AI Model:

Tristan da Silva▼

ORL · SF

PPG

9.7

RPG

3.8

APG

1.5

L5 PPG

16.0

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+6.3

9.7

16.0

RPG+1.2

3.8

5.0

APG+0.3

1.5

1.8

SPG+0.5

0.9

1.4

BPG+0.4

0.4

0.8

UNDER 10.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

10.5

DET

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs DET: 19 pts

WAS

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs WAS: 8 pts

DAL

2026-03-05

2026-03-05 vs DAL: 19 pts

MIN

2026-03-07

2026-03-07 vs MIN: 11 pts

MIL

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs MIL: 5 pts

CLE

2026-03-11

2026-03-11 vs CLE: 23 pts

WAS

2026-03-12

2026-03-12 vs WAS: 26 pts

MIA

2026-03-14

2026-03-14 vs MIA: 11 pts

ATL

2026-03-16

2026-03-16 vs ATL: 7 pts

OKC

2026-03-17

2026-03-17 vs OKC: 13 pts

Over 10.5

Under 10.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 10.5DRAFTKINGS

58%

REB

UNDER 4.5DRAFTKINGS

57%

AST

OVER 1.5DRAFTKINGS

55%

3PM

OVER 1.5DRAFTKINGS

56%

STL

OVER 0.5

60%

BLK

UNDER 0.5BETMGM

55%

STL+BLK

OVER 1.5

54%

UNDER 2

62%

P+R

UNDER 15.5DRAFTKINGS

56%

P+A

OVER 12.5DRAFTKINGS

53%

PRA

UNDER 17.5DRAFTKINGS

55%

R+A

UNDER 6.5DRAFTKINGS

58%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

12.2

8.9

RPG

4.3

5.1

APG

1.6

2.6

vs CHA (H2H)5 games

PPG

8.2

RPG

3.0

APG

1.6

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Jabari Smith Jr.	2	18	75%	+21.6%	low
Bilal Coulibaly	4	17	41%	-11.8%	medium
Jaime Jaquez Jr.	5	11	67%	+13.2%	medium
Duncan Robinson	3	10	25%

Da Silva’s role is up, but the numbers still point to a modest scoring night

Tristan da Silva is coming off a strong recent stretch, with his last 5 jumping to 16.0 PPG, 5.0 RPG, and 2.2 stocks while minutes climbed to 33.2. That said, his season baseline is much lower at 9.7 PPG, 3.8 RPG, and 1.5 APG, and his last 20 (10.7 PPG) is a better anchor than the hottest five-game sample. The matchup is not demanding from a defensive-profile standpoint, but his head-to-head production vs Charlotte has been modest at 8.2 PPG in 5 games, so the market’s scoring boost looks a bit aggressive.

Stat Trends

PPG

16.0(↑ from 9.7)

RPG

5.0(↑ from 3.8)

APG

1.8(→ from 1.5)

Stocks

2.2(↑ from 1.3)

Key Matchup

no specific defender matchup data. Charlotte’s defense context is not especially restrictive in the provided data, but da Silva’s 5-game history vs this opponent is only 8.2 PPG, 3.0 RPG, and 1.6 APG, which tempers the ceiling.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Tristan da Silva▼	Points	10.5	UNDER	58%MEDIUM	1/2	30%	4	✓
Tristan da Silva▼	Rebounds	4.5	UNDER	57%MEDIUM	1/2	40%	2	✓
Tristan da Silva▼	Assists	1.5	OVER	55%MEDIUM	1/2	70%	1	✗
Tristan da Silva▼	3PM	1.5	OVER	56%MEDIUM	2/2	50%	0	✗
Tristan da Silva▼	Steals	0.5	OVER	60%MEDIUM	2/2	60%	1	✓
Tristan da Silva▼	Blocks	0.5	UNDER	55%MEDIUM	—	50%	1	✗
Tristan da Silva▼	STL+BLK	1.5	OVER	54%MEDIUM	—	50%	2	✓
Tristan da Silva▼	Turnovers	2	UNDER	62%MEDIUM	—	90%	0	✓
Tristan da Silva▼	P+R	15.5	UNDER	56%MEDIUM	1/2	20%	6	✓
Tristan da Silva▼	P+A	12.5	OVER	53%MEDIUM	1/2	70%	5	✗
Tristan da Silva▼	PRA	17.5	UNDER	55%MEDIUM	1/2	20%	7	✓
Tristan da Silva▼	R+A	6.5	UNDER	58%MEDIUM	1/2	30%	3	✓

ML Scout Analysis

P+R17UNDER0%gbt_prDecent Leg (12/20)UNDER 2x9/2045%▼

P+A15UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 2x7/2035%▼

R+A6.5UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 3x9/2045%▼

Featured Pick

Tristan da Silva

Points UNDER 10.5MEDIUM

The market has moved him up to 10.5, but his season scoring average is 9.7 and his last 20 is 10.7, making this a tight number rather than a true breakout spot. The recent 16.0 PPG last 5 is strong, yet his vs-opponent scoring is only 8.2 PPG across 5 games, so the under is the sharper side.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Brandon Miller	3	8	18	64%	82%
Kon Knueppel	3	5	0	0%	0%
Collin Sexton	3	4	8	100%	133%
LaMelo Ball	3	2	0	0%	0%
Miles Bridges	3	2	0	0%	0%

pointsUNDER 10.558%MEDIUM

His season mean is 9.7 PPG and his last 20 is 10.7 PPG, which is closer to the line than the 16.0 PPG last 5. The recent surge is real, but it is 20%+ above season form and his vs-opponent mark is only 8.2 PPG.

reboundsUNDER 4.557%MEDIUM

Season average is 3.8 RPG and even with the recent bump to 5.6 RPG over the last 10, the 4.5 line sits above his baseline. His last 20 at 4.7 RPG is near the number, but the season profile still leans under.

assistsOVER 1.555%MEDIUM

He averages 1.48 APG on the season and 2.4 APG over the last 10, with 2.0 APG over the last 20. The line is low and his recent minutes spike makes clearing 1.5 plausible.

threesOVER 1.556%MEDIUM

He averages 1.63 made threes per game on the season and 2.0 over the last 5, both above the 1.5 line. His 38.4% three-point shooting supports a reasonable over case.

stealsOVER 0.560%MEDIUM

He averages 0.9 SPG on the season, 1.1 over the last 20, and 1.5 over the last 10. With a 0.5 line projection, he has clear volume to get at least one steal.

blocksUNDER 0.555%MEDIUM

His season average is 0.4 BPG, which sits below the 0.5 threshold. The recent run is better, but his baseline still makes the under the safer side.

stocksOVER 1.554%MEDIUM

He has a 1.29 season average in stocks and recent production has climbed to 2.1 over the last 10 and 2.2 over the last 5. The variance is high, but the current role gives him enough defensive event upside.

turnoversUNDER 262%MEDIUM

He is at 0.8 TOs per game over the last 20 and 1.2 over the last 10, well below a typical 2.0 line. Even with heavier minutes, the turnover profile remains controlled.

prUNDER 15.556%MEDIUM

His season points plus rebounds baseline is 13.48, and the stronger recent scoring/rebounding stretch still only gets him near the line. Combo props carry extra variance, so the under is preferred.

paOVER 12.553%MEDIUM

Season points plus assists is 11.17, but his recent usage has pushed that much higher with 14.2 PPG and 2.4 APG over the last 10. It is a tighter call, but the current role makes a modest over viable.

praUNDER 17.555%MEDIUM

His season PRA baseline is 15.18, while recent form is higher but not enough to make 17.5 a strong over. Given combo-prop volatility, the under is the more conservative play.

raUNDER 6.558%MEDIUM

Season rebounds plus assists is 5.29 and his last 20 is 6.7, which is close but not comfortably above the line. The recent spike in minutes helps, but the season mean still leans under.

timelineUNDER 10.5 PTS