AI Model:

OG Anunoby—

NYK · SF

PPG

16.9

RPG

5.3

APG

2.2

L5 PPG

21.8

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+4.9

16.9

21.8

RPG+0.3

5.3

5.6

APG+0.4

2.2

2.6

SPG-0.7

1.7

1.0

BPG-0.5

0.7

0.2

OVER 15.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

15.5

SAS

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs SAS: 12 pts

TOR

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs TOR: 15 pts

OKC

2026-03-04

2026-03-04 vs OKC: 16 pts

DEN

2026-03-06

2026-03-06 vs DEN: 34 pts

LAL

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs LAL: 13 pts

LAC

2026-03-09

2026-03-09 vs LAC: 22 pts

UTA

2026-03-11

2026-03-11 vs UTA: 22 pts

IND

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs IND: 25 pts

GSW

2026-03-15

2026-03-15 vs GSW: 14 pts

IND

2026-03-17

2026-03-17 vs IND: 26 pts

Over 15.5

Under 15.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

OVER 15.5STAKE

58%

REB

UNDER 5.5STAKE

56%

AST

UNDER 2.5

63%

3PM

OVER 2.5

57%

STL

UNDER 1.5STAKE

60%

BLK

OVER 0.5STAKE

55%

STL+BLK

UNDER 2.5

59%

P+R

UNDER 20.5STAKE

54%

P+A

UNDER 18.5STAKE

66%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

18.3

19.5

RPG

4.9

5.3

APG

1.9

2.5

vs MEM (H2H)5 games

PPG

16.8

RPG

4.0

APG

3.0

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Jalen Johnson	3	16	53%	-1.2%	medium
Kevin Durant	2	14	61%	+3.6%	low
Brandon Ingram	3	13	73%	+18.1%	medium
Josh Giddey	4	13	46%

OG’s recent scoring surge meets a tougher road spot

OG Anunoby has been in strong form, averaging 21.8 PPG over his last 5 and 19.9 over his last 10, both well above his 16.9 season average. His minutes have stayed steady at 32-33, and he’s also contributing across the board with 5.6 RPG and 2.6 APG in the last 5. The risk is regression: his recent scoring is more than 20% above season norm, and the matchup environment includes Memphis allowing a 0.744 scoring suppression with a 118.62 defensive rating.

Stat Trends

PPG

21.8(↑ from 16.9)

RPG

5.6(→ from 5.3)

APG

2.6(↑ from 2.2)

Stocks

1.9(↓ from 2.4)

Key Matchup

Memphis has a 118.62 defensive rating with a 0.744 scoring suppression and 0.361 three suppression, so this is not a soft environment for raw scoring efficiency. The provided key defenders list does not create a clear primary matchup edge, so there is no specific defender matchup data to lean on.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend
OG Anunoby▼	Points	15.5	OVER	58%MEDIUM	1/2	60%
OG Anunoby▼	Rebounds	5.5	UNDER	56%MEDIUM	1/2	50%
OG Anunoby▼	Assists	2.5	UNDER	63%MEDIUM	1/2	70%
OG Anunoby▼	3PM	2.5	OVER	57%MEDIUM	2/2	50%
OG Anunoby▼	Steals	1.5	UNDER	60%MEDIUM	2/2	60%
OG Anunoby▼	Blocks	0.5	OVER	55%MEDIUM	—	40%
OG Anunoby▼	STL+BLK	2.5	UNDER	59%MEDIUM	—	70%
OG Anunoby▼	P+R	20.5	UNDER	54%MEDIUM	2/2	40%
OG Anunoby▼	P+A	18.5	UNDER	66%MEDIUM	1/2	50%

ML Scout Analysis

P+A21OVER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (11/20)OVER 3x10/2050%▼

P+R24UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (10/20)OVER 3x9/2045%▼

R+A7UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (9/20)8/2040%▼

Featured Pick

OG Anunoby

Points OVER 15.5MEDIUM

His season average is 16.9 PPG, and he’s been even hotter recently at 19.9 over the last 10 and 21.8 over the last 5. Even accounting for regression and the tougher team defense, 15.5 is still below his core scoring baseline.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
GG Jackson	1	4	6	50%	63%
Jaren Jackson Jr.	1	3	7	75%	88%
Cedric Coward	2	3	5	50%	63%
Santi Aldama	1	3	6	60%	60%
Tyler Burton	1	2	3	33%	50%

pointsOVER 15.558%MEDIUM

He’s averaged 16.9 PPG on the season and 19.9 over the last 10, so 15.5 is a modest bar even with some regression risk. His recent 26-point and 25-point games show the scoring upside is still live.

reboundsUNDER 5.556%MEDIUM

His season average is 5.3 RPG, and the most relevant recent sample is 5.6, which is close enough to the line to prefer the under in a lower-confidence spot. The away split is 5.3, but his season and recent baseline do not clearly clear 5.5.

assistsUNDER 2.563%MEDIUM

He averages only 2.2 APG for the season and 2.0 over the last 10, so a projected 2.5 line leans under. Even with a 2.6 last-5, his assist volume is still modest.

threesOVER 2.557%MEDIUM

He averages 2.2 made threes per game this season and 2.9 over the last 10, with 2.8-3.0 range support in the splits. The recent 4-for-5, 2-for-4, and 3-for-5 type production gives him a workable path over 2.5.

stealsUNDER 1.560%MEDIUM

His season mark is 1.7 SPG, but the last 5 is only 1.0 and the last 10 is 1.4, which makes 1.5 less secure than it looks. Defensive stats are volatile, and his recent stock output has cooled.

blocksOVER 0.555%MEDIUM

He averages 0.7 BPG on the season, so 0.5 is below his baseline. The variance is real, but his block rate is high enough to justify a slight over lean.

stocksUNDER 2.559%MEDIUM

Season stocks are 2.36, but his last 10 is 1.9 and last 5 is 1.2, showing a clear dip from his peak defensive production. A 2.5 combo line is asking for above-average steals and blocks together, which is a volatile ask.

prUNDER 20.554%MEDIUM

His season P+R baseline is 22.2, but the line is elevated and combo props carry extra variance. With Memphis’ suppression context and his scoring likely closer to season than last-5, the under is the safer lean.

paUNDER 18.566%MEDIUM

His season P+A is 19.1, but assists are only 2.2 per game and the line is near the top of his expected range. The recent scoring spike helps, but this still projects closer to a pass than a clean over.

timelineOVER 15.5 PTS