Harden’s scoring is sliding, but playmaking still keeps the floor intact

His season mean is 24.1 and even with the recent dip to 21.6 over the last 5, this line is still below both season and away scoring levels. The recent downturn and Chicago’s scoring suppression keep confidence moderate rather than high.

He averages 4.9 rebounds on the season and 5.2 over the last 10, so 4.5 is slightly below his typical output. Variance is manageable, but this is still a modest edge.

Harden’s season assist average is 8.0, but the last 5 is down to 6.6 and the last 10 is 7.1. The 8.5 line is above his current form and his recent trend points to the under.

He averages 3.03 made threes per game on the season and 3.0 over the last 10. The line is reasonable, but the opponent’s 1.229 three-point suppression lowers certainty.

His season steals average is 1.1, which is comfortably above 0.5. Even with recent steals volatility, this is still the clearest low-bar defensive stat on the board.

He averages only 0.4 blocks per game on the season, below the 0.5 line. That makes the under the cleaner side on a low-volume stat.

Season stocks are 1.5, but the last 10 drops to 0.7 and the recent 5 is 1.0, showing a clear cooldown. Because the combined stat carries more volatility, the under is safer.

He is at 3.5 turnovers over the last 20 and 3.6 over the last 5 and last 10. With his high on-ball usage, the over is supported by the recent and season baseline.

His season PRA is roughly 37.9 using 24.1 points, 4.9 rebounds, and 8.0 assists, but the last 5 comes in around 33.0 and the last 10 around 33.0. Given the recent dip and combo-prop caution, the under is the better value side.

His season points plus assists is 32.1, but recent form has fallen to about 28.2 over the last 5 and 27.8 over the last 10. This line sits near the current trend, so the under is slightly preferred.