AI Model:

Wendell Carter Jr.—

ORL · C

PPG

11.9

RPG

7.6

APG

2.1

L5 PPG

14.6

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+2.7

11.9

14.6

RPG0.0

7.6

APG+0.5

2.1

2.6

SPG0.0

0.8

BPG-0.1

0.7

0.6

UNDER 12.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

12.5

HOU

2026-02-26

2026-02-26 vs HOU: 16 pts

DET

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs DET: 4 pts

DAL

2026-03-05

2026-03-05 vs DAL: 15 pts

MIN

2026-03-07

2026-03-07 vs MIN: 10 pts

MIL

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs MIL: 9 pts

CLE

2026-03-11

2026-03-11 vs CLE: 11 pts

WAS

2026-03-12

2026-03-12 vs WAS: 19 pts

MIA

2026-03-14

2026-03-14 vs MIA: 15 pts

ATL

2026-03-16

2026-03-16 vs ATL: 17 pts

OKC

2026-03-17

2026-03-17 vs OKC: 11 pts

Over 12.5

Under 12.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 12.5DRAFTKINGS

62%

REB

OVER 7.5DRAFTKINGS

56%

AST

UNDER 2.5

64%

3PM

OVER 1

53%

STL

OVER 0.5DRAFTKINGS

58%

BLK

OVER 0.5DRAFTKINGS

55%

STL+BLK

OVER 1.5

52%

OVER 1.5

54%

PRA

OVER 16.5STAKE

51%

P+R

UNDER 19.5STAKE

66%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

10.1

10.6

RPG

8.2

7.5

APG

2.1

1.9

vs CHA (H2H)13 games

PPG

14.2

RPG

8.8

APG

2.2

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Bam Adebayo	5	42	46%	-7.1%	medium
Nikola Vučević	3	24	83%	+23.2%	medium
Jalen Duren	4	22	42%	-10.1%	medium
Evan Mobley	4	19	47%

Wendell Carter Jr. brings a steady floor with modest upside in Charlotte

Wendell Carter Jr. is averaging 11.9 points, 7.6 rebounds, and 2.1 assists this season across 29.8 mpg, with his last 10 games sitting close to that baseline at 12.7/7.1/2.2. His last 5 are a bit stronger at 14.6 points and 2.6 assists, but that’s not far enough above season norms to justify chasing too much overs. The matchup is playable: Charlotte has a 112.46 defensive rating and Carter has historically produced 14.15 points and 8.77 rebounds in 13 games vs this opponent. With no back-to-back spot and no specific defender matchup data, the cleanest edge is on stable volume props rather than aggressive combo overs.

Stat Trends

PPG

14.6(↑ from 11.9)

RPG

7.6(→ from 7.6)

APG

2.6(↑ from 2.1)

STL+BLK

1.4(→ from 1.5)

Key Matchup

Charlotte’s defensive rating is 112.46 with a pace of 100, and Carter has already averaged 14.15 points and 8.77 rebounds in 13 games against this opponent. There is no specific defender matchup data, so the read comes from team-level context and his history versus Charlotte.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend
Wendell Carter Jr.▼	Points	12.5	UNDER	62%MEDIUM	1/2	50%
Wendell Carter Jr.▼	Rebounds	7.5	OVER	56%MEDIUM	1/2	40%
Wendell Carter Jr.▼	Assists	2.5	UNDER	64%MEDIUM	2/2	60%
Wendell Carter Jr.▼	3PM	1	OVER	53%MEDIUM	—	20%
Wendell Carter Jr.▼	Steals	0.5	OVER	58%MEDIUM	1/2	70%
Wendell Carter Jr.▼	Blocks	0.5	OVER	55%MEDIUM	—	60%
Wendell Carter Jr.▼	STL+BLK	1.5	OVER	52%MEDIUM	—	50%
Wendell Carter Jr.▼	Turnovers	1.5	OVER	54%MEDIUM	—	30%
Wendell Carter Jr.▼	PRA	16.5	OVER	51%MEDIUM	2/2	80%
Wendell Carter Jr.▼	P+R	19.5	UNDER	66%MEDIUM	2/2	40%

ML Scout Analysis

PTS13.5UNDER22%gbt_pointsDecent Leg (13/20)UNDER 2x10/2050%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

PRA21.5UNDER20%gbt_praDecent Leg (12/20)UNDER 2x10/2050%▼

AST2UNDER51%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (11/20)6/2030%Confidence moved LOW to HIGH▼

3PA2UNDER41%gbtWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 2x7/2035%▼

P+R20OVER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 2x10/2050%▼

P+A15UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 2x8/2040%▼

REB6OVER12%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 4x8/2040%Prediction flipped UNDER to OVER▼

R+A8.5UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 2x9/2045%▼

FTM3UNDER24%gbtWeak Leg (9/20)8/2040%▼

FTA4UNDER5%gbtWeak Leg (9/20)8/2040%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER▼

Featured Pick

Wendell Carter Jr.

Points UNDER 12.5MEDIUM

His season scoring average is 11.9, and his last 20 games are even lower at 10.3, which makes 12.5 a slightly inflated line. The recent 14.6 points over the last 5 is a bump, but not enough to outweigh the broader sample.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Moussa Diabaté	3	13	14	80%	80%
Ryan Kalkbrenner	2	10	2	50%	50%
Miles Bridges	3	2	5	40%	50%
LaMelo Ball	3	2	8	100%	117%
Sion James	2	1	0	0%	0%

pointsUNDER 12.562%MEDIUM

His season average is 11.9 points and last 20 is only 10.3, so the 12.5 line is a bit rich despite a stronger last 5. The season-to-date scoring profile is more reliable than the recent spike.

reboundsOVER 7.556%MEDIUM

Carter is at 7.6 rebounds per game on the season and 7.8 over his last 20, with 8.2 at home. The number is close, but his rebound baseline supports a slight lean over.

assistsUNDER 2.564%MEDIUM

He averages 2.1 assists on the season and 2.0 over the last 20, so a 2.5 line would sit above his normal output. The recent 2.6 average is helpful, but not enough to override the broader sample.

threesOVER 153%MEDIUM

He averages 1.02 threes per game this season, which just clears meaningful volume for this category. The recent 0.8 over the last 10 suggests mild caution, so this is only a slight lean.

stealsOVER 0.558%MEDIUM

Carter averages 0.8 steals on the season and 1.0 over the last 10, so 0.5 is a reachable mark. The volume is steady enough to support the over, though not with high confidence.

blocksOVER 0.555%MEDIUM

He averages 0.7 blocks per game this season and 0.7 over the last 10, which clears the 0.5 threshold. The profile is modest, but the line is low enough to back the over.

stocksOVER 1.552%MEDIUM

His season average for steals plus blocks is 1.45, and the last 10 is 1.7, so this is close to the edge. Because the combined stat carries more variance, confidence stays capped.

turnoversOVER 1.554%MEDIUM

He’s at 1.2 turnovers per game on the season and 1.1 over the last 10, but his passing and usage can still put him in the 1-2 turnover range. With no exact sportsbook line provided, this is a conservative projection-based lean.

praOVER 16.551%MEDIUM

His season baseline projects near this area with 11.9 points, 7.6 rebounds, and 2.1 assists, and his recent form is slightly better. Still, combo props are high-variance, so the edge is thin.

prUNDER 19.566%MEDIUM

Carter’s season points plus rebounds profile is 19.5 exactly on average, but his last 20 scoring is down at 10.3 and rebounds are 7.8, making the under side safer at this number. The recent scoring dip matters here.

timelineUNDER 12.5 PTS