AI Model:

Kyle Kuzma▼

MIL · PF

PPG

13.0

RPG

4.6

APG

2.6

L5 PPG

12.0

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-1.0

13.0

12.0

RPG-2.0

4.6

2.6

APG+0.4

2.6

3.0

SPG+0.7

0.7

1.4

BPG+0.2

0.4

0.6

OVER 12.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

12.5

CLE

2026-02-25

2026-02-25 vs CLE: 17 pts

NYK

2026-02-27

2026-02-27 vs NYK: 17 pts

CHI

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs CHI: 10 pts

ATL

2026-03-04

2026-03-04 vs ATL: 16 pts

UTA

2026-03-07

2026-03-07 vs UTA: 18 pts

PHX

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs PHX: 33 pts

MIA

2026-03-12

2026-03-12 vs MIA: 5 pts

ATL

2026-03-14

2026-03-14 vs ATL: 11 pts

IND

2026-03-15

2026-03-15 vs IND: 8 pts

CLE

2026-03-17

2026-03-17 vs CLE: 3 pts

Over 12.5

Under 12.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

OVER 12.5FANDUEL

58%

REB

UNDER 6.5FANDUEL

72%

AST

OVER 2.5BOVADA

55%

3PM

OVER 1.5FANDUEL

63%

STL

OVER 0.5STAKE

52%

BLK

UNDER 0.5STAKE

60%

STL+BLK

UNDER 1.5

57%

OVER 2

54%

P+R

UNDER 18.5FANDUEL

66%

P+A

OVER 14.5FANDUEL

56%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

15.6

11.9

RPG

3.8

4.8

APG

3.9

2.4

vs UTA (H2H)9 games

PPG

17.1

RPG

4.9

APG

4.1

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Paul George	3	14	50%	-15.8%	medium
Miles Bridges	4	11	46%	-13.4%	medium
Karl-Anthony Towns	3	10	44%	-11.6%	medium
Kon Knueppel	3	10	70%

Kuzma’s scoring is steady, but the rebound market looks fragile

Kyle Kuzma is averaging 13.0 points, 4.6 rebounds, and 2.6 assists on the season while playing 26.6 MPG, with his recent form trending slightly down overall. His last 5 shows 12.0 PPG and just 2.6 RPG, which is well below his season rebounding level and supports a cautious outlook on boards. He has played better at home than away in scoring (15.6 PPG home vs 11.9 away), but tonight is on the road, which tempers the projection. The matchup context is mixed: Utah’s defense has a 125.21 defensive rating and allows a three_suppression of 1.42, while Kuzma has historically produced 17.11111111111111 PPG in 9 games vs this opponent.

Stat Trends

PPG

12.0(↓ from 13.0)

RPG

2.6(↓ from 4.6)

APG

3.0(↑ from 2.6)

Stocks

2.0(↑ from 1.0)

Key Matchup

No specific defender matchup data was provided. Utah’s team defense context is usable: a 125.21 defensive rating, pace of 100, scoring_suppression of 2.248, and three_suppression of 1.42 create a mixed but manageable environment for Kuzma.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Kyle Kuzma▼	Points	12.5	OVER	58%MEDIUM	1/2	50%	11	✗
Kyle Kuzma▼	Rebounds	6.5	UNDER	72%HIGH	2/2	100%	5	✓
Kyle Kuzma▼	Assists	2.5	OVER	55%MEDIUM	2/2	50%	1	✗
Kyle Kuzma▼	3PM	1.5	OVER	63%MEDIUM	2/2	50%	0	✗
Kyle Kuzma▼	Steals	0.5	OVER	52%MEDIUM	—	50%	1	✓
Kyle Kuzma▼	Blocks	0.5	UNDER	60%MEDIUM	—	70%	0	✓
Kyle Kuzma▼	STL+BLK	1.5	UNDER	57%MEDIUM	—	70%	1	✓
Kyle Kuzma▼	Turnovers	2	OVER	54%MEDIUM	—	20%	3	✓
Kyle Kuzma▼	P+R	18.5	UNDER	66%MEDIUM	2/2	60%	16	✓
Kyle Kuzma▼	P+A	14.5	OVER	56%MEDIUM	2/2	60%	12	✗

ML Scout Analysis

R+A6.5UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 3x9/2045%▼

P+R17.5OVER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (9/20)11/2055%▼

P+A16.5OVER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (9/20)11/2055%▼

Featured Pick

Kyle Kuzma

Rebounds UNDER 6.5HIGH

This is the cleanest number on the board relative to Kuzma’s profile. He is averaging 4.6 rebounds on the season and just 2.6 over his last 5, so 6.5 is well above both his baseline and recent production.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Ace Bailey	2	6	2	20%	20%
Andersson Garcia	1	3	0	0%	0%
Kyle Filipowski	2	2	2	100%	100%
Elijah Harkless	2	2	3	50%	75%
Cody Williams	2	1	2	100%	100%

pointsOVER 12.558%MEDIUM

His season scoring mean is 13.0 and his home/away split is still close enough to this number, but the road setting and recent 12.0 PPG keep this from being a strong over. This is a thin edge rather than a conviction play.

reboundsUNDER 6.572%HIGH

Kuzma is averaging 4.6 rebounds on the season and only 2.6 over his last 5, well below 6.5. His recent rebound profile is also soft relative to the line, making the under the cleaner side.

assistsOVER 2.555%MEDIUM

He is at 2.6 APG for the season and 3.0 over his last 5, so 2.5 is reachable. The assist trend is slightly up, but the variance is high, so confidence stays modest.

threesOVER 1.563%MEDIUM

He averages 1.22 threes per game on the season and 2.3 over his last 5, plus his recent shot volume from deep has been 2.0 attempts per game. The market edge data also supports the over on 1.5 made threes.

stealsOVER 0.552%MEDIUM

He is at 0.7 steals per game on the season and 1.4 over his last 5. This is a volatile stat, so the over is playable but not especially strong.

blocksUNDER 0.560%MEDIUM

His season average is only 0.4 blocks and his last 20 is just 0.1, so 0.5 is a tough threshold. Even with a slightly better recent stretch, the season baseline still points under.

stocksUNDER 1.557%MEDIUM

He averages 1.03 stocks on the season and 1.1 over the last 10, both below 1.5. The recent uptick helps, but the combined number still profiles below the line.

turnoversOVER 254%MEDIUM

He is at 1.8 turnovers over his last 20 and 2.0 over his last 5, which puts 2.0 right in play. The road environment and recent usage suggest a fair chance to clear it.

prUNDER 18.566%MEDIUM

His season points plus rebounds profile is 17.6 using 13.0 PPG and 4.6 RPG, and rebounds have been especially weak recently. With the line at 18.5, the under has the better shape.

paOVER 14.556%MEDIUM

He averages 15.6 points plus assists on the season using 13.0 PPG and 2.6 APG, so this is just below his baseline. The recent assist uptick keeps the over viable, but not strong.

timelineOVER 12.5 PTS