Last 10 games
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 3 | 10 | 63% | +6.5% | medium |
| Donte DiVincenzo | 4 | 9 | 71% | +13.6% | medium |
| Aaron Holiday | 3 | 9 | 38% | -18.5% | medium |
| Gabe Vincent | 3 | 8 | 0% |
Malik Monk’s season scoring average sits at 12.6 PPG, while his last 5 has climbed to 15.0 PPG, so he’s showing some recent lift. Even with that trend, his home/away split and value data both point to a more modest baseline, and his season/last-20 production is still closer to the low teens than the mid-teens. He also has very limited rebound and defensive counting-stat volume, making his fantasy-style combo props harder to trust. The clearest edge in the data is on his points under at the available book lines.
Justin Edwards is listed as the key defender, but he has only 0.9 minutes and no specific defender matchup data beyond that. The opponent profile shows a 116.03 defensive rating, pace of 100, and -0.132 three suppression, which is enough to slightly temper scoring efficiency without forcing a strong matchup-based over.
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Malik Monk▼ | Points | 13.5 | UNDER | 82%HIGH | 2/2 | 60% | 4 | ✓ |
Malik Monk▼ | Rebounds | 2.5 | UNDER | 88%HIGH | 1/2 | 70% | 1 | ✓ |
Malik Monk▼ | Assists | 3.5 | UNDER | 64%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 60% | 5 | ✗ |
Malik Monk▼ | 3PM | 1.5 | OVER | 61%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 60% | 0 | ✗ |
Malik Monk▼ | Steals | 0.5 | UNDER | 70%HIGH | — | 80% | 0 | ✓ |
Malik Monk▼ | Blocks | 0.5 | UNDER | 86%HIGH | — | 80% | 0 | ✓ |
Malik Monk▼ | STL+BLK | 1.5 | UNDER | 79%HIGH | — | 90% | 0 | ✓ |
Malik Monk▼ | Turnovers | 2 | UNDER | 58%MEDIUM | — | 80% | 2 | ✗ |
Malik Monk▼ | P+A | 16.5 | UNDER | 56%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 60% | 9 | ✓ |
Malik Monk▼ | P+R | 15.5 | UNDER | 74%HIGH | 1/2 | 60% | 5 | ✓ |
This is the cleanest play in the dataset because the season mean is 12.57 PPG and the value props all point to the UNDER at 13.5 with positive edge. His last-5 scoring bump to 15.0 is real, but the longer sample and the projection-adjusted mean of 12.8 still lean below the line.
| medium |
| Jake LaRavia | 4 | 7 | 60% | +16.5% | medium |
| Defender | Games | Min | PTS | FG% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quentin Grimes | 1 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 50% |
| VJ Edgecombe | 1 | 2 | 2 | 33% | 33% |
| Kyle Lowry | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Justin Edwards | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0% | 0% |
| Dominick Barlow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
His season mean is 12.57 points and the value model shows the UNDER as the best side at this number. The recent 15.0 PPG run is above his season level, but not enough to override the stronger baseline and the 13.5 line.
He averages just 1.9 rebounds on the season and 1.5 over the last 10, so 2.5 is a high bar for his typical role. His rebound output has been stable to slightly down lately, which supports the under.
His season assist mean is 2.66 and recent mean is 3.1, both below 3.5. The recent climb is notable, but the standard deviation is high enough that this remains a lower-confidence under.
He averages 2.02 made threes per game on the season and 2.0 in the value-adjusted projection. That makes 1.5 a reachable line, though the edge is modest and the confidence should stay moderate.
His season steals average is only 0.6, and his recent steal output has been weak at 0.0 over the last 5 and 0.3 over the last 10. With low stock consistency, the under is the safer side.
He averages 0.4 blocks per game on the season, below a 0.5 line. That makes the under the more likely outcome based on his normal production.
His season stocks average is 0.94 and the recent mean is 0.5, both well short of 1.5. He has not shown enough consistent defensive counting stats to justify an over.
The provided data shows 1.2 turnovers per game over the last 5 and 1.3 over the last 10, which are below 2.0. This is a reasonable under, but not a high-confidence one because of his variable usage.
His season points plus assists profile is built on 12.6 points and 2.7 assists, which puts him around the mid-teens rather than the upper teens. Combo props carry extra variance, so the under is preferred but with limited confidence.
With 12.6 points and 1.9 rebounds on the season, his typical points-rebounds output is around 14.5. That sits below 15.5, making the under the better side.