Last 10 games
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amen Thompson | 3 | 13 | 50% | +7.3% | medium |
| Luka Dončić | 3 | 12 | 67% | +24.0% | medium |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | 3 | 11 | 71% | +24.0% | medium |
| Aaron Gordon | 2 | 11 | 75% |
Russell Westbrook is averaging 15.2 PPG, 5.5 RPG, and 6.6 APG on the season, with his last-5 assist rate jumping to 10.2 APG while points stayed flat at 15.0. That recent assist spike is real, but his last-20 line shows a more modest 6.0 APG and 3.0 turnovers, so the season baseline matters more than the hot stretch. He has also been more productive against this opponent historically, averaging 16.3 PPG, 7.1 RPG, and 8.6 APG in 10 games, but the current market still keeps his main numbers in a range that is not cheap. With no specific defender matchup data beyond minimal minutes, the best angle is to lean on his steady volume rather than chase an inflated ceiling.
No specific defender matchup data is available. The opponent profile shows a 116.03 defensive rating and 100 pace, which does not point to a major pace boost, and Westbrook's 10-game history against this team is productive but not enough to override season-level caution.
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Russell Westbrook▼ | Points | 17.5 | UNDER | 74%HIGH | 2/2 | 60% | 11 | ✓ |
Russell Westbrook▼ | Assists | 7.5 | UNDER | 58%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 50% | 8 | ✗ |
Russell Westbrook▼ | Rebounds | 5.5 | UNDER | 56%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 70% | 3 | ✓ |
Russell Westbrook▼ | 3PM | 1.5 | OVER | 55%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 60% | 2 | ✓ |
Russell Westbrook▼ | Steals | 1.5 | UNDER | 57%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 70% | 1 | ✓ |
Russell Westbrook▼ | Blocks | 0.5 | UNDER | 86%HIGH | — | 80% | 2 | ✗ |
Russell Westbrook▼ | Turnovers | 2.5 | OVER | 62%MEDIUM | — | 50% | 4 | ✓ |
Russell Westbrook▼ | PRA | 30.5 | UNDER | 63%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 50% | 22 | ✓ |
This is the cleanest edge in the card: his season scoring average is 15.2, last-5 is 15.0, and the value data repeatedly flags the under at 17.5. With the market asking for a meaningfully above-average scoring night, the under aligns with both baseline production and recent form.
| +19.8% |
| low |
| Anthony Edwards | 3 | 10 | 43% | +0.2% | medium |
| Defender | Games | Min | PTS | FG% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Edwards | 1 | 4 | 6 | 67% | 100% |
| VJ Edgecombe | 1 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 50% |
| Quentin Grimes | 1 | 1 | 2 | 100% | 100% |
| Dominick Barlow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| MarJon Beauchamp | 1 | 1 | 3 | 100% | 150% |
Season mean is 15.2 and the value data strongly favors the under at this number. His last-5 scoring is only 15.0, so 17.5 is still above his typical output.
Season mean is 6.63 and his last-20 is 6.0 APG, which is below the market despite the last-5 spike to 10.2. The assist prop is close enough to the true baseline to prefer the under with moderate confidence.
Season mean is 5.48 and recent rebound form has cooled to 4.9 in the last 5 and 3.8 over the last 20. That puts 5.5 right on the edge, but the recent trend leans slightly under.
He averages 2.0 made threes on the season and 1.8 over the last 5, so 1.5 is a reachable number. The confidence stays modest because his threes variance is not trivial.
Season average is 1.3 steals and the last-5 is 1.4, which does not justify expecting 2+ steals. The line is high for a volatile category, so the under is the safer side.
He averages only 0.2 blocks per game on the season, so a 0.5 line is clearly above his normal output. This is a strong under based on season baseline alone.
His last-10 turnover rate is 2.5 and last-20 is 3.0, which supports at least 3 turnovers more often than not. The playmaking load keeps this prop live despite the recent 1.4 mark over the last 5.
His season PRA components add up to a profile that sits near the low 30s, and combo props carry extra variance. Given the caution on combo markets, the under is the better side.