AI Model:

Jock Landale▲

ATL · C

PPG

10.7

RPG

5.8

APG

1.6

L5 PPG

5.4

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-5.3

10.7

5.4

RPG-3.2

5.8

2.6

APG+0.2

1.6

1.8

SPG-0.5

0.5

0.0

BPG-0.3

0.5

0.2

OVER 6.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

6.5

WAS

2026-02-24

2026-02-24 vs WAS: 6 pts

WAS

2026-02-26

2026-02-26 vs WAS: 9 pts

POR

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs POR: 14 pts

MIL

2026-03-04

2026-03-04 vs MIL: 8 pts

PHI

2026-03-07

2026-03-07 vs PHI: 7 pts

DAL

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs DAL: 0 pts

BKN

2026-03-12

2026-03-12 vs BKN: 4 pts

MIL

2026-03-14

2026-03-14 vs MIL: 10 pts

ORL

2026-03-16

2026-03-16 vs ORL: 8 pts

DAL

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs DAL: 5 pts

Over 6.5

Under 6.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

OVER 6.5DRAFTKINGS

66%

REB

OVER 3.5DRAFTKINGS

58%

AST

OVER 1.5STAKE

54%

3PM

OVER 0.5DRAFTKINGS

53%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

8.6

9.3

RPG

4.4

4.3

APG

1.5

1.7

vs HOU (H2H)7 games

PPG

6.1

RPG

3.4

APG

0.4

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Rudy Gobert	4	20	71%	+19.9%	medium
Derik Queen	4	19	57%	+5.6%	medium
Maxime Raynaud	3	13	63%	+11.0%	medium
Jalen Duren	2	11	63%

Landale’s minutes trend points to a cautious scoring outlook

Jock Landale’s season line is solid at 10.7 PPG, 5.8 RPG, and 1.6 APG, but the recent production has cooled sharply with just 5.4 PPG and 2.6 RPG over the last 5. His last 10 and last 20 samples still show a downshift from season levels, and his minutes have fallen from 22.1 season MPG to 16.7 over the last 10. Against this opponent, he has also underwhelmed historically with 6.1 PPG, 3.4 RPG, and 0.4 APG in 7 games, which keeps the ceiling in check. The most attractive angle is the value-adjusted points market where the low line is far below his season mean, but the recent role and head-to-head trend still make this a conservative profile overall.

Stat Trends

PPG

5.4(↓ from 10.7)

RPG

2.6(↓ from 5.8)

APG

1.8(→ from 1.6)

3PM

0.4(↓ from 1.1)

Key Matchup

He has 7 games of history against this opponent and is averaging just 6.1 PPG and 3.4 RPG in those meetings. Houston’s defense profile shows a 109.7 defensive rating and a 100 pace, with no specific defender matchup data to project beyond the listed key defenders.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Jock Landale▼	Points	6.5	OVER	66%MEDIUM	1/2	60%	6	✗
Jock Landale▼	Rebounds	3.5	OVER	58%MEDIUM	1/2	20%	1	✗
Jock Landale▼	Assists	1.5	OVER	54%MEDIUM	2/2	40%	3	✓
Jock Landale▼	3PM	0.5	OVER	53%MEDIUM	1/2	50%	0	✗

ML Scout Analysis

P+R12UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (10/20)7/2035%▼

P+A10UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (10/20)8/2040%▼

R+A5.5OVER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (8/20)10/2050%▼

Featured Pick

Jock Landale

Points OVER 6.5MEDIUM

This is the clearest value on the board because the line sits well below his 10.7 season scoring average and his low-line market data shows a 12.8% edge. The caution is that his last 5 games and recent minutes are both down, so it’s playable but not a slam dunk.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Alperen Sengun	2	8	9	44%	44%
Clint Capela	2	5	4	100%	100%
Kevin Durant	2	1	0	0%	0%
Amen Thompson	2	1	4	50%	50%
Josh Okogie	2	1	0	0%	0%

pointsOVER 6.566%MEDIUM

His season mean is 10.7 PPG and his recent 10-game adjusted scoring still supports more than 6.5 despite the slump. Value data shows a 12.8% edge on the OVER at this line, but the last-5 drop to 5.4 PPG keeps confidence from getting too high.

reboundsOVER 3.558%MEDIUM

He averages 5.8 RPG for the season and 4.3 RPG over the last 20, which clears 3.5 comfortably. The recent 2.6 RPG last 5 is a warning sign, so this is more of a moderate-confidence lean than a strong play.

assistsOVER 1.554%MEDIUM

Season average is 1.6 APG, and his last 5 is 1.8 APG, so the number is right around his baseline. The problem is variance, with a 1.27 season standard deviation and only 16.7 recent MPG.

threesOVER 0.553%MEDIUM

He averages 1.1 made threes per game on the season and 1.0 over the last 20, which supports at least one make. Recent form is softer at 0.4 over the last 5, so this is only a slight lean.

timelineOVER 6.5 PTS