Last 10 games
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick White | 3 | 17 | 43% | -15.0% | medium |
| Mikal Bridges | 4 | 16 | 59% | +8.0% | medium |
| Pelle Larsson | 4 | 14 | 50% | -3.9% | medium |
| Aaron Nesmith | 3 | 14 | 56% |
Desmond Bane is averaging 20.5 points, 4.1 rebounds, and 4.2 assists on the season while logging 34.3 minutes per game, so his workload is secure. His last 5 games show a mild scoring uptick to 22.4 PPG, but the broader trend is listed as down and his vs-opponent scoring history is just 16.0 PPG in 10 games. Charlotte has a 112.46 defensive rating and a 100 pace, which supports a steady but not especially fast-paced projection.
No specific defender matchup data was provided, so this leans on the team context only. Charlotte’s 112.46 defensive rating and 100 pace suggest an average environment rather than a pace-up spot, while the 0.018 three suppression is not strong enough to heavily deter Bane’s perimeter volume.
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Desmond Bane▼ | Points | 19.5 | OVER | 58%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 50% | 24 | ✓ |
Desmond Bane▼ | Rebounds | 3.5 | OVER | 52%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 50% | 7 | ✓ |
Desmond Bane▼ | Assists | 4.5 | UNDER | 56%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 60% | 2 | ✓ |
Desmond Bane▼ | 3PM | 1.5 | OVER | 63%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 50% | 3 | ✓ |
Desmond Bane▼ | Steals | 1.5 | UNDER | 64%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 80% | 1 | ✓ |
Desmond Bane▼ | Blocks | 0.5 | UNDER | 72%HIGH | — | 90% | 0 | ✓ |
Desmond Bane▼ | STL+BLK | 1.5 | UNDER | 60%MEDIUM | — | 80% | 1 | ✓ |
Desmond Bane▼ | Turnovers | 1.5 | OVER | 67%MEDIUM | — | 40% | 2 | ✓ |
Desmond Bane▼ | P+R | 23.5 | UNDER | 59%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 60% | 31 | ✗ |
Desmond Bane▼ | P+A | 24.5 | UNDER | 61%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 40% | 26 | ✗ |
This is the cleanest edge in the dataset: Bane averages 2.04 made threes per game on the season, 2.34 at home, and 1.8 over his last 5. The line is only 1.5, and even with some regression risk, his baseline volume is strong enough to justify the over.
| medium |
| Tre Johnson | 4 | 13 | 20% | -28.3% | medium |
| Defender | Games | Min | PTS | FG% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Miller | 3 | 12 | 17 | 50% | 63% |
| Kon Knueppel | 3 | 6 | 9 | 100% | 117% |
| Collin Sexton | 3 | 4 | 11 | 75% | 100% |
| Tidjane Salaün | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Sion James | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
His season scoring average is 20.5 points and his home mean is 22.31, which is above this line. The last 5 at 22.4 points also supports it, though the vs-opponent average of 16.0 PPG is a real warning sign.
Bane averages 4.1 rebounds on the season and 4.34 at home, both above 3.5. The edge is smaller because his last 5 rebounding dipped to 3.2.
His season average is 4.2 assists and his home mean is 4.38, both slightly below 4.5. Even though his last 10 is 4.8, the season baseline is still the better anchor.
He averages 2.04 made threes per game on the season and 2.34 at home, both clearly above 1.5. The recent 1.8 average still clears the line comfortably.
He averages exactly 1.0 steals per game on the season, which is below this line. Recent form is 1.2, but that still does not make 1.5 a strong over.
His season block average is 0.4 and his recent block rate is only 0.2. That keeps 0.5 as the more likely under.
He averages 1.48 stocks on the season, just under the threshold, and his recent 1.3 is also below it. The variance is high enough that this is not a clean over spot.
His recent 10-game turnover average is 1.3 and season is not explicitly provided in a prop line, but recent logs include several 2-3 turnover games. With his usage and minutes, 1.5 is a fair over target.
His season points plus rebounds total is 24.6, but the last 5 scoring/rebounding mix is not overwhelmingly strong and the vs-opponent scoring history is much lower. Given combo-prop caution, the under is slightly safer.
His season points-plus-assists average is 24.7, which is essentially on the line, but the last 10 assist trend is only 4.8 with a down overall trend. That makes the under the more conservative play.