AI Model:

Walter Clayton Jr.▲

MEM · PG

PPG

7.2

RPG

2.0

APG

3.9

L5 PPG

8.6

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+1.4

7.2

8.6

RPG-0.4

2.0

1.6

APG+1.9

3.9

5.8

SPG-0.1

0.7

0.6

BPG-0.1

0.3

0.2

UNDER 7.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

7.5

SAC

2026-02-23

2026-02-23 vs SAC: 9 pts

GSW

2026-02-25

2026-02-25 vs GSW: 4 pts

DAL

2026-02-27

2026-02-27 vs DAL: 11 pts

IND

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs IND: 7 pts

MIN

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs MIN: 9 pts

POR

2026-03-04

2026-03-04 vs POR: 12 pts

LAC

2026-03-07

2026-03-07 vs LAC: 2 pts

BKN

2026-03-09

2026-03-09 vs BKN: 13 pts

CHI

2026-03-16

2026-03-16 vs CHI: 12 pts

DEN

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs DEN: 4 pts

Over 7.5

Under 7.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 7.5STAKE

62%

REB

UNDER 2.5STAKE

73%

AST

OVER 3.5STAKE

67%

3PM

OVER 0.5

58%

STL

OVER 0.5STAKE

56%

BLK

UNDER 0.5STAKE

70%

STL+BLK

UNDER 1.5

64%

OVER 2

60%

P+A

OVER 10.5STAKE

55%

P+R

OVER 9.5STAKE

57%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

5.0

9.5

RPG

1.5

2.4

APG

3.4

6.5

vs NYK (H2H)1 games

PPG

11.0

RPG

1.0

APG

4.0

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Ryan Nembhard	4	9	58%	+11.9%	medium
Payton Pritchard	3	8	42%	-4.8%	medium
Dylan Harper	4	6	75%	+36.9%	medium
Aaron Holiday	3	6	60%

Assist upside is real, but scoring looks capped in this spot

Walter Clayton Jr. has trended up recently, with his last 5 rising to 8.6 PPG and 5.8 APG while his minutes climbed to 24.0. That said, his season baseline is still modest at 7.2 PPG, 2.0 RPG, and 3.9 APG, and his home split is weaker at 5.0 PPG and 3.4 APG across 10 games. The matchup data shows a neutral-to-slightly favorable environment for passing, but the Knicks have a 110.6 defensive rating and a -1.087 scoring suppression mark, which keeps the ceiling in check. With his recent production boosted by higher minutes, the best angle is to lean into assists rather than chase points.

Stat Trends

PPG

8.6(↑ from 7.2)

APG

5.8(↑ from 3.9)

RPG

1.6(↓ from 2.0)

Key Matchup

No specific defender matchup data is available from the provided key defenders list, so the analysis has to lean on the team profile instead. New York's 110.6 defensive rating and negative scoring suppression make this a tougher scoring environment, even though the pace is neutral at 100.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend
Walter Clayton Jr.▼	Points	7.5	UNDER	62%MEDIUM	2/2	40%
Walter Clayton Jr.▼	Rebounds	2.5	UNDER	73%HIGH	2/2	90%
Walter Clayton Jr.▼	Assists	3.5	OVER	67%MEDIUM	2/2	90%
Walter Clayton Jr.▼	3PM	0.5	OVER	58%MEDIUM	—	60%
Walter Clayton Jr.▼	Steals	0.5	OVER	56%MEDIUM	—	50%
Walter Clayton Jr.▼	Blocks	0.5	UNDER	70%HIGH	—	70%
Walter Clayton Jr.▼	STL+BLK	1.5	UNDER	64%MEDIUM	—	70%
Walter Clayton Jr.▼	Turnovers	2	OVER	60%MEDIUM	—	40%
Walter Clayton Jr.▼	P+A	10.5	OVER	55%MEDIUM	2/2	70%
Walter Clayton Jr.▼	P+R	9.5	OVER	57%MEDIUM	2/2	70%

ML Scout Analysis

R+A7.5UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (10/20)9/2045%▼

P+A15OVER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (10/20)OVER 2x11/2055%▼

P+R11.5UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (9/20)9/2045%▼

Featured Pick

Walter Clayton Jr.

Assists OVER 3.5MEDIUM

This is the cleanest edge because his season average is 3.95 APG and his last 10 is 6.6 APG, both above the 3.5 line. The recent minutes bump to 24.7 also supports the passing volume, making assists safer than points in this matchup.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Tyler Kolek	2	4	4	50%	50%
Josh Hart	2	2	2	100%	100%
OG Anunoby	2	2	1	0%	0%
Jordan Clarkson	2	2	5	50%	50%
Ariel Hukporti	2	1	3	100%	100%

pointsUNDER 7.562%MEDIUM

His season mean is 7.2 PPG, and his home split is only 5.0 PPG. The last 5 at 8.6 PPG is above baseline, so this is a mild regression spot rather than a strong OVER.

reboundsUNDER 2.573%HIGH

He averages 2.0 RPG for the season and just 1.5 RPG over the last 10. With only 1.6 RPG in his last 5, the 2.5 line asks for more than his usual output.

assistsOVER 3.567%MEDIUM

His season mean is 3.95 APG and his last 10 jumps to 6.6 APG, showing real playmaking involvement. Even with volatility, the 3.5 line is below both his season average and recent form.

threesOVER 0.558%MEDIUM

He averages 0.95 threes per game on the season and 0.8 over the last 10, so he clears 0.5 often enough to justify a small lean over. The variance is high, so confidence stays modest.

stealsOVER 0.556%MEDIUM

His season average is 0.7 steals and his last 10 is 1.0, which supports a slight over lean at 0.5. This remains volatile, so it is not a high-confidence play.

blocksUNDER 0.570%HIGH

He averages just 0.3 blocks per game on the season and 0.3 over the last 10. At 0.5, the under is the cleaner side.

stocksUNDER 1.564%MEDIUM

His season stocks average is 0.93 and his last 10 is 1.3, both below a 1.5 threshold. Combined defensive production has improved, but not enough to make the over attractive.

turnoversOVER 260%MEDIUM

He averages 2.1 turnovers over his last 20 and 2.4 over his last 10, with a season profile that supports this range. The recent playmaking spike comes with enough ball-handling risk to favor over 2.0.

paOVER 10.555%MEDIUM

His season combined points plus assists is 11.15, and the last 10 form pushes that higher. This is a lower-confidence combo because combo props carry extra variance.

prOVER 9.557%MEDIUM

He averages 9.25 points plus rebounds on the season and 10.2 over the last 5. The number is close, but his current usage makes a slight over lean reasonable.

timelineUNDER 7.5 PTS