AI Model:

Josh Hart▲

NYK · PF

PPG

12.1

RPG

7.6

APG

5.1

L5 PPG

15.6

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+3.5

12.1

15.6

RPG+1.0

7.6

8.6

APG-1.7

5.1

3.4

SPG-0.3

1.1

0.8

BPG-0.3

0.3

0.0

OVER 11.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

11.5

CLE

2026-02-24

2026-02-24 vs CLE: 10 pts

MIL

2026-02-27

2026-02-27 vs MIL: 12 pts

SAS

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs SAS: 10 pts

TOR

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs TOR: 12 pts

OKC

2026-03-04

2026-03-04 vs OKC: 10 pts

DEN

2026-03-06

2026-03-06 vs DEN: 18 pts

LAL

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs LAL: 8 pts

LAC

2026-03-09

2026-03-09 vs LAC: 12 pts

GSW

2026-03-15

2026-03-15 vs GSW: 7 pts

IND

2026-03-17

2026-03-17 vs IND: 33 pts

Over 11.5

Under 11.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

OVER 11.5STAKE

58%

REB

OVER 7.5STAKE

57%

AST

OVER 4.5STAKE

55%

3PM

UNDER 1.5

60%

STL

UNDER 1.5STAKE

66%

BLK

UNDER 0.5STAKE

72%

STL+BLK

UNDER 1.5

61%

UNDER 2

64%

P+R

OVER 18.5STAKE

52%

P+A

OVER 15.5STAKE

51%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

14.2

10.6

RPG

8.0

6.8

APG

5.2

4.5

vs MEM (H2H)11 games

PPG

9.3

RPG

6.4

APG

4.7

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Scottie Barnes	4	19	57%	-2.5%	medium
Jaime Jaquez Jr.	4	16	64%	+11.3%	medium
Miles Bridges	3	12	56%	-6.2%	medium
Paolo Banchero	3	10	59%

Hart’s all-around floor is solid, but Memphis nudges the profile toward a modest night

Josh Hart is trending up overall, with his last-10 production at 13.2 points, 8.1 rebounds, and 4.4 assists, but his season baseline remains a more modest 12.1/7.6/5.1. His last-5 scoring spike to 15.6 PPG is notable, though it sits well above the season mean and is a spot where regression risk matters. The matchup context is mixed: Memphis allows 118.62 defensive rating and is on a back-to-back, but Hart’s head-to-head sample against this opponent is only 9.27 PPG, 6.36 RPG, and 4.73 APG across 11 games. With his away splits lower than home and this game in Memphis, the safer lean is on the under for the higher-scoring or higher-volume lines.

Stat Trends

PPG

15.6(↑ from 12.1)

RPG

8.6(↑ from 7.6)

APG

3.4(↓ from 5.1)

Key Matchup

Memphis has a 118.62 defensive rating and is playing on a back-to-back, but there is no specific defender matchup data. Hart’s 11-game history against this opponent is below his season scoring and rebounding rates at 9.27 points and 6.36 rebounds, which tempers the ceiling.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend
Josh Hart▼	Points	11.5	OVER	58%MEDIUM	2/2	50%
Josh Hart▼	Rebounds	7.5	OVER	57%MEDIUM	2/2	40%
Josh Hart▼	Assists	4.5	OVER	55%MEDIUM	1/2	60%
Josh Hart▼	3PM	1.5	UNDER	60%MEDIUM	1/2	60%
Josh Hart▼	Steals	1.5	UNDER	66%MEDIUM	—	70%
Josh Hart▼	Blocks	0.5	UNDER	72%HIGH	—	80%
Josh Hart▼	STL+BLK	1.5	UNDER	61%MEDIUM	—	60%
Josh Hart▼	Turnovers	2	UNDER	64%MEDIUM	—	80%
Josh Hart▼	P+R	18.5	OVER	52%MEDIUM	2/2	70%
Josh Hart▼	P+A	15.5	OVER	51%MEDIUM	1/2	50%

ML Scout Analysis

P+R19UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 4x9/2045%▼

P+A15.5UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 4x9/2045%▼

R+A11.5OVER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (9/20)10/2050%▼

Featured Pick

Josh Hart

Blocks UNDER 0.5HIGH

Hart’s season average is only 0.3 blocks per game, and his last-10 mark is also 0.3. That is a clear gap below the 0.5 line, making this the most stable play in the set.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Cedric Coward	2	4	10	25%	25%
Santi Aldama	1	2	7	100%	117%
Jahmai Mashack	1	2	2	50%	50%
Jaylen Wells	1	1	5	67%	83%
Tyler Burton	1	1	5	50%	75%

pointsOVER 11.558%MEDIUM

He averages 12.1 points on the season and 12.61 at home, with 13.2 in his last 10. The away split is lower at 10.6, so this is playable but not a high-confidence over.

reboundsOVER 7.557%MEDIUM

His season average is 7.6 rebounds and his last-10 mark is 8.1. Memphis is on a back-to-back, which can help on the glass, but his away rebound average is only 6.8 so the edge is limited.

assistsOVER 4.555%MEDIUM

Hart sits at 5.1 assists per game for the season and 4.4 over the last 10, which is close to the line. The recent dip to 3.4 in the last 5 adds some caution, but the season profile still leans over.

threesUNDER 1.560%MEDIUM

He averages 1.48 threes per game season-long and 1.40 over the last 10, which is just below this threshold. The number is tight, but the safer call is under given the slight sub-1.5 baseline.

stealsUNDER 1.566%MEDIUM

He averages 1.1 steals for the season, but only 0.8 over the last 5 and 1.0 over the last 10. That makes 1.5 a fairly demanding line for his typical output.

blocksUNDER 0.572%HIGH

Hart averages just 0.3 blocks per game on the season and 0.3 over the last 10. He has not shown enough block volume to justify the over at 0.5.

stocksUNDER 1.561%MEDIUM

His season stocks average is 1.41 and recent mean is 1.3, both just below 1.5. With the category already near the line and a back-to-back opponent context, the under is slightly preferable.

turnoversUNDER 264%MEDIUM

He is at 1.6 turnovers per game in both the last 5 and last 10, below a 2.0 line. That makes the under the cleaner side unless usage jumps materially.

prOVER 18.552%MEDIUM

His season points plus rebounds profile supports this, but combo props are higher variance. He’s around 19.7 PR on the season, so the edge is thin and confidence should stay modest.

paOVER 15.551%MEDIUM

He averages 17.2 points plus assists on the season, but the recent assist dip makes this less secure. The line is reachable, yet combo variance keeps confidence low.

timelineOVER 11.5 PTS