C
Dorian Finney-Smith—
HOU · C
PPG
3.2
RPG
2.7
APG
1.0
L5 PPG
4.4
Last 10 GamesPTS
Season vs Last 5
Season Last 5
PPG+1.2
3.2
4.4
RPG-0.1
2.7
2.6
APG+1.2
1.0
2.2
SPG+0.3
0.5
0.8
BPG+0.2
0.2
0.4
UNDER 3.5 PTS
Last 10 games
1
Current Streak
1
Longest Streak
UNDER
Streak Type
3.5
3
UTA
2026-02-23
2026-02-23 vs UTA: 3 pts
3
ORL
2026-02-26
2026-02-26 vs ORL: 3 pts
0
MIA
2026-02-28
2026-02-28 vs MIA: 0 pts
5
WAS
2026-03-02
2026-03-02 vs WAS: 5 pts
5
POR
2026-03-06
2026-03-06 vs POR: 5 pts
8
SAS
2026-03-08
2026-03-08 vs SAS: 8 pts
3
TOR
2026-03-10
2026-03-10 vs TOR: 3 pts
0
NOP
2026-03-13
2026-03-13 vs NOP: 0 pts
8
LAL
2026-03-16
2026-03-16 vs LAL: 8 pts
3
LAL
2026-03-18
2026-03-18 vs LAL: 3 pts
Over 3.5
Under 3.5
Last 10 games
Prop Confidence
PTS
UNDER 3.5
78%
REB
OVER 2.5
56%
AST
UNDER 1
67%
3PM
OVER 0.5
60%
STL+BLK
OVER 0.5
58%
Home vs Away
Home
Away
PPG
2.8
4.1
RPG
2.5
2.6
APG
1.5
0.9
vs ATL (H2H)13 games
PPG
10.3
RPG
6.3
APG
1.8
Defensive Matchup Profile
Top Defenders This Season
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Wembanyama | 3 | 7 | 40% | +7.5% | medium |
| Jerami Grant | 1 | 4 | 88% | +42.5% | low |
| LeBron James | 3 | 4 | 63% | +17.5% | medium |
| Kon Knueppel | 2 | 4 | 150% |
Low-usage profile points to an UNDER lean despite modest recent minutes bump
Dorian Finney-Smith is averaging just 3.2 PPG, 2.7 RPG, and 1.0 APG on the season, with his recent stretch only nudging up to 3.8 points and 20.3 minutes per game. His last 5 shows some activity in peripherals, but the scoring baseline remains very low and his season shooting has been poor at 31.9% FG and 26.7% from three. The matchup data is mixed: Houston’s opponent profile shows a 116.61 defensive rating and 100 pace, while Finney-Smith’s historical success versus this opponent is based on much heavier minutes than he’s getting now. Given the low volume and moderate variance, unders are the safer angle.
Stat Trends
PPG
4.4(↑ from 3.2)
RPG
2.6(→ from 2.7)
APG
2.2(↑ from 1.0)
Key Matchup
The opponent profile shows a 116.61 defensive rating and a 100 pace, which does not suggest an especially slow, low-event environment. He also has 13 games of historical success versus this opponent at 10.3 PPG and 6.3 RPG, but that came with 31.7 MPG, far above his current workload.
Prop Analysis
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dorian Finney-Smith▼ | Points | 3.5 | UNDER | 78%HIGH | 1/2 | 60% |
Dorian Finney-Smith▼ | Rebounds | 2.5 | OVER | 56%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 50% |
Dorian Finney-Smith▼ | Assists | 1 | UNDER | 67%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 50% |
Dorian Finney-Smith▼ | 3PM | 0.5 | OVER | 60%MEDIUM | — | 80% |
Dorian Finney-Smith▼ | STL+BLK | 0.5 | OVER | 58%MEDIUM | — | 60% |
ML Scout Analysis
P+R6.5UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 2x7/1741%▼
P+A5UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 2x5/1729%▼
R+A4UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 2x8/1747%▼
Featured Pick
Dorian Finney-Smith
Points UNDER 3.5HIGH
His season scoring average is only 3.2 points, and the recent 4.4 PPG is not enough to override the full-season baseline. With inefficient shooting and a rotation-level role, the under is the most stable angle.
This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.