AI Model:

Cedric Coward▲

MEM · SG

PPG

13.4

RPG

6.2

APG

2.8

L5 PPG

13.4

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG0.0

13.4

RPG+0.4

6.2

6.6

APG-0.6

2.8

2.2

SPG0.0

0.6

BPG+0.2

0.4

0.6

UNDER 13.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

13.5

MIN

2026-02-02

2026-02-02 vs MIN: 14 pts

SAC

2026-02-04

2026-02-04 vs SAC: 5 pts

POR

2026-02-06

2026-02-06 vs POR: 11 pts

GSW

2026-02-09

2026-02-09 vs GSW: 2 pts

MIN

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs MIN: 15 pts

LAC

2026-03-07

2026-03-07 vs LAC: 15 pts

PHI

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs PHI: 13 pts

DET

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs DET: 7 pts

CHI

2026-03-16

2026-03-16 vs CHI: 17 pts

DEN

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs DEN: 15 pts

Over 13.5

Under 13.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 13.5STAKE

58%

REB

UNDER 6.5STAKE

60%

AST

OVER 2.5STAKE

54%

3PM

UNDER 1.5

56%

STL

OVER 0.5STAKE

52%

BLK

UNDER 0.5STAKE

67%

STL+BLK

UNDER 1.5

55%

OVER 2

53%

P+R

UNDER 20.5STAKE

59%

P+A

UNDER 16.5STAKE

61%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

14.8

11.0

RPG

5.9

5.3

APG

2.1

3.0

vs NYK (H2H)1 games

PPG

11.0

RPG

3.0

APG

5.0

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Saddiq Bey	4	18	66%	+5.8%	medium
Donte DiVincenzo	4	13	100%	+23.2%	medium
Jabari Smith Jr.	3	11	83%	+19.9%	medium
Kevin Durant	3	10	17%

Home bump helps Cedric Coward, but the numbers lean cautious on overs

Cedric Coward is producing 13.4 PPG, 6.2 RPG, and 2.8 APG on the season, with his home split notably better at 14.8 PPG and 2.0 threes per game. His last 5 shows steady scoring at 13.4 PPG, but his last 10 dips to 11.4 PPG, so the recent form is mixed rather than explosive. The matchup is not a major pace boost, with New York listed at a 110.6 defensive rating and 100 pace, and Coward’s season volume suggests modest projection ranges. Because his recent minutes have been down at 23.3 compared with 26.1 on the season, the safer lean is to the lower side on higher-volume props.

Stat Trends

PPG

13.4(→ from 13.4)

RPG

6.6(↑ from 6.2)

APG

2.2(↓ from 2.8)

Key Matchup

No specific defender matchup data is available from the provided information. The opponent profile shows a 110.6 defensive rating, 100 pace, and -1.087 scoring suppression, which is a neutral-to-slightly negative environment for offense.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend
Cedric Coward▼	Points	13.5	UNDER	58%MEDIUM	2/2	50%
Cedric Coward▼	Rebounds	6.5	UNDER	60%MEDIUM	2/2	50%
Cedric Coward▼	Assists	2.5	OVER	54%MEDIUM	1/2	40%
Cedric Coward▼	3PM	1.5	UNDER	56%MEDIUM	2/2	60%
Cedric Coward▼	Steals	0.5	OVER	52%MEDIUM	—	50%
Cedric Coward▼	Blocks	0.5	UNDER	67%MEDIUM	—	50%
Cedric Coward▼	STL+BLK	1.5	UNDER	55%MEDIUM	—	70%
Cedric Coward▼	Turnovers	2	OVER	53%MEDIUM	—	30%
Cedric Coward▼	P+R	20.5	UNDER	59%MEDIUM	2/2	70%
Cedric Coward▼	P+A	16.5	UNDER	61%MEDIUM	1/2	90%

ML Scout Analysis

P+A15UNDER0%logisticWeak Leg (10/20)9/2045%▼

R+A7.5UNDER0%logisticWeak Leg (9/20)8/2040%▼

P+R17UNDER0%logisticWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 4x8/2040%▼

Featured Pick

Cedric Coward

Rebounds UNDER 6.5MEDIUM

This is the cleanest lean because his season average is 6.19 and his last 10 is 5.7, both below the line. The away split is also only 5.3 RPG, so there is a small but consistent edge to the under.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
OG Anunoby	2	8	5	20%	20%
Mikal Bridges	2	6	5	67%	83%
Josh Hart	2	2	3	50%	75%
Jalen Brunson	1	2	7	60%	70%
Jordan Clarkson	2	1	0	0%	0%

pointsUNDER 13.558%MEDIUM

His season mean is 13.35 and recent mean is 11.4, while his away scoring is only 11.0 PPG. With minutes down to 23.3 over the last 10, this line is close enough to prefer the slight under.

reboundsUNDER 6.560%MEDIUM

He averages 6.19 rebounds for the season and 5.7 over the last 5, both below 6.5. His away split is 5.3 RPG, which supports an under lean.

assistsOVER 2.554%MEDIUM

Coward’s season assist average is 2.81 and his home mean is 2.88, slightly above the line. The recent mean is 2.3, so this is only a modest edge.

threesUNDER 1.556%MEDIUM

He averages 1.48 made threes on the season and 1.1 over the last 5, both below or near this number. Even with a home boost to 2.0, the recent trend is not strong enough to force an over.

stealsOVER 0.552%MEDIUM

He averages 0.6 steals on the season and 0.6 over the last 5, which clears 0.5. This is a low-margin prop, so confidence stays modest.

blocksUNDER 0.567%MEDIUM

His season average is 0.4 blocks and last 10 is 0.5, but the season baseline remains below the line. With limited block volume, the under is the safer side.

stocksUNDER 1.555%MEDIUM

He averages 1.0 stocks on the season and 1.2 over the last 5, which does not strongly support 1.5. The combo nature adds variance, so the under is preferred.

turnoversOVER 253%MEDIUM

His last 10 turnover average is 1.9 and season rate is 2.0 per the recent logs and context, keeping this right around the line. Given the volatility and recent 2.2 over the last 5, the over is a slight lean.

prUNDER 20.559%MEDIUM

His season point-rebound profile is 13.35 points and 6.19 rebounds, which totals below this line. Recent minutes have dipped, which makes it harder to clear 20.5.

paUNDER 16.561%MEDIUM

His season points plus assists baseline is 16.16, and his recent mean is 13.7 using last 5 scoring and assist volume. That makes the under the more logical play at 16.5.

timelineUNDER 13.5 PTS

Defensive Matchup Profile

Home bump helps Cedric Coward, but the numbers lean cautious on overs

Stat Trends

Key Matchup

Prop Analysis

ML Scout Analysis

Featured Pick

UNDER 13.5 PTS