Last 10 games
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Herbert Jones | 3 | 12 | 50% | +2.7% | medium |
| Bruce Brown | 3 | 11 | 0% | -47.3% | medium |
| Julian Champagnie | 4 | 10 | 63% | +2.7% | medium |
| Kris Dunn | 4 | 10 | 33% |
Cam Spencer is trending slightly up, with his last 10 games at 12.6 PPG, 2.4 RPG, and 4.5 APG while holding steady around 23 minutes per game. The season baseline is still more modest at 11.4 PPG and 5.4 APG, and his home scoring drops to 9.4 PPG compared with 11.3 away. New York’s listed team defense profile plus Memphis on a back-to-back adds some caution, so the projection leans closer to his season averages than his recent scoring spike.
Josh Hart, Mikal Bridges, and Jordan Clarkson are the only listed key defenders, so there is no specific defender matchup data to lean on beyond the general opponent profile. The Knicks’ defense context and Memphis being on a back-to-back add some downside to efficiency and overall volume.
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cam Spencer▼ | Points | 10.5 | OVER | 58%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 60% |
Cam Spencer▼ | Rebounds | 2.5 | UNDER | 64%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 70% |
Cam Spencer▼ | Assists | 7.5 | UNDER | 72%HIGH | 2/2 | 90% |
Cam Spencer▼ | 3PM | 2 | UNDER | 60%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 90% |
Cam Spencer▼ | Steals | 0.5 | OVER | 55%MEDIUM | — | 60% |
Cam Spencer▼ | STL+BLK | 1.5 | UNDER | 63%MEDIUM | — | 70% |
Cam Spencer▼ | Turnovers | 1 | OVER | 57%MEDIUM | — | 10% |
Cam Spencer▼ | PRA | 18.5 | UNDER | 67%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 50% |
Cam Spencer▼ | P+A | 18.5 | UNDER | 70%HIGH | 2/2 | 60% |
This is the cleanest mismatch between the line and his production. Cam Spencer is averaging 5.4 assists for the season and 4.5 over the last 10, with his recent game logs rarely threatening 8 assists.
| medium |
| Nique Clifford | 4 | 10 | 58% | +2.7% | medium |
| Defender | Games | Min | PTS | FG% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Hart | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Landry Shamet | 2 | 3 | 3 | 33% | 50% |
| Mikal Bridges | 2 | 3 | 5 | 50% | 50% |
| Jordan Clarkson | 2 | 2 | 5 | 100% | 125% |
| Miles McBride | 1 | 2 | 3 | 50% | 75% |
He is averaging 11.4 PPG on the season and 11.3 in away games, which is slightly above this line. The recent 12.6 PPG over the last 10 supports the over, but the home split at 9.4 PPG keeps the edge modest.
His season average is 2.6 rebounds, but the last 5 is only 1.4 and the last 10 is 2.4. Since his home rebound rate is 3.1 but recent production has cooled, the under is safer at this price.
Cam is at 5.4 APG for the season and 4.5 over the last 10, well below 7.5. His recent game logs show only one 7-assist game and multiple outcomes in the 3-5 range, making the under the strongest angle.
He averages 2.05 made threes per game on the season and 2.0 over the last 10, which leaves very little cushion. With the opponent showing slight three suppression and his home 3PM at 1.6 in the split data, the under is reasonable.
His season steals average is 0.7 and the away split is 0.8, so clearing 0.5 is achievable. The recent trend is stable rather than spiking, so this is more of a volume-based lean than a strong edge.
He averages 0.85 stocks on the season and 1.1 over the last 10, but that still sits below 1.5. Given the combined block-plus-steal rate and the variance in this category, the under is the better side.
His recent turnover numbers sit near 0.7-1.0, and the season profile is not elite-low once minutes and playmaking volume are considered. This is a thin edge, but 1.0 is reachable if he handles the ball at his normal rate.
His season PRA is 19.4 from 11.4 points, 2.6 rebounds, and 5.4 assists, but the home split and last 5 rebound/assist dip pull the projection down. With combo props carrying more variance, the under has the cleaner profile here.
Points plus assists comes in at 16.8 on the season and 17.1 over the last 10, both below 18.5. His scoring is modest and the assist line is much higher than his normal output, so the under is the preferred side.