AI Model:

Kon Knueppel▲

CHA · SG

PPG

19.4

RPG

5.2

APG

3.4

L5 PPG

19.2

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-0.2

19.4

19.2

RPG-1.2

5.2

4.0

APG-0.6

3.4

2.8

SPG+0.1

0.7

0.8

BPG-0.1

0.3

0.2

UNDER 18.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

18.5

IND

2026-02-26

2026-02-26 vs IND: 28 pts

POR

2026-02-28

2026-02-28 vs POR: 10 pts

DAL

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs DAL: 13 pts

BOS

2026-03-04

2026-03-04 vs BOS: 20 pts

MIA

2026-03-06

2026-03-06 vs MIA: 27 pts

PHX

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs PHX: 15 pts

POR

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs POR: 15 pts

SAC

2026-03-11

2026-03-11 vs SAC: 24 pts

SAS

2026-03-14

2026-03-14 vs SAS: 20 pts

MIA

2026-03-17

2026-03-17 vs MIA: 22 pts

Over 18.5

Under 18.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 18.5DRAFTKINGS

58%

REB

OVER 4.5DRAFTKINGS

56%

AST

OVER 2.5DRAFTKINGS

55%

3PM

OVER 3.5DRAFTKINGS

54%

STL

OVER 0.5

52%

BLK

UNDER 0.5

61%

P+A

UNDER 21.5FANDUEL

57%

P+R

OVER 23.5FANDUEL

53%

PRA

UNDER 26.5FANDUEL

56%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

18.8

21.8

RPG

5.5

4.6

APG

3.1

2.6

vs ORL (H2H)2 games

PPG

10.5

RPG

3.0

APG

1.0

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	4	14	31%	-25.1%	medium
AJ Green	3	14	75%	+1.8%	medium
Josh Giddey	3	10	72%	+18.5%	medium
Donovan Mitchell	3	10	44%

Kon Knueppel brings steady scoring volume, but Orlando can keep the ceiling in check

Knueppel is in consistent form, averaging 19.4 PPG on the season and 19.2 over his last 5, with 31+ minutes locked in across recent stretches. His away scoring is stronger at 21.8 PPG than his 18.8 PPG at home, but tonight is at Charlotte, which pulls the projection a bit closer to his season baseline. The matchup data is mixed: Orlando’s defense shows a 114.04 rating and a slight scoring suppression (-0.3), while the head-to-head sample is very small and only shows 10.5 PPG in 2 games at 21 MPG. Given the low-variance role but modest matchup edge, his points and combo props look playable, but overs should be approached cautiously.

Stat Trends

PPG

19.2(→ from 19.4)

RPG

4.0(↓ from 5.2)

APG

2.8(↓ from 3.4)

3PM

3.2(↓ from 3.5)

Key Matchup

Orlando’s defense carries a 114.04 rating with a -0.3 scoring suppression and -1.275 three suppression, which makes the scoring environment less attractive for overs. The head-to-head sample is limited, but it shows only 10.5 PPG, 3 RPG, and 1 APG across 2 games, so there is no strong matchup evidence pushing him above market.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Kon Knueppel▼	Points	18.5	UNDER	58%MEDIUM	2/2	40%	17	✓
Kon Knueppel▼	Rebounds	4.5	OVER	56%MEDIUM	1/2	40%	6	✓
Kon Knueppel▼	Assists	2.5	OVER	55%MEDIUM	1/2	50%	4	✓
Kon Knueppel▼	3PM	3.5	OVER	54%MEDIUM	1/2	50%	4	✓
Kon Knueppel▼	Steals	0.5	OVER	52%MEDIUM	—	50%	0	✗
Kon Knueppel▼	Blocks	0.5	UNDER	61%MEDIUM	—	60%	0	✓
Kon Knueppel▼	P+A	21.5	UNDER	57%MEDIUM	2/2	50%	21	✓
Kon Knueppel▼	P+R	23.5	OVER	53%MEDIUM	1/2	60%	23	✗
Kon Knueppel▼	PRA	26.5	UNDER	56%MEDIUM	2/2	60%	27	✗

ML Scout Analysis

P+R22OVER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (9/20)10/2050%▼

PTS15.5UNDER27%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (8/20)10/2050%▼

3PM3.5OVER20%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 2x9/2045%▼

FTA3UNDER44%gbtWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 6x6/2030%▼

PRA22.5UNDER23%gbt_praWeak Leg (8/20)12/2060%▼

P+A20UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (8/20)9/2045%▼

AST2.5UNDER8%gbt_assistsAvoid (7/20)OVER 2x11/2055%▼

3PA8UNDER39%gbtAvoid (7/20)UNDER 2x7/2035%▼

R+A8UNDER0%gbt_raAvoid (7/20)UNDER 5x7/2035%▼

REB4.5UNDER28%gbt_reboundsAvoid (6/20)UNDER 3x8/2040%+7.2% edge▼

FTM2UNDER36%gbtAvoid (6/20)7/2035%▼

Featured Pick

Kon Knueppel

Rebounds OVER 4.5MEDIUM

This is the best blend of role and price: his season average is 5.2 rebounds and his home average is 5.5, both above 4.5. The last 5 is lower at 4.0, so it is not a slam dunk, but it offers a cleaner edge than the points and combo markets.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Desmond Bane	3	10	10	56%	56%
Tristan da Silva	3	4	5	50%	63%
Noah Penda	3	3	0	0%	0%
Anthony Black	3	3	3	25%	38%
Franz Wagner	1	2	2	50%	50%

pointsUNDER 18.558%MEDIUM

His season mean is 19.4, but his home scoring is 18.8 and the recent 19.2 over his last 5 does not create enough cushion above 18.5. Orlando’s scoring suppression is slightly negative at -0.3, and the small vs-opponent sample is only 10.5 PPG across 2 games.

reboundsOVER 4.556%MEDIUM

He averages 5.2 rebounds on the season and 5.5 at home, both above this number. The last 5 is only 4.0, so this is not a strong over, but the season and home profile support a slight edge.

assistsOVER 2.555%MEDIUM

Season assist average is 3.4 with a home mark of 3.58, which is comfortably above 2.5. Recent form is softer at 2.8 over the last 5, so the over is viable but not high confidence.

threesOVER 3.554%MEDIUM

He averages 3.54 threes per game on the season and 3.5 at home, essentially matching the market. The recent 3.2 over the last 5 is a mild drag, but his overall volume keeps the over in play.

stealsOVER 0.552%MEDIUM

He averages 0.7 steals on the season and 0.8 over his last 5, which is enough to justify a 0.5 threshold. The confidence stays modest because defensive counting stats are naturally volatile.

blocksUNDER 0.561%MEDIUM

His season block rate is only 0.3 and his last 5 is 0.2, both below the typical floor for an over. This is a low-volume category for him, so the under is the cleaner side.

paUNDER 21.557%MEDIUM

Points plus assists projects near his season output of 22.8, but his last 5 (22.0) and home scoring profile do not provide much separation from the line. With Orlando’s modest suppression and his head-to-head sample down at 11.5 PA, the under has a slight lean.

prOVER 23.553%MEDIUM

His season points plus rebounds average is 24.6, which is above 23.5, and his home rebounds help offset the lower home scoring. The recent rebound dip keeps confidence moderate rather than strong.

praUNDER 26.556%MEDIUM

Season PRA is 28.0, but the combination of a softer last-5 rebound/assist profile and Orlando’s slightly suppressive defense trims the edge. Combo props carry more variance, so this is a cautious under lean.

timelineUNDER 18.5 PTS