AI Model:

Miles Bridges▲

CHA · PF

PPG

17.6

RPG

5.9

APG

3.4

L5 PPG

17.8

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+0.2

17.6

17.8

RPG+0.1

5.9

6.0

APG-0.8

3.4

2.6

SPG+0.2

0.6

0.8

BPG-0.3

0.5

0.2

OVER 14.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

14.5

IND

2026-02-26

2026-02-26 vs IND: 7 pts

POR

2026-02-28

2026-02-28 vs POR: 14 pts

DAL

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs DAL: 11 pts

BOS

2026-03-04

2026-03-04 vs BOS: 9 pts

MIA

2026-03-06

2026-03-06 vs MIA: 12 pts

PHX

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs PHX: 16 pts

POR

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs POR: 11 pts

SAC

2026-03-11

2026-03-11 vs SAC: 26 pts

SAS

2026-03-14

2026-03-14 vs SAS: 22 pts

MIA

2026-03-17

2026-03-17 vs MIA: 14 pts

Over 14.5

Under 14.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

OVER 14.5DRAFTKINGS

58%

REB

OVER 5.5DRAFTKINGS

54%

AST

UNDER 3.5DRAFTKINGS

63%

3PM

OVER 1.5DRAFTKINGS

56%

STL

OVER 0.5

52%

BLK

UNDER 0.5DRAFTKINGS

60%

STL+BLK

UNDER 1.5

59%

OVER 2

55%

PRA

OVER 22.5DRAFTKINGS

51%

P+A

UNDER 17.5DRAFTKINGS

57%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

12.2

17.1

RPG

4.8

5.4

APG

2.7

3.4

vs ORL (H2H)14 games

PPG

16.7

RPG

6.3

APG

2.9

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Paolo Banchero	3	24	48%	-3.2%	medium
Scottie Barnes	4	21	73%	+23.1%	medium
Giannis Antetokounmpo	3	18	47%	+1.3%	medium
Dominick Barlow	3	13	33%

Bridges carries usage, but Orlando keeps the ceiling in check

Miles Bridges comes in with a season line of 17.6 PPG, 5.9 RPG, and 3.4 APG over 31.8 MPG, but his recent scoring has cooled to 14.2 PPG over the last 10. His last 5 is a bit better at 17.8 PPG with 6.0 RPG, yet the broader recent sample still points closer to his season baseline than a true surge. Charlotte is at home, where Bridges averages 12.2 PPG and 4.8 RPG, and Orlando’s opponent profile shows a 114.04 defensive rating with -0.3 scoring suppression and -1.275 three suppression, which leans slightly against a big scoring night. The matchup data is not tied to a specific defender, but his history versus Orlando is steady rather than explosive at 16.7 PPG and 6.3 RPG across 14 games.

Stat Trends

PPG

17.8(→ from 17.6)

RPG

6.0(→ from 5.9)

APG

2.6(↓ from 3.4)

3PM

1.6(↓ from 2.1)

Key Matchup

No specific defender matchup data is available. Orlando's defense shows a 114.04 defensive rating with -0.3 scoring suppression and -1.275 three suppression, which mildly limits his scoring and perimeter ceiling.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Miles Bridges▼	Points	14.5	OVER	58%MEDIUM	1/2	30%	11	✗
Miles Bridges▼	Rebounds	5.5	OVER	54%MEDIUM	1/2	40%	3	✗
Miles Bridges▼	Assists	3.5	UNDER	63%MEDIUM	2/2	70%	0	✓
Miles Bridges▼	3PM	1.5	OVER	56%MEDIUM	2/2	50%	1	✗
Miles Bridges▼	Steals	0.5	OVER	52%MEDIUM	—	60%	0	✗
Miles Bridges▼	Blocks	0.5	UNDER	60%MEDIUM	—	70%	0	✓
Miles Bridges▼	STL+BLK	1.5	UNDER	59%MEDIUM	—	60%	0	✓
Miles Bridges▼	Turnovers	2	OVER	55%MEDIUM	—	10%	1	✗
Miles Bridges▼	PRA	22.5	OVER	51%MEDIUM	1/2	50%	14	✗
Miles Bridges▼	P+A	17.5	UNDER	57%MEDIUM	2/2	70%	11	✓

ML Scout Analysis

PRA21.5OVER16%gbt_praWeak Leg (10/20)OVER 4x10/2050%Prediction flipped UNDER to OVER; Value edge changed -0.040▼

P+R20OVER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 4x10/2050%▼

REB5.5UNDER34%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (8/20)OVER 2x8/2040%▼

3PM1.5OVER16%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (8/20)OVER 3x8/2040%▼

P+A18UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (8/20)OVER 4x8/2040%▼

PTS14.5UNDER37%gbt_pointsAvoid (7/20)OVER 4x8/2040%+6.5% edgeConfidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

R+A7.5UNDER0%gbt_raAvoid (7/20)8/2040%▼

AST2.5UNDER26%gbt_assistsAvoid (6/20)7/2035%▼

Featured Pick

Miles Bridges

Assists UNDER 3.5MEDIUM

His season average is 3.4 APG, but the last 5 has dropped to 2.6 APG and the recent 10 is 2.8 APG. That gives the under a better profile than most of his overs, especially since combo volatility makes his assist production less reliable than his scoring.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Paolo Banchero	3	24	26	43%	48%
Wendell Carter Jr.	3	3	0	0%	0%
Jonathan Isaac	2	3	0	0%	0%
Franz Wagner	1	2	6	100%	150%
Desmond Bane	3	2	2	33%	33%

pointsOVER 14.558%MEDIUM

His season scoring average is 17.6 PPG and his last 5 is 17.8, both above this line. However, the recent 10-game dip to 14.2 and Orlando's slight scoring suppression keep confidence moderate.

reboundsOVER 5.554%MEDIUM

Bridges averages 5.9 RPG on the season and 6.0 RPG over the last 5, with a 6.3 RPG mark in 14 games versus Orlando. The edge is not huge, but the rebound number is playable if he gets his usual minutes.

assistsUNDER 3.563%MEDIUM

He averages 3.4 APG on the season and only 2.6 APG over the last 5, so this line sits just above his typical output. The recent trend points down, making the under the safer side.

threesOVER 1.556%MEDIUM

Bridges averages 2.08 made threes per game for the season and 1.6 over the last 5, so he remains above this threshold. Orlando's three suppression is mildly negative, but his volume is still strong enough to back the over.

stealsOVER 0.552%MEDIUM

He averages 0.6 steals per game on the season and 0.8 over the last 5, clearing a half-steal line. The margin is thin, so this is only a modest edge.

blocksUNDER 0.560%MEDIUM

Bridges averages exactly 0.5 blocks per game, but his last 5 is down to 0.2. With no strong recent block trend, the under is the more conservative play.

stocksUNDER 1.559%MEDIUM

His season stocks average is 1.1 and his last 10 is 1.4, both below a 1.5 line. The combo requires multiple defensive events, which adds variance.

turnoversOVER 255%MEDIUM

He is at 2.0 turnovers per game over the last 5 and 1.6 over the last 20, with a season baseline of 1.6. This lands right on the edge, but the current stretch supports a slight lean over.

praOVER 22.551%MEDIUM

His season PRA is 26.9 based on 17.6 points, 5.9 rebounds, and 3.4 assists, which is comfortably above the line. Still, combo props carry more variance and his recent assist trend is down.

paUNDER 17.557%MEDIUM

Bridges averages 21.0 points plus assists on the season, but the last 5 scoring/assist mix is not as strong as his season mark. The line is lower than his average, yet the recent dip in assists makes the under viable.

timelineOVER 14.5 PTS