AI Model:

Isaac Okoro▼

CHI · SF

PPG

9.0

RPG

2.7

APG

1.6

L5 PPG

7.6

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-1.4

9.0

7.6

RPG-0.3

2.7

2.4

APG+0.2

1.6

1.8

SPG+0.1

0.7

0.8

BPG-0.4

0.4

0.0

UNDER 9.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

9.5

BKN

2026-02-09

2026-02-09 vs BKN: 10 pts

TOR

2026-02-19

2026-02-19 vs TOR: 16 pts

DET

2026-02-21

2026-02-21 vs DET: 15 pts

NYK

2026-02-22

2026-02-22 vs NYK: 12 pts

CHA

2026-02-24

2026-02-24 vs CHA: 7 pts

POR

2026-02-26

2026-02-26 vs POR: 12 pts

MIL

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs MIL: 7 pts

OKC

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs OKC: 4 pts

PHX

2026-03-05

2026-03-05 vs PHX: 6 pts

SAC

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs SAC: 9 pts

Over 9.5

Under 9.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 9.5FANDUEL

63%

REB

OVER 2.5FANDUEL

54%

AST

OVER 1.5FANDUEL

57%

3PM

UNDER 1.5FANDUEL

70%

STL

OVER 0.5

55%

BLK

UNDER 0.5

67%

STL+BLK

UNDER 1.5

58%

OVER 1.5

53%

P+R

UNDER 11.5FANDUEL

60%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

9.6

9.8

RPG

2.8

2.0

APG

1.8

vs CLE (H2H)3 games

PPG

11.3

RPG

2.7

APG

1.3

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Duncan Robinson	4	16	88%	+12.4%	medium
Jalen Brunson	4	15	29%	-17.3%	medium
Cade Cunningham	2	13	38%	-15.9%	low
Tyrese Maxey	2	13	63%

Okoro’s scoring line is live, but the under leans safer

Isaac Okoro is averaging 9.0 points, 2.7 rebounds, and 1.6 assists on the season, with last-10 production at 9.8 points, 3.2 rebounds, and 2.0 assists across 32.1 minutes. His recent form is a bit softer than that last-10 baseline, as the last-5 drops to 7.6 points and 2.4 rebounds, while his overall trend is marked down. This matchup comes with a 9.5 points line in the market, and his season scoring sits right around that number, so projection is tight rather than explosive. With no specific defender matchup data to lean on, the safer angle is to respect the season average and the recent dip rather than chase an over.

Stat Trends

PPG

7.6(↓ from 9.0)

RPG

2.4(↓ from 2.7)

APG

1.8(→ from 1.6)

Key Matchup

Opponent defense data shows a 114.88 defensive rating, pace of 100, and three suppression of 1.309. No specific defender matchup data is available, so the read comes more from team context and his own season-to-recent split than from a direct individual matchup.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend
Isaac Okoro▼	Points	9.5	UNDER	63%MEDIUM	2/2	50%
Isaac Okoro▼	Rebounds	2.5	OVER	54%MEDIUM	2/2	60%
Isaac Okoro▼	Assists	1.5	OVER	57%MEDIUM	2/2	60%
Isaac Okoro▼	3PM	1.5	UNDER	70%HIGH	1/2	60%
Isaac Okoro▼	Steals	0.5	OVER	55%MEDIUM	—	60%
Isaac Okoro▼	Blocks	0.5	UNDER	67%MEDIUM	—	90%
Isaac Okoro▼	STL+BLK	1.5	UNDER	58%MEDIUM	—	70%
Isaac Okoro▼	Turnovers	1.5	OVER	53%MEDIUM	—	40%
Isaac Okoro▼	P+R	11.5	UNDER	60%MEDIUM	2/2	50%

ML Scout Analysis

PRA16.5UNDER17%gbt_praDecent Leg (14/20)9/2045%▼

PTS11.5UNDER15%gbt_pointsDecent Leg (13/20)UNDER 2x8/2040%+5.1% edge▼

REB3.5UNDER16%gbt_reboundsDecent Leg (12/20)8/2040%+7.0% edge▼

P+A12UNDER0%gbt_paDecent Leg (12/20)9/2045%▼

3PM1.5UNDER16%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 2x8/2040%Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW▼

R+A4.5UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (11/20)9/2045%▼

P+R13OVER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (11/20)10/2050%▼

Featured Pick

Isaac Okoro

Points UNDER 9.5MEDIUM

The market line matches his season average almost exactly, but his last-5 scoring has fallen to 7.6 and his overall trend is down. With over picks historically less reliable and no specific defender matchup data, the under is the cleaner side.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Donovan Mitchell	2	11	13	50%	60%
Darius Garland	2	8	9	40%	45%
De'Andre Hunter	3	2	9	75%	100%
Jaylon Tyson	3	2	0	0%	0%
Tyrese Proctor	3	2	6	67%	100%

pointsUNDER 9.563%MEDIUM

His season average is exactly 9.0 points and his last-5 is down to 7.6, so 9.5 is slightly inflated relative to his current scoring form. The recent-20 and season baseline both sit below the line, which supports the under.

reboundsOVER 2.554%MEDIUM

He averages 2.7 rebounds on the season and 3.2 over the last 10, with a 2.77 home mean. The edge is small, but the volume is enough to lean over at 2.5.

assistsOVER 1.557%MEDIUM

Okoro averages 1.6 assists for the season and 2.0 over the last 10, while his last-5 sits at 1.8. The line is low enough that a modest passing night clears it more often than not.

threesUNDER 1.570%HIGH

He averages 1.11 made threes on the season, which is below 1.5, and his last-5 is only 0.8. Even with recent attempts, the season mean favors the under at this number.

stealsOVER 0.555%MEDIUM

He averages 0.7 steals on the season and 1.0 over the last 10, so he clears 0.5 often enough to merit a lean over. The volatility is real, but the baseline is above the line.

blocksUNDER 0.567%MEDIUM

His season average is 0.4 blocks and his last-5 is 0.0, so he is below this threshold. That makes the under the more stable side despite some occasional spike games.

stocksUNDER 1.558%MEDIUM

He averages 1.11 stocks on the season and 1.1 over the last 10, both below 1.5. With combined defensive events not consistently reaching the line, the under is the safer call.

turnoversOVER 1.553%MEDIUM

His recent turnovers are 1.2 over the last 10 and 1.4 over the last 5, while his role minutes remain elevated at 32.1 recently. That gives a slight lean over a low turnover line.

prUNDER 11.560%MEDIUM

His season points plus rebounds average is 11.69, essentially right on the line, but the last-5 scoring dip makes this less attractive for an over. Combo props are higher variance, so the under gets the edge.

timelineUNDER 9.5 PTS