AI Model:

Dean Wade▲

CLE · PF

PPG

6.0

RPG

4.2

APG

1.5

L5 PPG

7.4

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+1.4

6.0

7.4

RPG+0.2

4.2

4.4

APG-0.5

1.5

1.0

SPG-0.6

0.8

0.2

BPG0.0

0.4

UNDER 5.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

5.5

CHA

2026-02-20

2026-02-20 vs CHA: 8 pts

OKC

2026-02-22

2026-02-22 vs OKC: 0 pts

NYK

2026-02-24

2026-02-24 vs NYK: 11 pts

MIL

2026-02-25

2026-02-25 vs MIL: 0 pts

BOS

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs BOS: 7 pts

PHI

2026-03-09

2026-03-09 vs PHI: 13 pts

ORL

2026-03-11

2026-03-11 vs ORL: 0 pts

DAL

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs DAL: 3 pts

DAL

2026-03-15

2026-03-15 vs DAL: 12 pts

MIL

2026-03-17

2026-03-17 vs MIL: 9 pts

Over 5.5

Under 5.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 5.5DRAFTKINGS

68%

REB

OVER 3.5DRAFTKINGS

57%

AST

UNDER 1.5DRAFTKINGS

64%

3PM

UNDER 1.5BETONLINEAG

66%

STL

OVER 0.5

58%

BLK

UNDER 0.5BETMGM

72%

STL+BLK

UNDER 1.5

63%

UNDER 0.5

71%

P+R

UNDER 10.5DRAFTKINGS

60%

R+A

OVER 4.5BETMGM

56%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

8.6

4.4

RPG

5.6

3.6

APG

1.1

1.5

vs CHI (H2H)17 games

PPG

5.2

RPG

3.3

APG

1.0

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Desmond Bane	4	12	54%	-1.5%	medium
Paolo Banchero	4	11	25%	-18.2%	medium
Jalen Brunson	3	11	7%	-36.5%	medium
Kon Knueppel	3	10	75%

Wade’s volume is modest, and the market leans under

Dean Wade is sitting at 6.0 points, 4.2 rebounds, and 1.5 assists on the season while playing 22.6 minutes per game, so his production profile remains fairly low-usage. His recent form is stable-to-slightly-up on scoring at 7.4 PPG over the last 5, but that comes with volatile game logs and no clear runaway usage spike. The matchup data is not especially supportive for an upside swing: Chicago’s defense metrics are available, and Wade’s season averages versus this opponent are only 5.176470588235294 points, 3.2941176470588234 rebounds, and 1 assist across 17 games. With the Bulls on a back-to-back and Cleveland on two days rest, the minutes look reasonable, but the most reliable angle is still to lean under on the higher marketplace numbers.

Stat Trends

PPG

7.4(↑ from 6.0)

RPG

4.4(→ from 4.2)

APG

1.0(↓ from 1.5)

Key Matchup

No specific defender matchup data for Wade should be used here, and the provided key defenders list does not establish a clear one-on-one stopper. Chicago’s opponent defense data is available, but the stronger matchup note is that Wade’s own historical production versus this opponent is only 5.176470588235294 points and 3.2941176470588234 rebounds in 17 games.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Dean Wade▼	Points	5.5	UNDER	68%MEDIUM	1/2	40%	0	✓
Dean Wade▼	Rebounds	3.5	OVER	57%MEDIUM	1/2	60%	7	✓
Dean Wade▼	Assists	1.5	UNDER	64%MEDIUM	1/2	60%	1	✓
Dean Wade▼	3PM	1.5	UNDER	66%MEDIUM	1/2	60%	0	✓
Dean Wade▼	Steals	0.5	OVER	58%MEDIUM	—	40%	0	✗
Dean Wade▼	Blocks	0.5	UNDER	72%HIGH	—	60%	0	✓
Dean Wade▼	STL+BLK	1.5	UNDER	63%MEDIUM	—	90%	0	✓
Dean Wade▼	Turnovers	0.5	UNDER	71%HIGH	—	80%	0	✓
Dean Wade▼	P+R	10.5	UNDER	60%MEDIUM	2/2	50%	7	✓
Dean Wade▼	R+A	4.5	OVER	56%MEDIUM	1/2	50%	8	✓

ML Scout Analysis

P+R10.5OVER0%gbt_prDecent Leg (12/20)10/2050%▼

R+A5.5UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (11/20)8/2040%▼

P+A7.5OVER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (11/20)11/2055%▼

Featured Pick

Dean Wade

Points UNDER 5.5HIGH

The season mean is 5.96 points, his away average is only 4.4 points, and his versus-opponent scoring sits at 5.176470588235294 over 17 games. Even with a slightly improved last-5 scoring run at 7.4 PPG, this is still a low-usage profile, and the under is the cleaner side against a number that is only slightly below his season average.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Josh Giddey	4	9	9	36%	41%
Matas Buzelis	4	4	7	75%	88%
Coby White	2	4	6	50%	50%
Kevin Huerter	3	3	2	50%	50%
Nikola Vučević	3	3	2	100%	100%

pointsUNDER 5.568%MEDIUM

The season mean is 5.96 points, and the DraftKings line is 5.5, but his output against Chicago is just 5.176470588235294 points over 17 games. Last 5 scoring is 7.4, yet that is above the season norm and should be treated cautiously given his modest usage and volatility.

reboundsOVER 3.557%MEDIUM

Wade averages 4.2 rebounds on the season and 4.4 over the last 5, with 5.6 rebounds in home games and 4.79 at home in the prop metrics. The line is low enough that a neutral minutes outcome gives him a reasonable path to clear it.

assistsUNDER 1.564%MEDIUM

He averages 1.5 assists for the season but only 1.0 over the last 5, and his recent role does not suggest a passing spike. Against Chicago he has averaged just 1 assist in 17 meetings, which keeps the under appealing if he stays near his usual usage.

threesUNDER 1.566%MEDIUM

Wade averages 1.24 threes per game on the season and 1.3 over the last 20, but the book line is 1.5, which sits above his typical output. His away three volume is only 0.9 made threes per game, adding support for the under in this road spot.

stealsOVER 0.558%MEDIUM

He averages 0.8 steals per game on the season, which clears the 0.5 threshold, and his last 20 sits at 0.8 as well. The stat is volatile, but the baseline supports the over more than the under.

blocksUNDER 0.572%HIGH

Wade averages 0.4 blocks per game on the season and 0.5 over the last 10, but that still does not make 0.5 a strong over spot. Because the line requires a block to cash the over, the under has the cleaner base-rate edge.

stocksUNDER 1.563%MEDIUM

His season stocks average is 1.17 and the last 10 is 1.1, both below 1.5. That leaves limited room for a reliable over unless he lands an outlier defensive game.

turnoversUNDER 0.571%HIGH

He is only at 0.3 turnovers per game over the last 20 and 0.2 over the last 5. With such low ball-handling volume, the under is the sharper side.

prUNDER 10.560%MEDIUM

His season averages combine to 10.16 points plus rebounds, and the recent last-5 combined output is 11.8, which is not far above the line. Given the over-bias warning on combo props, the under is still the more conservative play.

raOVER 4.556%MEDIUM

Rebounds plus assists average 5.7 on the season and 5.4 over the last 10, so 4.5 is below his typical baseline. The line is reachable even with a modest offensive night.

timelineUNDER 5.5 PTS