Last 10 games
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottie Barnes | 4 | 19 | 57% | -2.5% | medium |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 4 | 16 | 64% | +11.3% | medium |
| Miles Bridges | 3 | 12 | 56% | -6.2% | medium |
| Paolo Banchero | 3 | 10 | 59% |
Josh Hart is trending up overall, with his last-10 production at 13.2 points, 8.1 rebounds, and 4.4 assists, but his season baseline remains a more modest 12.1/7.6/5.1. His last-5 scoring spike to 15.6 PPG is notable, though it sits well above the season mean and is a spot where regression risk matters. The matchup context is mixed: Memphis allows 118.62 defensive rating and is on a back-to-back, but Hart’s head-to-head sample against this opponent is only 9.27 PPG, 6.36 RPG, and 4.73 APG across 11 games. With his away splits lower than home and this game in Memphis, the safer lean is on the under for the higher-scoring or higher-volume lines.
Memphis has a 118.62 defensive rating and is playing on a back-to-back, but there is no specific defender matchup data. Hart’s 11-game history against this opponent is below his season scoring and rebounding rates at 9.27 points and 6.36 rebounds, which tempers the ceiling.
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Josh Hart▼ | Points | 11.5 | OVER | 58%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 50% |
Josh Hart▼ | Rebounds | 7.5 | OVER | 57%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 40% |
Josh Hart▼ | Assists | 4.5 | OVER | 55%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 60% |
Josh Hart▼ | 3PM | 1.5 | UNDER | 60%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 60% |
Josh Hart▼ | Steals | 1.5 | UNDER | 66%MEDIUM | — | 70% |
Josh Hart▼ | Blocks | 0.5 | UNDER | 72%HIGH | — | 80% |
Josh Hart▼ | STL+BLK | 1.5 | UNDER | 61%MEDIUM | — | 60% |
Josh Hart▼ | Turnovers | 2 | UNDER | 64%MEDIUM | — | 80% |
Josh Hart▼ | P+R | 18.5 | OVER | 52%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 70% |
Josh Hart▼ | P+A | 15.5 | OVER | 51%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 50% |
Hart’s season average is only 0.3 blocks per game, and his last-10 mark is also 0.3. That is a clear gap below the 0.5 line, making this the most stable play in the set.
| medium |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo | 2 | 10 | 83% | +32.7% | low |
| Defender | Games | Min | PTS | FG% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cedric Coward | 2 | 4 | 10 | 25% | 25% |
| Santi Aldama | 1 | 2 | 7 | 100% | 117% |
| Jahmai Mashack | 1 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 50% |
| Jaylen Wells | 1 | 1 | 5 | 67% | 83% |
| Tyler Burton | 1 | 1 | 5 | 50% | 75% |
He averages 12.1 points on the season and 12.61 at home, with 13.2 in his last 10. The away split is lower at 10.6, so this is playable but not a high-confidence over.
His season average is 7.6 rebounds and his last-10 mark is 8.1. Memphis is on a back-to-back, which can help on the glass, but his away rebound average is only 6.8 so the edge is limited.
Hart sits at 5.1 assists per game for the season and 4.4 over the last 10, which is close to the line. The recent dip to 3.4 in the last 5 adds some caution, but the season profile still leans over.
He averages 1.48 threes per game season-long and 1.40 over the last 10, which is just below this threshold. The number is tight, but the safer call is under given the slight sub-1.5 baseline.
He averages 1.1 steals for the season, but only 0.8 over the last 5 and 1.0 over the last 10. That makes 1.5 a fairly demanding line for his typical output.
Hart averages just 0.3 blocks per game on the season and 0.3 over the last 10. He has not shown enough block volume to justify the over at 0.5.
His season stocks average is 1.41 and recent mean is 1.3, both just below 1.5. With the category already near the line and a back-to-back opponent context, the under is slightly preferable.
He is at 1.6 turnovers per game in both the last 5 and last 10, below a 2.0 line. That makes the under the cleaner side unless usage jumps materially.
His season points plus rebounds profile supports this, but combo props are higher variance. He’s around 19.7 PR on the season, so the edge is thin and confidence should stay modest.
He averages 17.2 points plus assists on the season, but the recent assist dip makes this less secure. The line is reachable, yet combo variance keeps confidence low.