Bobby Portis▲

MIL · PF

PPG

13.7

RPG

6.4

APG

1.6

L5 PPG

19.8

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+6.1

13.7

19.8

RPG+1.6

6.4

8.0

APG+0.8

1.6

2.4

SPG+0.6

0.6

1.2

BPG0.0

0.2

UNDER 18.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

18.5

NYK

2026-02-27

2026-02-27 vs NYK: 14 pts

CHI

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs CHI: 18 pts

BOS

2026-03-02

2026-03-02 vs BOS: 12 pts

ATL

2026-03-04

2026-03-04 vs ATL: 13 pts

UTA

2026-03-07

2026-03-07 vs UTA: 12 pts

ORL

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs ORL: 18 pts

MIA

2026-03-12

2026-03-12 vs MIA: 19 pts

ATL

2026-03-14

2026-03-14 vs ATL: 14 pts

IND

2026-03-15

2026-03-15 vs IND: 29 pts

CLE

2026-03-17

2026-03-17 vs CLE: 19 pts

Over 18.5

Under 18.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 18.5FANDUEL

57%

REB

UNDER 8.5FANDUEL

64%

AST

OVER 1.5STAKE

52%

3PM

OVER 2.5FANDUEL

69%

STL

OVER 0.5STAKE

54%

BLK

UNDER 0.5STAKE

72%

STL+BLK

UNDER 1.5

60%

UNDER 2

56%

P+R

UNDER 28.5FANDUEL

55%

P+A

UNDER 21.5STAKE

71%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

15.9

13.8

RPG

5.5

6.7

APG

1.6

1.3

vs UTA (H2H)10 games

PPG

13.2

RPG

6.6

APG

0.6

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Sandro Mamukelashvili	3	9	86%	+22.6%	medium
Naz Reid	2	9	83%	+17.9%	low
Moritz Wagner	3	9	60%	+11.2%	medium
Evan Mobley	3	8	56%

Portis’ threes and scoring volume stand out, but rebounds and combo props look capped

Bobby Portis is trending up, with his last-5 production at 19.8 points, 8.0 rebounds, and 2.4 assists versus season averages of 13.7, 6.4, and 1.6. The shot volume is real, but his recent surge is above his longer sample, so regression should be considered rather than blindly chasing the hot streak. He also gets a Jazz team with a 125.21 defensive rating and 100 pace, but his prior matchup line in this spot was modest at 12 points, 4 rebounds, and 1 assist in 18 minutes on 2026-03-07. Because the data shows strong three-point value and weaker under indicators on rebounds and assists, the cleanest edge is on his perimeter scoring rather than the higher-variance combos.

Stat Trends

PPG

19.8(↑ from 13.7)

RPG

8.0(↑ from 6.4)

APG

2.4(↑ from 1.6)

Key Matchup

The provided matchup data shows no specific defender matchup data, so the main context is team defense: Utah has a 125.21 defensive rating, a 100 pace, and a 1.42 three suppression figure. That supports looking toward the three-point market, while the previous head-to-head average of 13.2 points and 6.6 rebounds also tempers the ceiling on scoring and boards.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Bobby Portis▼	Points	18.5	UNDER	57%MEDIUM	1/2	70%	11	✓
Bobby Portis▼	Rebounds	8.5	UNDER	64%MEDIUM	1/2	70%	6	✓
Bobby Portis▼	Assists	1.5	OVER	52%MEDIUM	2/2	40%	1	✗
Bobby Portis▼	3PM	2.5	OVER	69%MEDIUM	2/2	70%	1	✗
Bobby Portis▼	Steals	0.5	OVER	54%MEDIUM	—	60%	2	✓
Bobby Portis▼	Blocks	0.5	UNDER	72%HIGH	—	70%	0	✓
Bobby Portis▼	STL+BLK	1.5	UNDER	60%MEDIUM	—	80%	2	✗
Bobby Portis▼	Turnovers	2	UNDER	56%MEDIUM	—	100%	0	✓
Bobby Portis▼	P+R	28.5	UNDER	55%MEDIUM	1/2	90%	17	✓
Bobby Portis▼	P+A	21.5	UNDER	71%HIGH	1/2	80%	12	✓

ML Scout Analysis

P+R20.5UNDER0%logisticWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 2x9/2045%▼

P+A16UNDER0%logisticWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 2x9/2045%▼

R+A7UNDER0%logisticWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 2x6/2030%▼

Featured Pick

Bobby Portis

Threes OVER 2.5HIGH

This is the strongest blend of season form, recent form, and market value. He averages 2.06 threes on the season, 2.9 over the last-10, and the value data shows a 21.7% edge with $55.23 EV per 100 at one book, making the over the cleanest play.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Andersson Garcia	1	4	0	0%	0%
Kyle Filipowski	2	3	4	50%	50%
Blake Hinson	2	2	0	0%	0%
Cody Williams	2	2	2	50%	50%
Kevin Love	1	1	0	0%	0%

pointsUNDER 18.557%MEDIUM

His season mean is 13.7 points and his last-20 is 14.9, so 18.5 is above the longer-run baseline despite the hot last-5. The recent scoring spike to 19.8 is notable, but it is a clear regression risk.

reboundsUNDER 8.564%MEDIUM

He averages 6.4 rebounds for the season and 6.0 over the last-20, both below 8.5. His away mean is 6.85 and his recent rebound sample is still short of this number, so the under is supported.

assistsOVER 1.552%MEDIUM

His season mean is 1.6 assists and his last-5 is 2.4, so this is a low bar relative to his normal output. Variance is high, so confidence stays modest.

threesOVER 2.569%MEDIUM

He averages 2.06 threes on the season and 2.9 over the last-10, with 2.56 at home. The provided value data also shows strong positive edge on the over at 2.5.

stealsOVER 0.554%MEDIUM

He averages 0.6 steals on the season and 0.7 over the last-10, so 0.5 is reachable. This is still a volatile stat, so the edge is not strong.

blocksUNDER 0.572%HIGH

He averages only 0.2 blocks season-long and 0.2 over the last-5, making 0.5 a tough ask. The block rate is too low to justify an over.

stocksUNDER 1.560%MEDIUM

His combined season average is 0.77 stocks and the last-10 is 1.0, both below 1.5. This is a high line for his baseline defensive production.

turnoversUNDER 256%MEDIUM

He is at 1.0 turnovers in the last-20 and 1.1 in the last-10, so 2.0 is above his typical range. The recent workload has not translated into elevated turnover volume.

prUNDER 28.555%MEDIUM

His season points plus rebounds are 20.14, and even his last-5 combined output is 27.8. The line is close, but the longer sample leans under.

paUNDER 21.571%HIGH

Points plus assists season average is 15.3 and the last-5 is 22.2, but his baseline is still well below 21.5. Because combo props are higher variance, the under is safer.

timelineUNDER 18.5 PTS