AI Model:

Olivier-Maxence Prosper▲

MEM · C

PPG

8.9

RPG

3.3

APG

1.0

L5 PPG

13.8

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+4.9

8.9

13.8

RPG+0.5

3.3

3.8

APG-0.4

1.0

0.6

SPG+0.9

0.7

1.6

BPG+0.1

0.3

0.4

OVER 8.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

8.5

IND

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs IND: 17 pts

MIN

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs MIN: 2 pts

POR

2026-03-04

2026-03-04 vs POR: 17 pts

LAC

2026-03-07

2026-03-07 vs LAC: 11 pts

BKN

2026-03-09

2026-03-09 vs BKN: 15 pts

PHI

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs PHI: 11 pts

DAL

2026-03-12

2026-03-12 vs DAL: 9 pts

DET

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs DET: 17 pts

CHI

2026-03-16

2026-03-16 vs CHI: 13 pts

DEN

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs DEN: 19 pts

Over 8.5

Under 8.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

OVER 8.5

61%

REB

UNDER 3.5

58%

AST

UNDER 1

67%

3PM

OVER 1

57%

STL

OVER 0.5

59%

BLK

UNDER 0.5

64%

STL+BLK

OVER 1.5

56%

UNDER 1.5

63%

PRA

OVER 13.5

54%

P+A

OVER 10

55%

P+R

OVER 12

57%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

12.8

13.3

RPG

4.5

4.3

APG

1.4

1.2

vs NYK (H2H)1 games

PPG

0.0

RPG

0.0

APG

0.0

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Donovan Clingan	3	13	72%	+13.8%	medium
Rudy Gobert	4	8	50%	-4.9%	medium
Nikola Jokić	2	8	75%	+7.6%	low
Julius Randle	4	7	65%

Prosper’s usage is up, but the scoring surge looks hard to trust

Olivier-Maxence Prosper is trending up, with 13.8 PPG over his last 5 and 13.1 PPG over his last 10 compared to an 8.9 PPG season mark. His minutes have also jumped from 18.0 season MPG to 24.9 in recent games, which is supporting the stronger scoring and stocks numbers. Even so, the last-5 scoring is well above his season baseline, so regression risk is real if the current shot volume cools. With no specific defender matchup data, the main edge is simply his recent role increase in a pace-neutral game environment.

Stat Trends

PPG

13.8(↑ from 8.9)

RPG

3.8(↑ from 3.3)

APG

0.6(↓ from 1.0)

Stocks

2.0(↑ from 0.9)

Key Matchup

No specific defender matchup data. The opponent has a 110.6 defensive rating, pace of 100, and a -0.042 three suppression mark, which points to a fairly neutral environment rather than a strong ceiling boost.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend
Olivier-Maxence Prosper▼	Points	8.5	OVER	61%MEDIUM	1/2	90%
Olivier-Maxence Prosper▼	Rebounds	3.5	UNDER	58%MEDIUM	2/2	60%
Olivier-Maxence Prosper▼	Assists	1	UNDER	67%MEDIUM	2/2	60%
Olivier-Maxence Prosper▼	3PM	1	OVER	57%MEDIUM	2/2	50%
Olivier-Maxence Prosper▼	Steals	0.5	OVER	59%MEDIUM	1/2	60%
Olivier-Maxence Prosper▼	Blocks	0.5	UNDER	64%MEDIUM	—	60%
Olivier-Maxence Prosper▼	STL+BLK	1.5	OVER	56%MEDIUM	—	40%
Olivier-Maxence Prosper▼	Turnovers	1.5	UNDER	63%MEDIUM	—	50%
Olivier-Maxence Prosper▼	PRA	13.5	OVER	54%MEDIUM	1/2	90%
Olivier-Maxence Prosper▼	P+A	10	OVER	55%MEDIUM	2/2	90%
Olivier-Maxence Prosper▼	P+R	12	OVER	57%MEDIUM	2/2	90%

ML Scout Analysis

P+A16UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (10/20)9/2045%▼

R+A6UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 4x6/2030%▼

P+R19UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (8/20)8/2040%▼

Featured Pick

Olivier-Maxence Prosper

Points OVER 8.5MEDIUM

This is the cleanest read because his season mean is 8.9 PPG and his recent form is 13.8 PPG over the last 5 with 24.9 MPG. The main caution is regression from the recent scoring spike, but the baseline still supports clearing 8.5 more often than not.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Karl-Anthony Towns	1	5	4	50%	50%
Ariel Hukporti	1	2	0	0%	0%
Mikal Bridges	1	1	0	0%	0%
Tyler Kolek	1	1	2	100%	100%
Jose Alvarado	1	1	2	25%	25%

pointsOVER 8.561%MEDIUM

His season mean is 8.9 PPG and he has cleared that level with 13.8 PPG over the last 5 and 13.1 over the last 10. The recent minutes bump to 24.9 MPG supports the over, though the last-5 run is above season pace and carries regression risk.

reboundsUNDER 3.558%MEDIUM

He averages 3.3 rebounds per game on the season and 3.8 over the last 5, but the rebound profile is still modest for a center-eligible rotation player. With volatility in his recent boards and a season mean below 3.5, the under is slightly safer.

assistsUNDER 167%MEDIUM

His season assist average is 1.0 and his last 5 are only 0.6, so the recent trend points down. The low assist role makes it difficult to trust an over without a clear playmaking spike.

threesOVER 157%MEDIUM

He averages 1.02 made threes per game on the season and 1.7 over the last 10, with recent volume at 1.7-1.8 attempts made per game in the rolling samples. That said, his 1.32 season standard deviation is fairly high, so this is playable but not elite.

stealsOVER 0.559%MEDIUM

He averages 0.7 steals on the season and 1.1 over the last 10, plus 1.6 over the last 5. The recent defensive activity is strong enough to justify the over despite normal steal volatility.

blocksUNDER 0.564%MEDIUM

His season block average is only 0.3 and his recent mark is 0.4, both below a 0.5 line. This remains a low-volume block profile.

stocksOVER 1.556%MEDIUM

He averages 0.93 stocks for the season and 1.5 over the last 10, with 2.0 over the last 5. The recent spike supports the over, but the season baseline is much lower and the stat is volatile.

turnoversUNDER 1.563%MEDIUM

He is at 1.1 turnovers per game on the season and 1.3 over the last 10, both below a 1.5 line. Recent usage has not been enough to push turnovers into over territory.

praOVER 13.554%MEDIUM

His recent scoring jump and minutes increase give PRA some upside, but combo props carry added variance and his assists remain low. The over is supported more by points than by all-around production.

paOVER 1055%MEDIUM

He is averaging 8.9 points and 1.0 assist on the season, while recent points are well above baseline. This leans over if scoring holds, but the assist component adds little cushion.

prOVER 1257%MEDIUM

A season baseline of 12.2 points plus rebounds and 3.5 combined recent scoring/rebounding keeps this live. The push is mostly tied to his current scoring role, with some risk from rebound volatility.

timelineOVER 8.5 PTS