AI Model:

VJ Edgecombe▼

PHI · PG

PPG

15.4

RPG

5.5

APG

3.9

L5 PPG

14.8

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-0.6

15.4

14.8

RPG+0.3

5.5

5.8

APG-0.1

3.9

3.8

SPG-0.4

1.4

1.0

BPG+0.6

0.6

1.2

UNDER 20.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

20.5

MIN

2026-02-22

2026-02-22 vs MIN: 24 pts

IND

2026-02-24

2026-02-24 vs IND: 23 pts

MIA

2026-02-26

2026-02-26 vs MIA: 19 pts

BOS

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs BOS: 23 pts

SAS

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs SAS: 6 pts

MEM

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs MEM: 21 pts

DET

2026-03-12

2026-03-12 vs DET: 10 pts

BKN

2026-03-14

2026-03-14 vs BKN: 16 pts

POR

2026-03-15

2026-03-15 vs POR: 18 pts

DEN

2026-03-17

2026-03-17 vs DEN: 9 pts

Over 20.5

Under 20.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 20.5FANDUEL

84%

REB

OVER 4.5DRAFTKINGS

67%

AST

UNDER 4.5FANDUEL

73%

3PM

OVER 2.5FANDUEL

58%

STL

UNDER 1.5FANDUEL

70%

BLK

OVER 0.5BETMGM

61%

STL+BLK

OVER 1.5

69%

PRA

UNDER 30.5FANDUEL

76%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

14.9

15.3

RPG

6.0

5.8

APG

3.3

vs SAC (H2H)1 games

PPG

5.0

RPG

5.0

APG

3.0

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Jalen Brunson	4	23	38%	-10.5%	medium
Derrick White	4	21	27%	-23.8%	medium
Immanuel Quickley	4	16	52%	-2.9%	medium
Andrew Nembhard	3	16	53%

Stocks and threes remain his cleanest paths to value

VJ Edgecombe is carrying a solid all-around profile with season averages of 15.4 points, 5.5 rebounds, 3.9 assists, and 2.0 stocks over 34.8 mpg. His recent scoring has cooled a bit, with 14.8 PPG over the last 5 versus 15.4 on the season, while his last 10 still shows a stronger 16.9 PPG baseline. The matchup context is mixed: Sacramento allows a pace of 100 and has a 120.73 defensive rating, but Edgecombe’s only prior game vs this opponent was just 5 points, 5 rebounds, and 3 assists in 35 minutes. With his minutes still strong and his defensive production steady, the safer angles lean away from his inflated scoring number and toward peripherals.

Stat Trends

PPG

14.8(↓ from 15.4)

RPG

5.8(→ from 5.5)

APG

3.8(→ from 3.9)

Stocks

2.2(↑ from 2.0)

Key Matchup

The opponent context is not a shutdown setup, with Sacramento carrying a 120.73 defensive rating and a pace of 100. However, no specific defender matchup data is available beyond the listed names, so the best read comes from his own prior game against this team: 5 points, 5 rebounds, and 3 assists in 35 minutes.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
VJ Edgecombe▼	Points	20.5	UNDER	84%HIGH	1/2	60%	38	✗
VJ Edgecombe▼	Rebounds	4.5	OVER	67%MEDIUM	2/2	70%	7	✓
VJ Edgecombe▼	Assists	4.5	UNDER	73%HIGH	1/2	80%	11	✗
VJ Edgecombe▼	3PM	2.5	OVER	58%MEDIUM	2/2	20%	3	✓
VJ Edgecombe▼	Steals	1.5	UNDER	70%HIGH	2/2	40%	2	✗
VJ Edgecombe▼	Blocks	0.5	OVER	61%MEDIUM	—	70%	0	✗
VJ Edgecombe▼	STL+BLK	1.5	OVER	69%MEDIUM	—	90%	2	✓
VJ Edgecombe▼	PRA	30.5	UNDER	76%HIGH	1/2	40%	56	✗

ML Scout Analysis

P+R24.5OVER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (10/20)12/2060%▼

PTS12.5UNDER0%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (9/20)16/2080%▼

PRA21.5UNDER28%gbt_praWeak Leg (9/20)14/2070%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

P+A23UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 2x9/2045%▼

AST3.5UNDER25%gbt_assistsAvoid (7/20)UNDER 2x11/2055%▼

STL1.5UNDER51%gbt_stealsAvoid (7/20)OVER 2x10/2050%▼

3PM1.5UNDER2%gbt_three_pmAvoid (7/20)9/2045%+9.1% edge▼

FTM2.5UNDER34%gbtAvoid (7/20)10/2050%▼

FTA3UNDER41%gbtAvoid (7/20)6/2030%Confidence moved MEDIUM to HIGH▼

R+A10UNDER0%gbt_raAvoid (7/20)UNDER 2x8/2040%▼

3PA5UNDER41%gbtAvoid (6/20)6/2030%Confidence moved MEDIUM to HIGH▼

REB5.5UNDER29%gbt_reboundsAvoid (5/20)9/2045%▼

Featured Pick

VJ Edgecombe

Points UNDER 20.5HIGH

His season mean is 15.4 points and his recent_mean is 16.9, both materially below the 20.5 line. The value board strongly agrees, with the UNDER showing a 0.174 edge at FanDuel and similar positive edges at other books.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Dennis Schröder	1	6	0	0%	0%
Daeqwon Plowden	1	4	0	0%	0%
Russell Westbrook	1	4	3	50%	75%
Zach LaVine	1	2	5	50%	63%
DeMar DeRozan	2	2	4	50%	50%

pointsUNDER 20.584%HIGH

His season mean is 15.4 points and his recent_mean is 16.9, both well below 20.5. The value data also shows the UNDER as the best side at multiple books, with a 0.174 edge at FanDuel.

reboundsOVER 4.567%MEDIUM

He averages 5.5 rebounds on the season and 5.8 over the last 5, with 6.0 in the last 10. The value props data shows an OVER edge of 0.081 at DraftKings.

assistsUNDER 4.573%HIGH

His season_mean is 3.89 assists and recent_mean is 3.2, both below the 4.5 line. The value data consistently favors the UNDER, including a 0.157 edge at FanDuel.

threesOVER 2.558%MEDIUM

He averages 1.95 threes on the season and has an away_mean of 2.4, which is closer to the 2.5 line than most other categories. The OVER has a positive edge of 0.094 at FanDuel, but the recent_mean of 1.6 keeps confidence moderate.

stealsUNDER 1.570%HIGH

He averages 1.4 steals on the season, but the line is set at 1.5, making the UNDER the safer side in a high-variance category. His recent steals have also been just 1.0 over the last 5.

blocksOVER 0.561%MEDIUM

He averages 0.6 blocks on the season and 1.2 over the last 5, so this line is reachable if he keeps his usual minutes. The recent block spike supports the OVER, though volatility keeps confidence limited.

stocksOVER 1.569%MEDIUM

His season stocks average is 2.0 and last 5 is 2.2, both above 1.5. This is one of his steadiest production areas, and the last 10 at 2.4 reinforces the OVER lean.

praUNDER 30.576%HIGH

Using season averages, his PRA profile projects to 26.8, which is below 30.5. Combo props carry more variance, so the UNDER is the more disciplined side here.

timelineUNDER 20.5 PTS