Last 10 games
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrese Maxey | 3 | 25 | 57% | +2.7% | medium |
| Immanuel Quickley | 4 | 20 | 65% | +4.9% | medium |
| Jalen Pickett | 2 | 17 | 44% | -14.0% | low |
| Jalen Brunson | 3 | 16 | 71% |
Ryan Rollins has been productive as a rotation PG, with season averages of 16.8 PPG, 4.6 RPG, and 5.6 APG across 32.3 MPG. His recent form is solid but mixed: the last 5 show 18.2 PPG and 7.2 APG, while the last 10 dip to 14.8 PPG with 6.6 APG, so the scoring surge has not been perfectly consistent. Utah’s defense context is favorable for pace and shot volume, but his head-to-head sample vs this opponent is small and muted at 5.0 PPG, 4.0 RPG, and 3.33 APG in 17 MPG. Given the season baselines and the over-bias warning, the cleaner angles are the lower lines rather than chasing higher-volume overs.
The opponent defense context shows a 125.21 defensive rating, pace of 100, and scoring suppression of 2.248, which is not a strong obstacle to production. There is no specific defender matchup data beyond the listed players, so the cleaner read comes from the team-level context rather than a named perimeter stopper.
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ryan Rollins▼ | Points | 18.5 | UNDER | 64%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 70% | 15 | ✓ |
Ryan Rollins▼ | Rebounds | 4.5 | UNDER | 62%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 60% | 3 | ✓ |
Ryan Rollins▼ | Assists | 7.5 | UNDER | 72%HIGH | 1/2 | 60% | 5 | ✓ |
Ryan Rollins▼ | 3PM | 2.5 | OVER | 55%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 50% | 3 | ✓ |
Ryan Rollins▼ | Steals | 1.5 | UNDER | 66%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 50% | 0 | ✓ |
Ryan Rollins▼ | Blocks | 0.5 | OVER | 53%MEDIUM | — | 30% | 0 | ✗ |
Ryan Rollins▼ | STL+BLK | 1.5 | OVER | 58%MEDIUM | — | 70% | 0 | ✗ |
Ryan Rollins▼ | Turnovers | 3 | OVER | 63%MEDIUM | — | 40% | 3 | ✗ |
Ryan Rollins▼ | PRA | 29.5 | UNDER | 57%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 60% | 23 | ✓ |
Ryan Rollins▼ | P+A | 25.5 | UNDER | 61%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 70% | 20 | ✓ |
This is the most supported angle because the season mean is 5.59 APG, the last 10 are 6.6, and his b2b mean is 4.91, all below the line. The value-prop data also repeatedly flags the under as positive EV, making it the clearest play on the board.
| medium |
| Dennis Schröder | 4 | 16 | 39% | -14.0% | medium |
| Defender | Games | Min | PTS | FG% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Harkless | 2 | 6 | 5 | 29% | 29% |
| Cody Williams | 2 | 4 | 7 | 43% | 50% |
| Keyonte George | 1 | 4 | 3 | 33% | 50% |
| Ace Bailey | 2 | 2 | 4 | 50% | 50% |
| Bez Mbeng | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
His season mean is 16.8 PPG and the last 10 are 14.8, so 18.5 sits above both baselines. The recent 18.2 last 5 is a bit hotter, but the sample is not strong enough to override the season trend.
He averages 4.6 RPG on the season, essentially right on the line, but his last 5 are only 3.2 RPG. With home mean at 4.7 and away mean at 4.8, this is close to fair but slightly better to the under given regression risk.
Season average is 5.6 APG and the last 10 are 6.6, both below 7.5. The value props also strongly favor under on this number, and his b2b mean of 4.91 reinforces the lower side.
He averages 2.45 made threes on the season and 2.4 over the last 10, so 2.5 is near the median outcome. This is a narrow edge either way, but the current volume supports a slight over lean.
He averages 1.5 steals season-long, but the last 5 are down to 1.0 and the line requires multiple swipes to beat consistently. With modest variance and a high bar at 1.5, the under is the safer side.
His season average is 0.4 blocks and the last 5 are 0.6, so this is a thin edge. It is volatile, but recent game logs include multiple block appearances, giving the over a slight lean.
He averages 1.92 stocks on the season and 2.1 over the last 10, both above the 1.5 threshold. The recent form supports clearing this number more often than not.
His recent game logs show 2.6 turnovers over the last 5 and 3.0 over the last 10, with a 3.5 last 20. That turnover load makes the over the more natural side if a line is set around 3.0.
This combo is always higher variance, and his season profile of 16.8 points, 4.6 rebounds, and 5.6 assists does not strongly support a push above 29.5. The last 5 are stronger, but combo props are specifically a spot to stay conservative.
His season points-plus-assists baseline is 22.4, with the last 10 at 21.4 and the last 5 at 25.4. This line is right on the edge, but the season and last-10 data tilt slightly under.