AI Model:

Mitchell Robinson▲

NYK · C

PPG

5.3

RPG

8.9

APG

1.0

L5 PPG

6.8

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+1.5

5.3

6.8

RPG+2.5

8.9

11.4

APG+0.2

1.0

1.2

SPG+0.7

0.9

1.6

BPG-0.3

1.1

0.8

UNDER 5.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

5.5

CLE

2026-02-24

2026-02-24 vs CLE: 11 pts

MIL

2026-02-27

2026-02-27 vs MIL: 0 pts

SAS

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs SAS: 4 pts

TOR

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs TOR: 2 pts

DEN

2026-03-06

2026-03-06 vs DEN: 13 pts

LAL

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs LAL: 4 pts

UTA

2026-03-11

2026-03-11 vs UTA: 6 pts

IND

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs IND: 12 pts

GSW

2026-03-15

2026-03-15 vs GSW: 4 pts

IND

2026-03-17

2026-03-17 vs IND: 8 pts

Over 5.5

Under 5.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 5.5

66%

REB

OVER 8.5

60%

AST

UNDER 1

63%

STL+BLK

UNDER 2

58%

BLK

UNDER 1

61%

UNDER 1

64%

P+R

UNDER 14

57%

R+A

OVER 10

59%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

5.3

6.7

RPG

7.6

9.2

APG

0.7

0.9

vs MEM (H2H)5 games

PPG

10.0

RPG

8.2

APG

1.2

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Ivica Zubac	3	13	64%	-8.7%	medium
Ryan Kalkbrenner	2	13	75%	+2.7%	low
Wendell Carter Jr.	4	12	60%	-32.3%	medium
Nikola Vučević	3	11	68%

Robinson’s rebounding keeps him live, but the scoring line looks fragile

Mitchell Robinson is trending up, with his last 5 showing 6.8 PPG, 11.4 RPG, and 2.4 stocks across 21.2 MPG, compared with season marks of 5.3 PPG and 8.9 RPG. His recent rebounding spike is real, but the scoring baseline is still low and his season_std on points is 4.1, which makes overs less reliable. Memphis has a 118.62 defensive rating and a pace of 100, but there is no specific defender matchup data to sharpen the read. Overall, the cleanest angle is on rebounds, while points and combo props carry more variance.

Stat Trends

PPG

6.8(↑ from 5.3)

RPG

11.4(↑ from 8.9)

APG

1.2(→ from 1.0)

Stocks

2.4(↑ from 2.0)

Key Matchup

Memphis has a 118.62 defensive rating, pace of 100, and scoring_suppression of 0.744, but there is no specific defender matchup data. Robinson also has a solid history vs this opponent, averaging 10 points and 8.2 rebounds in 5 games.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend
Mitchell Robinson▼	Points	5.5	UNDER	66%MEDIUM	1/2	50%
Mitchell Robinson▼	Rebounds	8.5	OVER	60%MEDIUM	2/2	50%
Mitchell Robinson▼	Assists	1	UNDER	63%MEDIUM	—	70%
Mitchell Robinson▼	STL+BLK	2	UNDER	58%MEDIUM	—	70%
Mitchell Robinson▼	Blocks	1	UNDER	61%MEDIUM	—	60%
Mitchell Robinson▼	Turnovers	1	UNDER	64%MEDIUM	—	70%
Mitchell Robinson▼	P+R	14	UNDER	57%MEDIUM	2/2	50%
Mitchell Robinson▼	R+A	10	OVER	59%MEDIUM	1/2	40%

ML Scout Analysis

PRA13.5UNDER18%gbt_praWeak Leg (11/20)OVER 2x10/2050%▼

P+R15.5UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (11/20)OVER 2x9/2045%▼

P+A7.5UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (11/20)OVER 2x9/2045%▼

PTS6UNDER21%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (10/20)OVER 2x9/2045%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

FTA0.5UNDER0%gbtWeak Leg (10/20)10/2050%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER; Confidence moved HIGH to LOW▼

REB8UNDER24%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 2x9/2045%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

STL1UNDER45%gbt_stealsWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 2x6/2030%Confidence moved MEDIUM to HIGH▼

BLK1UNDER18%gbt_blocksWeak Leg (9/20)9/2045%Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW▼

R+A9.5OVER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 2x10/2050%▼

Featured Pick

Mitchell Robinson

Rebounds OVER 8.5MEDIUM

This is the strongest stat trend in the profile: 11.4 rebounds over the last 5, 9.6 over the last 10, and 8.9 for the season. The risk is variance and a relatively low-minute role, but the rebounding form is good enough to support the over.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

pointsUNDER 5.566%MEDIUM

His season mean is 5.3 points and even his recent 6.8 over the last 5 is not far enough above baseline to justify an over with his low-usage role. The last 20 sits at 6.1, and his scoring is volatile with a 4.1 season standard deviation.

reboundsOVER 8.560%MEDIUM

Robinson is averaging 8.9 rebounds on the season and 11.4 over the last 5, with 9.6 over the last 10. The recent trend is strong enough to support an over, though the 3.86 season std and 5.71 recent std keep confidence only moderate.

assistsUNDER 163%MEDIUM

He averages 1.0 assists on the season and 1.1 over the last 10, so this is close to fair value. With limited playmaking volume and no strong edge from the data, the under is the safer side.

stocksUNDER 258%MEDIUM

Season stocks are 1.96 and last 10 are 2.1, essentially right around the line. Because the stat is volatile and the season std is 1.49, this is a low-confidence over environment, so the under gets the slight lean.

blocksUNDER 161%MEDIUM

He averages 1.1 blocks for the season, but the last 5 dropped to 0.8 and the last 10 are 0.9. That recent dip makes an over less appealing at a 1.0 line.

turnoversUNDER 164%MEDIUM

His recent turnover rate is modest at 1.0 over the last 10 and 1.2 over the last 5. Given his low usage and limited creation role, staying under 1.0 is the cleaner angle.

prUNDER 1457%MEDIUM

His season points plus rebounds baseline is 14.2, but that number depends on both scoring and board volume staying elevated. Combo props are higher variance, so this leans under with a cautious margin.

raOVER 1059%MEDIUM

Rebounds plus assists season average is 9.9, and the last 5 jumps to 12.6 thanks to stronger rebounding. The assist component is small, but the rebound trend gives this a viable over path.

timelineUNDER 5.5 PTS

Defensive Matchup Profile

Robinson’s rebounding keeps him live, but the scoring line looks fragile

Stat Trends

Key Matchup

Prop Analysis

ML Scout Analysis

Featured Pick

UNDER 5.5 PTS