Last 10 games
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bam Adebayo | 5 | 42 | 46% | -7.1% | medium |
| Nikola Vučević | 3 | 24 | 83% | +23.2% | medium |
| Jalen Duren | 4 | 22 | 42% | -10.1% | medium |
| Evan Mobley | 4 | 19 | 47% |
Wendell Carter Jr. is averaging 11.9 points, 7.6 rebounds, and 2.1 assists this season across 29.8 mpg, with his last 10 games sitting close to that baseline at 12.7/7.1/2.2. His last 5 are a bit stronger at 14.6 points and 2.6 assists, but that’s not far enough above season norms to justify chasing too much overs. The matchup is playable: Charlotte has a 112.46 defensive rating and Carter has historically produced 14.15 points and 8.77 rebounds in 13 games vs this opponent. With no back-to-back spot and no specific defender matchup data, the cleanest edge is on stable volume props rather than aggressive combo overs.
Charlotte’s defensive rating is 112.46 with a pace of 100, and Carter has already averaged 14.15 points and 8.77 rebounds in 13 games against this opponent. There is no specific defender matchup data, so the read comes from team-level context and his history versus Charlotte.
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Wendell Carter Jr.▼ | Points | 12.5 | UNDER | 62%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 50% |
Wendell Carter Jr.▼ | Rebounds | 7.5 | OVER | 56%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 40% |
Wendell Carter Jr.▼ | Assists | 2.5 | UNDER | 64%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 60% |
Wendell Carter Jr.▼ | 3PM | 1 | OVER | 53%MEDIUM | — | 20% |
Wendell Carter Jr.▼ | Steals | 0.5 | OVER | 58%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 70% |
Wendell Carter Jr.▼ | Blocks | 0.5 | OVER | 55%MEDIUM | — | 60% |
Wendell Carter Jr.▼ | STL+BLK | 1.5 | OVER | 52%MEDIUM | — | 50% |
Wendell Carter Jr.▼ | Turnovers | 1.5 | OVER | 54%MEDIUM | — | 30% |
Wendell Carter Jr.▼ | PRA | 16.5 | OVER | 51%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 80% |
Wendell Carter Jr.▼ | P+R | 19.5 | UNDER | 66%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 40% |
His season scoring average is 11.9, and his last 20 games are even lower at 10.3, which makes 12.5 a slightly inflated line. The recent 14.6 points over the last 5 is a bump, but not enough to outweigh the broader sample.
| medium |
| Karl-Anthony Towns | 3 | 19 | 57% | +2.7% | medium |
| Defender | Games | Min | PTS | FG% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moussa Diabaté | 3 | 13 | 14 | 80% | 80% |
| Ryan Kalkbrenner | 2 | 10 | 2 | 50% | 50% |
| Miles Bridges | 3 | 2 | 5 | 40% | 50% |
| LaMelo Ball | 3 | 2 | 8 | 100% | 117% |
| Sion James | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
His season average is 11.9 points and last 20 is only 10.3, so the 12.5 line is a bit rich despite a stronger last 5. The season-to-date scoring profile is more reliable than the recent spike.
Carter is at 7.6 rebounds per game on the season and 7.8 over his last 20, with 8.2 at home. The number is close, but his rebound baseline supports a slight lean over.
He averages 2.1 assists on the season and 2.0 over the last 20, so a 2.5 line would sit above his normal output. The recent 2.6 average is helpful, but not enough to override the broader sample.
He averages 1.02 threes per game this season, which just clears meaningful volume for this category. The recent 0.8 over the last 10 suggests mild caution, so this is only a slight lean.
Carter averages 0.8 steals on the season and 1.0 over the last 10, so 0.5 is a reachable mark. The volume is steady enough to support the over, though not with high confidence.
He averages 0.7 blocks per game this season and 0.7 over the last 10, which clears the 0.5 threshold. The profile is modest, but the line is low enough to back the over.
His season average for steals plus blocks is 1.45, and the last 10 is 1.7, so this is close to the edge. Because the combined stat carries more variance, confidence stays capped.
He’s at 1.2 turnovers per game on the season and 1.1 over the last 10, but his passing and usage can still put him in the 1-2 turnover range. With no exact sportsbook line provided, this is a conservative projection-based lean.
His season baseline projects near this area with 11.9 points, 7.6 rebounds, and 2.1 assists, and his recent form is slightly better. Still, combo props are high-variance, so the edge is thin.
Carter’s season points plus rebounds profile is 19.5 exactly on average, but his last 20 scoring is down at 10.3 and rebounds are 7.8, making the under side safer at this number. The recent scoring dip matters here.