AI Model:

Adem Bona▼

PHI · C

PPG

4.7

RPG

4.4

APG

0.4

L5 PPG

5.8

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+1.1

4.7

5.8

RPG+1.4

4.4

5.8

APG0.0

0.4

SPG+0.2

0.4

0.6

BPG+0.1

1.3

1.4

UNDER 6.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

6.5

MIA

2026-02-26

2026-02-26 vs MIA: 4 pts

BOS

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs BOS: 5 pts

SAS

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs SAS: 6 pts

UTA

2026-03-04

2026-03-04 vs UTA: 12 pts

ATL

2026-03-07

2026-03-07 vs ATL: 4 pts

CLE

2026-03-09

2026-03-09 vs CLE: 8 pts

MEM

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs MEM: 4 pts

BKN

2026-03-14

2026-03-14 vs BKN: 9 pts

POR

2026-03-15

2026-03-15 vs POR: 2 pts

DEN

2026-03-17

2026-03-17 vs DEN: 6 pts

Over 6.5

Under 6.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 6.5DRAFTKINGS

72%

REB

UNDER 5.5DRAFTKINGS

73%

AST

UNDER 0.5

84%

BLK

UNDER 1.5DRAFTKINGS

58%

STL

OVER 0.5STAKE

61%

STL+BLK

UNDER 2.5

60%

P+R

UNDER 12.5DRAFTKINGS

70%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

6.5

5.9

RPG

5.6

4.8

APG

0.5

1.0

vs SAC (H2H)2 games

PPG

2.5

RPG

4.5

APG

0.5

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Evan Mobley	4	14	68%	-1.3%	medium
Karl-Anthony Towns	3	9	65%	-0.1%	medium
Nic Claxton	3	9	100%	+39.9%	medium
Collin Murray-Boyles	3	8	29%

Bona’s stocks keep him relevant, but points and rebounds look capped

Adem Bona is averaging 4.7 points, 4.4 rebounds, and 1.3 blocks on the season, with his recent form ticking up in minutes to 21.4 over the last 10 games. Even with that usage bump, his scoring profile remains modest at 6.0 PPG over the last 10 and 6.2 over the last 20, while his season trend is listed as down. The matchup data is not especially supportive for offense: he has averaged just 2.5 points and 4.5 rebounds in two games vs this opponent, and the available value models lean UNDER on his points and rebounds at the current market.

Stat Trends

PPG

5.8(↑ from 4.7)

RPG

5.8(↑ from 4.4)

BPG

1.4(→ from 1.3)

Stocks

2.0(↑ from 1.7)

Key Matchup

He has no specific defender matchup data to lean on from the provided information. The opponent context does show a 120.73 defensive rating and 100 pace, and his two-game history vs this opponent is modest at 2.5 points and 4.5 rebounds per game.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Adem Bona▼	Points	6.5	UNDER	72%HIGH	2/2	70%	8	✗
Adem Bona▼	Rebounds	5.5	UNDER	73%HIGH	2/2	50%	10	✗
Adem Bona▼	Assists	0.5	UNDER	84%HIGH	—	40%	0	✓
Adem Bona▼	Blocks	1.5	UNDER	58%MEDIUM	2/2	80%	0	✓
Adem Bona▼	Steals	0.5	OVER	61%MEDIUM	—	40%	2	✓
Adem Bona▼	STL+BLK	2.5	UNDER	60%MEDIUM	—	80%	2	✓
Adem Bona▼	P+R	12.5	UNDER	70%HIGH	2/2	70%	18	✗

ML Scout Analysis

PRA14UNDER17%gbt_praWeak Leg (10/20)OVER 2x7/1839%Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW▼

P+A8UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (10/20)OVER 2x6/1833%▼

AST1UNDER52%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (9/20)5/1828%Confidence moved LOW to HIGH▼

FTA2UNDER20%gbtWeak Leg (9/20)5/1828%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

R+A6.5UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 3x8/1844%▼

P+R12UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 2x7/1839%▼

PTS6UNDER3%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (8/20)OVER 2x7/1839%▼

REB5UNDER14%gbt_reboundsAvoid (7/20)UNDER 3x7/1839%Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW▼

BLK1UNDER46%gbt_blocksAvoid (7/20)UNDER 3x5/1828%▼

FTM1UNDER23%gbtAvoid (7/20)8/1844%▼

Featured Pick

Adem Bona

Rebounds UNDER 5.5HIGH

This is the cleanest value-side based on the data: his season rebound average is 4.4, the recent mean is 5.4, and multiple books show UNDER value on this number. The matchup history is also supportive, with just 4.5 rebounds per game in two meetings vs this opponent.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Maxime Raynaud	2	6	11	100%	110%
Domantas Sabonis	1	2	1	0%	0%
Precious Achiuwa	2	1	2	50%	50%
Russell Westbrook	1	1	2	50%	50%
DeMar DeRozan	2	1	2	100%	100%

pointsUNDER 6.572%HIGH

He averages 4.7 points on the season and 6.0 over the last 10, which is still below this 6.5 line. The value data also shows UNDER edges at multiple books, including a 9.6% edge vs book's implied probability at one market.

reboundsUNDER 5.573%HIGH

His season rebound mean is 4.4 and his recent_mean is 5.4, but the market is asking for 5.5 with value models favoring the under. The standard deviation is 2.41, so while he can get there, the median profile still points slightly below the number.

assistsUNDER 0.584%HIGH

He averages only 0.4 assists per game on the season and 0.9 over the last 10, which is still a low-volume passing role. With no meaningful assist ceiling shown in the data, the under is the clearer side.

blocksUNDER 1.558%MEDIUM

He is a strong shot-blocker at 1.3 per game, but the 1.5 line is aggressive relative to his season mean. The recent 1.4 blocks over the last 5 is close, so this stays more of a lean than a strong play.

stealsOVER 0.561%MEDIUM

He averages 0.4 steals on the season and 0.6 over the last 5, so the upside is just enough to consider the over at a low bar. His stocks production has been solid recently, but this remains a modest-confidence look.

stocksUNDER 2.560%MEDIUM

His combined steals-plus-blocks profile is strong at 1.67 season average and 2.0 over the last 5, but a 2.5 threshold would still require a very active defensive game. Because stocks are volatile, the under is safer than chasing a ceiling outcome.

prUNDER 12.570%HIGH

His season points and rebounds combine to 9.1, and even his recent form does not suggest a consistent path to 13+ on this combo line. Combo props carry extra variance, so this stays an under lean.

timelineUNDER 6.5 PTS