Last 10 games
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jabari Smith Jr. | 2 | 18 | 75% | +21.6% | low |
| Bilal Coulibaly | 4 | 17 | 41% | -11.8% | medium |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 5 | 11 | 67% | +13.2% | medium |
| Duncan Robinson | 3 | 10 | 25% |
Tristan da Silva is coming off a strong recent stretch, with his last 5 jumping to 16.0 PPG, 5.0 RPG, and 2.2 stocks while minutes climbed to 33.2. That said, his season baseline is much lower at 9.7 PPG, 3.8 RPG, and 1.5 APG, and his last 20 (10.7 PPG) is a better anchor than the hottest five-game sample. The matchup is not demanding from a defensive-profile standpoint, but his head-to-head production vs Charlotte has been modest at 8.2 PPG in 5 games, so the market’s scoring boost looks a bit aggressive.
no specific defender matchup data. Charlotte’s defense context is not especially restrictive in the provided data, but da Silva’s 5-game history vs this opponent is only 8.2 PPG, 3.0 RPG, and 1.6 APG, which tempers the ceiling.
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tristan da Silva▼ | Points | 10.5 | UNDER | 58%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 30% | 4 | ✓ |
Tristan da Silva▼ | Rebounds | 4.5 | UNDER | 57%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 40% | 2 | ✓ |
Tristan da Silva▼ | Assists | 1.5 | OVER | 55%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 70% | 1 | ✗ |
Tristan da Silva▼ | 3PM | 1.5 | OVER | 56%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 50% | 0 | ✗ |
Tristan da Silva▼ | Steals | 0.5 | OVER | 60%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 60% | 1 | ✓ |
Tristan da Silva▼ | Blocks | 0.5 | UNDER | 55%MEDIUM | — | 50% | 1 | ✗ |
Tristan da Silva▼ | STL+BLK | 1.5 | OVER | 54%MEDIUM | — | 50% | 2 | ✓ |
Tristan da Silva▼ | Turnovers | 2 | UNDER | 62%MEDIUM | — | 90% | 0 | ✓ |
Tristan da Silva▼ | P+R | 15.5 | UNDER | 56%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 20% | 6 | ✓ |
Tristan da Silva▼ | P+A | 12.5 | OVER | 53%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 70% | 5 | ✗ |
Tristan da Silva▼ | PRA | 17.5 | UNDER | 55%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 20% | 7 | ✓ |
Tristan da Silva▼ | R+A | 6.5 | UNDER | 58%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 30% | 3 | ✓ |
The market has moved him up to 10.5, but his season scoring average is 9.7 and his last 20 is 10.7, making this a tight number rather than a true breakout spot. The recent 16.0 PPG last 5 is strong, yet his vs-opponent scoring is only 8.2 PPG across 5 games, so the under is the sharper side.
| medium |
| Simone Fontecchio | 4 | 10 | 58% | +4.9% | medium |
| Defender | Games | Min | PTS | FG% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Miller | 3 | 8 | 18 | 64% | 82% |
| Kon Knueppel | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Collin Sexton | 3 | 4 | 8 | 100% | 133% |
| LaMelo Ball | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Miles Bridges | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
His season mean is 9.7 PPG and his last 20 is 10.7 PPG, which is closer to the line than the 16.0 PPG last 5. The recent surge is real, but it is 20%+ above season form and his vs-opponent mark is only 8.2 PPG.
Season average is 3.8 RPG and even with the recent bump to 5.6 RPG over the last 10, the 4.5 line sits above his baseline. His last 20 at 4.7 RPG is near the number, but the season profile still leans under.
He averages 1.48 APG on the season and 2.4 APG over the last 10, with 2.0 APG over the last 20. The line is low and his recent minutes spike makes clearing 1.5 plausible.
He averages 1.63 made threes per game on the season and 2.0 over the last 5, both above the 1.5 line. His 38.4% three-point shooting supports a reasonable over case.
He averages 0.9 SPG on the season, 1.1 over the last 20, and 1.5 over the last 10. With a 0.5 line projection, he has clear volume to get at least one steal.
His season average is 0.4 BPG, which sits below the 0.5 threshold. The recent run is better, but his baseline still makes the under the safer side.
He has a 1.29 season average in stocks and recent production has climbed to 2.1 over the last 10 and 2.2 over the last 5. The variance is high, but the current role gives him enough defensive event upside.
He is at 0.8 TOs per game over the last 20 and 1.2 over the last 10, well below a typical 2.0 line. Even with heavier minutes, the turnover profile remains controlled.
His season points plus rebounds baseline is 13.48, and the stronger recent scoring/rebounding stretch still only gets him near the line. Combo props carry extra variance, so the under is preferred.
Season points plus assists is 11.17, but his recent usage has pushed that much higher with 14.2 PPG and 2.4 APG over the last 10. It is a tighter call, but the current role makes a modest over viable.
His season PRA baseline is 15.18, while recent form is higher but not enough to make 17.5 a strong over. Given combo-prop volatility, the under is the more conservative play.
Season rebounds plus assists is 5.29 and his last 20 is 6.7, which is close but not comfortably above the line. The recent spike in minutes helps, but the season mean still leans under.