9 pts

GSW

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs GSW: 18 pts

OKC

2026-03-15

2026-03-15 vs OKC: 2 pts

PHX

2026-03-17

2026-03-17 vs PHX: 9 pts

Over 12.5

Under 12.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 12.5FANDUEL

63%

REB

UNDER 12.5FANDUEL

58%

AST

UNDER 2.5BETONLINEAG

72%

BLK

OVER 1.5DRAFTKINGS

69%

STL+BLK

OVER 2

67%

P+R

UNDER 25.5FANDUEL

74%

P+A

UNDER 14.5BETMGM

71%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

13.7

7.8

RPG

11.6

11.8

APG

1.7

2.1

vs UTA (H2H)11 games

PPG

12.2

RPG

11.3

APG

0.9

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Donovan Clingan	4	35	50%	-24.9%	medium
Brook Lopez	4	22	54%	-30.1%	medium
Deandre Ayton	3	21	79%	+10.0%	medium
Jusuf Nurkić	3	21	38%

Gobert’s rebound floor is strong, but points are less secure

Rudy Gobert enters with season averages of 10.8 PPG, 11.4 RPG, and 1.6 BPG across 31.4 MPG, while his last 20 games have stayed close at 10.8 PPG and 11.7 RPG. His recent scoring is softer, with just 8.2 PPG over the last 5 and 8.6 over the last 10, but the rebounding base remains steady. Against Utah, he has averaged 12.181818181818182 PPG and 11.272727272727273 RPG over 11 games, which supports his usual production range. Minnesota is home and Gobert’s home split is better on offense at 13.7 PPG versus 7.8 away, giving him a modest boost tonight.

Stat Trends

PPG

8.2(↓ from 10.8)

RPG

10.4(→ from 11.4)

APG

2.2(↑ from 1.8)

BPG

1.0(↓ from 1.6)

Key Matchup

The provided key defender data does not identify a specific defender matchup data beyond the listed players, so there is no specific defender matchup data. Utah’s opponent defense shows a 124.88 defensive rating and 100 pace, but the matchup data provided is limited, so the main edge comes from Gobert’s own rebound and block baseline.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Rudy Gobert▼	Points	12.5	UNDER	63%MEDIUM	1/2	80%	21	✗
Rudy Gobert▼	Rebounds	12.5	UNDER	58%MEDIUM	2/2	70%	12	✓
Rudy Gobert▼	Assists	2.5	UNDER	72%HIGH	2/2	70%	0	✓
Rudy Gobert▼	Blocks	1.5	OVER	69%MEDIUM	1/2	30%	2	✓
Rudy Gobert▼	STL+BLK	2	OVER	67%MEDIUM	—	50%	3	✓
Rudy Gobert▼	P+R	25.5	UNDER	74%HIGH	1/2	70%	33	✗
Rudy Gobert▼	P+A	14.5	UNDER	71%HIGH	2/2	80%	21	✗

ML Scout Analysis

PTS11.5UNDER20%gbt_pointsDecent Leg (13/20)9/2045%+5.7% edge▼

PRA24.5UNDER10%gbt_praDecent Leg (13/20)UNDER 3x10/2050%▼

REB10.5OVER12%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (10/20)13/2065%+8.9% edge▼

P+R22.5OVER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 3x10/2050%▼

BLK1.5UNDER34%gbt_blocksWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 3x8/2040%▼

R+A14UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (9/20)8/2040%▼

P+A12OVER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (9/20)10/2050%▼

Featured Pick

Rudy Gobert

Assists UNDER 2.5HIGH

Gobert’s season assist average is 1.77 and his 11-game mark versus Utah is just 0.9090909090909091 APG. The 2.5 line sits well above both his season and matchup baselines, making the under the strongest value on the board.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Jusuf Nurkić	3	21	14	35%	38%
Kyle Filipowski	4	10	0	0%	0%
Lauri Markkanen	2	2	0	0%	0%
Kevin Love	2	2	3	100%	150%
Keyonte George	3	2	12	63%	63%

pointsUNDER 12.563%MEDIUM

His season mean is 10.8 and his last 5 is only 8.2, both below the 12.5 line. The recent scoring dip makes the under the cleaner angle despite the home split.

reboundsUNDER 12.558%MEDIUM

Gobert’s season rebound mean is 11.37 and his last 5 is 10.4, both under 12.5. He is close enough to the number that this is playable, but the recent form leans slightly below.

assistsUNDER 2.572%HIGH

His season mean is 1.77 and last 10 is 2.2, still below 2.5. The low-assist profile and 0.9090909090909091 APG versus Utah in 11 games support the under.

blocksOVER 1.569%MEDIUM

He averages 1.6 blocks per game for the season and has 1.4 over the last 20. A 1.5 line sits right on his baseline, making the over viable.

stocksOVER 267%MEDIUM

His season stocks average is 2.34 and his last 20 is 2.2, both above 2.0. Even with some recent volatility, the combined steals-plus-blocks profile stays strong.

prUNDER 25.574%HIGH

Season PR is 22.17 and recent scoring has been muted, so 25.5 is a bit high. The rebound floor helps, but his points have not consistently matched this threshold.

paUNDER 14.571%HIGH

He averages 12.57 PRA? no, for points-plus-assists he is at 12.6 season-wise using 10.8 PPG and 1.8 APG, which is below 14.5. With assists not projecting high, this line is too steep.

timelineUNDER 12.5 PTS