AI Model:

Ryan Rollins▲

MIL · PG

PPG

16.8

RPG

4.6

APG

5.6

L5 PPG

18.2

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+1.4

16.8

18.2

RPG-1.4

4.6

3.2

APG+1.6

5.6

7.2

SPG-0.5

1.5

1.0

BPG+0.2

0.4

0.6

UNDER 18.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

18.5

CHI

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs CHI: 11 pts

BOS

2026-03-02

2026-03-02 vs BOS: 5 pts

ATL

2026-03-04

2026-03-04 vs ATL: 13 pts

UTA

2026-03-07

2026-03-07 vs UTA: 13 pts

ORL

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs ORL: 15 pts

PHX

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs PHX: 14 pts

MIA

2026-03-12

2026-03-12 vs MIA: 16 pts

ATL

2026-03-14

2026-03-14 vs ATL: 22 pts

IND

2026-03-15

2026-03-15 vs IND: 20 pts

CLE

2026-03-17

2026-03-17 vs CLE: 19 pts

Over 18.5

Under 18.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 18.5FANDUEL

64%

REB

UNDER 4.5FANDUEL

62%

AST

UNDER 7.5FANDUEL

72%

3PM

OVER 2.5BETMGM

55%

STL

UNDER 1.5DRAFTKINGS

66%

BLK

OVER 0.5

53%

STL+BLK

OVER 1.5

58%

OVER 3

63%

PRA

UNDER 29.5FANDUEL

57%

P+A

UNDER 25.5FANDUEL

61%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

17.3

19.2

RPG

4.7

4.8

APG

5.6

6.8

vs UTA (H2H)3 games

PPG

5.0

RPG

4.0

APG

3.3

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Tyrese Maxey	3	25	57%	+2.7%	medium
Immanuel Quickley	4	20	65%	+4.9%	medium
Jalen Pickett	2	17	44%	-14.0%	low
Jalen Brunson	3	16	71%

Rollins brings steady all-around production, but the prop board leans conservative on the overs

Ryan Rollins has been productive as a rotation PG, with season averages of 16.8 PPG, 4.6 RPG, and 5.6 APG across 32.3 MPG. His recent form is solid but mixed: the last 5 show 18.2 PPG and 7.2 APG, while the last 10 dip to 14.8 PPG with 6.6 APG, so the scoring surge has not been perfectly consistent. Utah’s defense context is favorable for pace and shot volume, but his head-to-head sample vs this opponent is small and muted at 5.0 PPG, 4.0 RPG, and 3.33 APG in 17 MPG. Given the season baselines and the over-bias warning, the cleaner angles are the lower lines rather than chasing higher-volume overs.

Stat Trends

PPG

18.2(↑ from 16.8)

APG

7.2(↑ from 5.6)

RPG

3.2(↓ from 4.6)

Stocks

1.6(↓ from 1.9)

3PM

2.8(↑ from 2.5)

Key Matchup

The opponent defense context shows a 125.21 defensive rating, pace of 100, and scoring suppression of 2.248, which is not a strong obstacle to production. There is no specific defender matchup data beyond the listed players, so the cleaner read comes from the team-level context rather than a named perimeter stopper.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Ryan Rollins▼	Points	18.5	UNDER	64%MEDIUM	1/2	70%	15	✓
Ryan Rollins▼	Rebounds	4.5	UNDER	62%MEDIUM	2/2	60%	3	✓
Ryan Rollins▼	Assists	7.5	UNDER	72%HIGH	1/2	60%	5	✓
Ryan Rollins▼	3PM	2.5	OVER	55%MEDIUM	1/2	50%	3	✓
Ryan Rollins▼	Steals	1.5	UNDER	66%MEDIUM	2/2	50%	0	✓
Ryan Rollins▼	Blocks	0.5	OVER	53%MEDIUM	—	30%	0	✗
Ryan Rollins▼	STL+BLK	1.5	OVER	58%MEDIUM	—	70%	0	✗
Ryan Rollins▼	Turnovers	3	OVER	63%MEDIUM	—	40%	3	✗
Ryan Rollins▼	PRA	29.5	UNDER	57%MEDIUM	2/2	60%	23	✓
Ryan Rollins▼	P+A	25.5	UNDER	61%MEDIUM	1/2	70%	20	✓

ML Scout Analysis

P+A23.5OVER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (10/20)OVER 2x10/2050%▼

P+R22UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 2x7/2035%▼

R+A10.5UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (8/20)9/2045%▼

Featured Pick

Ryan Rollins

Assists UNDER 7.5HIGH

This is the most supported angle because the season mean is 5.59 APG, the last 10 are 6.6, and his b2b mean is 4.91, all below the line. The value-prop data also repeatedly flags the under as positive EV, making it the clearest play on the board.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Elijah Harkless	2	6	5	29%	29%
Cody Williams	2	4	7	43%	50%
Keyonte George	1	4	3	33%	50%
Ace Bailey	2	2	4	50%	50%
Bez Mbeng	1	2	0	0%	0%

pointsUNDER 18.564%MEDIUM

His season mean is 16.8 PPG and the last 10 are 14.8, so 18.5 sits above both baselines. The recent 18.2 last 5 is a bit hotter, but the sample is not strong enough to override the season trend.

reboundsUNDER 4.562%MEDIUM

He averages 4.6 RPG on the season, essentially right on the line, but his last 5 are only 3.2 RPG. With home mean at 4.7 and away mean at 4.8, this is close to fair but slightly better to the under given regression risk.

assistsUNDER 7.572%HIGH

Season average is 5.6 APG and the last 10 are 6.6, both below 7.5. The value props also strongly favor under on this number, and his b2b mean of 4.91 reinforces the lower side.

threesOVER 2.555%MEDIUM

He averages 2.45 made threes on the season and 2.4 over the last 10, so 2.5 is near the median outcome. This is a narrow edge either way, but the current volume supports a slight over lean.

stealsUNDER 1.566%MEDIUM

He averages 1.5 steals season-long, but the last 5 are down to 1.0 and the line requires multiple swipes to beat consistently. With modest variance and a high bar at 1.5, the under is the safer side.

blocksOVER 0.553%MEDIUM

His season average is 0.4 blocks and the last 5 are 0.6, so this is a thin edge. It is volatile, but recent game logs include multiple block appearances, giving the over a slight lean.

stocksOVER 1.558%MEDIUM

He averages 1.92 stocks on the season and 2.1 over the last 10, both above the 1.5 threshold. The recent form supports clearing this number more often than not.

turnoversOVER 363%MEDIUM

His recent game logs show 2.6 turnovers over the last 5 and 3.0 over the last 10, with a 3.5 last 20. That turnover load makes the over the more natural side if a line is set around 3.0.

praUNDER 29.557%MEDIUM

This combo is always higher variance, and his season profile of 16.8 points, 4.6 rebounds, and 5.6 assists does not strongly support a push above 29.5. The last 5 are stronger, but combo props are specifically a spot to stay conservative.

paUNDER 25.561%MEDIUM

His season points-plus-assists baseline is 22.4, with the last 10 at 21.4 and the last 5 at 25.4. This line is right on the edge, but the season and last-10 data tilt slightly under.

timelineUNDER 18.5 PTS