Last 10 games
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarace Walker | 2 | 6 | 90% | +34.0% | low |
| Baylor Scheierman | 1 | 5 | 0% | -46.0% | low |
| Dean Wade | 2 | 4 | 33% | -12.7% | low |
| Kawhi Leonard | 2 | 4 | 63% |
Taurean Prince is producing modestly, with 6.0 points, 1.8 rebounds, and 0.9 assists per game on the season across 19.8 minutes. His last-5 scoring is 5.8, which is basically in line with his season average, so there is no strong surge to chase. He has handled this matchup reasonably well historically at 8.25 points, 3.08 rebounds, and 2.08 assists over 12 games, but the current role still looks capped. With Utah on the second night of a back-to-back, there is some pace upside, but Prince’s low volume keeps the projection conservative.
Utah’s defense data shows a 125.21 defensive rating, 100 pace, and 1.42 three suppression, which gives Prince a mixed environment for scoring and perimeter volume. The key defender data does not provide a meaningful specific matchup edge, so there is no specific defender matchup data.
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Taurean Prince▼ | Points | 6.5 | OVER | 56%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 50% | 6 | ✗ |
Taurean Prince▼ | Rebounds | 2.5 | UNDER | 64%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 70% | 2 | ✓ |
Taurean Prince▼ | Assists | 1 | UNDER | 66%MEDIUM | — | 90% | 1 | ✗ |
Taurean Prince▼ | 3PM | 1.5 | OVER | 58%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 50% | 2 | ✓ |
Taurean Prince▼ | Blocks | 0.5 | UNDER | 88%HIGH | — | 90% | 0 | ✓ |
Taurean Prince▼ | STL+BLK | 1.5 | UNDER | 63%MEDIUM | — | 100% | 0 | ✓ |
Taurean Prince▼ | P+R | 9.5 | UNDER | 68%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 70% | 8 | ✓ |
Taurean Prince▼ | PRA | 11.5 | UNDER | 71%HIGH | 2/2 | 90% | 9 | ✓ |
Prince’s season average is only 0.2 blocks per game, far below the 0.5 line. That gap is large enough to make this the cleanest play on the board, especially compared with his more volatile points and threes markets.
| low |
| Jordan Miller | 2 | 4 | 0% | -46.0% | low |
| Defender | Games | Min | PTS | FG% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ace Bailey | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Bez Mbeng | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Andersson Garcia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Blake Hinson | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Cody Williams | 1 | 0 | 2 | 100% | 100% |
His season average is 6.0 and last-5 is 5.8, so 6.5 is only slightly above his baseline. The matchup history is stronger at 8.25 PPG vs Utah, but the low minute load keeps this from being a high-confidence over.
Prince averages just 1.8 rebounds on the season and 1.6 over the last 10. A 2.5 line asks for above-average rebounding in a role that has not shown consistent volume.
His season assist average is 0.9 and recent form is even lower at 0.8 over the last 5. With only 19.8 minutes per game, 1+ assist is possible but still slightly more likely to stay under.
He averages 1.46 made threes per game and 1.3 over the last 10, while his home mean is 1.71. This is close to a coin flip, but his volume has been enough to keep 2 made threes in play.
He averages only 0.2 blocks per game, so this line is well above his normal production. Even with occasional defensive activity, the under is the clear side.
His season stocks average is 0.85 and the last-5 is 0.6, both below this threshold. The away split is stronger at 1.33, but the overall mean still points under.
Prince averages 6.0 points and 1.8 rebounds, which combines to 7.8 on the season. Even with his better historical numbers vs Utah, 9.5 is a stretch for his current usage.
His season PRA is 8.7 using the provided averages, and the recent trend has not moved meaningfully upward. Combo props carry more variance, but this line is still comfortably above his baseline.