AI Model:

Jalen Suggs▼

ORL · PG

PPG

13.9

RPG

3.9

APG

5.3

L5 PPG

15.2

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+1.3

13.9

15.2

RPG+0.9

3.9

4.8

APG+0.5

5.3

5.8

SPG-0.3

1.9

1.6

BPG-0.4

0.8

0.4

UNDER 14.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

14.5

DET

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs DET: 14 pts

WAS

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs WAS: 10 pts

DAL

2026-03-05

2026-03-05 vs DAL: 17 pts

MIN

2026-03-07

2026-03-07 vs MIN: 14 pts

MIL

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs MIL: 20 pts

CLE

2026-03-11

2026-03-11 vs CLE: 12 pts

WAS

2026-03-12

2026-03-12 vs WAS: 28 pts

MIA

2026-03-14

2026-03-14 vs MIA: 14 pts

ATL

2026-03-16

2026-03-16 vs ATL: 8 pts

OKC

2026-03-17

2026-03-17 vs OKC: 14 pts

Over 14.5

Under 14.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 14.5FANDUEL

58%

REB

OVER 3.5FANDUEL

54%

AST

UNDER 5.5FANDUEL

56%

3PM

UNDER 2.5FANDUEL

60%

STL

OVER 1.5FANDUEL

63%

BLK

OVER 0.5BETMGM

57%

STL+BLK

UNDER 3

55%

OVER 2.5

59%

P+A

OVER 19.5FANDUEL

52%

P+R

UNDER 17.5FANDUEL

54%

R+A

UNDER 9.5FANDUEL

57%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

13.5

13.2

RPG

4.2

4.4

APG

7.1

4.5

vs CHA (H2H)11 games

PPG

10.5

RPG

4.1

APG

4.0

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Jalen Brunson	4	20	62%	+15.3%	medium
Norman Powell	5	12	65%	+9.6%	medium
De'Aaron Fox	2	11	32%	-14.7%	low
Donovan Mitchell	3	11	44%

Suggs’ all-around volume keeps him in play, but points are priced near his ceiling

Jalen Suggs is averaging 13.9 PPG, 3.9 RPG, 5.3 APG, and 1.9 SPG on the season, with his last 5 rising to 15.2 PPG and 5.8 APG while minutes have climbed to 32.2. The recent form is solid, but his season-long scoring is still closer to the 13.5-14.5 point range than a true breakout line, and his last 20 games show a steadier 13.4 PPG baseline. Charlotte has a 112.46 defensive rating and a 100 pace, which supports a normal possession game rather than a pace spike, and Suggs’ prior 11 games vs this opponent are only 10.5 PPG and 4.0 APG. With his steals/blocks production staying strong, the best angle is usually on defensive stats or a guarded stance on higher scoring thresholds.

Stat Trends

PPG

15.2(↑ from 13.9)

APG

5.8(↑ from 5.3)

SPG

1.6(↓ from 1.9)

Stocks

2.0(↓ from 2.6)

Key Matchup

no specific defender matchup data. Charlotte’s defensive rating is 112.46 with a pace of 100, and Suggs’ 11-game history vs this opponent is 10.55 PPG, 4.09 RPG, and 4.0 APG, which leans toward a controlled outcome rather than a spike.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Jalen Suggs▼	Points	14.5	UNDER	58%MEDIUM	2/2	70%	9	✓
Jalen Suggs▼	Rebounds	3.5	OVER	54%MEDIUM	2/2	50%	0	✗
Jalen Suggs▼	Assists	5.5	UNDER	56%MEDIUM	2/2	50%	1	✓
Jalen Suggs▼	3PM	2.5	UNDER	60%MEDIUM	2/2	40%	1	✓
Jalen Suggs▼	Steals	1.5	OVER	63%MEDIUM	1/2	60%	2	✓
Jalen Suggs▼	Blocks	0.5	OVER	57%MEDIUM	1/2	60%	1	✓
Jalen Suggs▼	STL+BLK	3	UNDER	55%MEDIUM	—	90%	3	✗
Jalen Suggs▼	Turnovers	2.5	OVER	59%MEDIUM	—	40%	2	✗
Jalen Suggs▼	P+A	19.5	OVER	52%MEDIUM	2/2	50%	10	✗
Jalen Suggs▼	P+R	17.5	UNDER	54%MEDIUM	1/2	40%	9	✓
Jalen Suggs▼	R+A	9.5	UNDER	57%MEDIUM	1/2	50%	1	✓

ML Scout Analysis

P+R17UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (11/20)9/2045%▼

R+A9.5OVER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (10/20)OVER 5x10/2050%▼

P+A19UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (10/20)9/2045%▼

Featured Pick

Jalen Suggs

Steals OVER 1.5HIGH

This is one of the cleanest numbers in the set because Suggs averages 1.9 steals on the season and 1.6 in his last 5. Unlike his points and combo props, the steal line is backed by both season-long and recent production, giving it the best blend of floor and edge.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Brandon Miller	1	1	0	0%	0%

pointsUNDER 14.558%MEDIUM

His season mean is 13.93 and last 20 is 13.4, both below 14.5. The recent 15.1-15.2 scoring is a mild bump, but his 11-game vs-opponent mark is only 10.55 PPG.

reboundsOVER 3.554%MEDIUM

He averages 3.89 rebounds on the season and 3.9 over the last 10, with 4.2 at home. This line sits right below his normal output, though the edge is modest.

assistsUNDER 5.556%MEDIUM

Season assists are 5.33 and last 10 is 5.5, so this is very close to his true mean. Since the over is being priced at a slightly higher number than his season baseline, the under is the safer lean.

threesUNDER 2.560%MEDIUM

He averages 2.02 threes per game, below the 2.5 line, and his away three rate is only 1.45. Recent volume is decent at 2.4, but the season mean still points under.

stealsOVER 1.563%MEDIUM

Suggs averages 1.9 steals on the season and 1.6 over the last 5, comfortably above 1.5. His defensive activity gives this prop stronger stability than his scoring.

blocksOVER 0.557%MEDIUM

He averages 0.8 blocks per game on the season and 0.7 over the last 10, both above 0.5. The recent trend is not as strong as steals, but the volume is still playable.

stocksUNDER 355%MEDIUM

His season stocks average is 2.62 and last 10 is 2.3, so 3.0 is a touch aggressive. The ceiling is there, but the baseline sits below this number.

turnoversOVER 2.559%MEDIUM

He’s at 2.5 turnovers over the last 10 and 2.5 over the last 20, matching an elevated ball-handling load. With recent minutes up to 29.7, this is a reasonable over lean.

paOVER 19.552%MEDIUM

Points plus assists season mean is supported by 13.93 PPG and 5.33 APG, and his recent minutes have risen. This is close to the median outcome, so confidence should stay modest.

prUNDER 17.554%MEDIUM

His season points plus rebounds comes out to 17.82, but the last 20 scoring baseline is only 13.4 PPG with 4.2 RPG. That makes 17.5 a near-fair line with a slight lean under.

raUNDER 9.557%MEDIUM

He averages 3.89 rebounds and 5.33 assists for 9.22 combined on the season, below 9.5. The recent 29.7-minute role helps, but not enough to create a clear over edge.

timelineUNDER 14.5 PTS