AI Model:

Onyeka Okongwu▼

ATL · C

PPG

15.8

RPG

7.8

APG

3.2

L5 PPG

12.4

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-3.4

15.8

12.4

RPG-0.2

7.8

7.6

APG-0.4

3.2

2.8

SPG-0.3

1.1

0.8

BPG+0.7

1.1

1.8

OVER 13.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

13.5

WAS

2026-02-24

2026-02-24 vs WAS: 10 pts

WAS

2026-02-26

2026-02-26 vs WAS: 10 pts

POR

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs POR: 25 pts

MIL

2026-03-04

2026-03-04 vs MIL: 21 pts

PHI

2026-03-07

2026-03-07 vs PHI: 10 pts

DAL

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs DAL: 18 pts

BKN

2026-03-12

2026-03-12 vs BKN: 13 pts

MIL

2026-03-14

2026-03-14 vs MIL: 4 pts

ORL

2026-03-16

2026-03-16 vs ORL: 15 pts

DAL

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs DAL: 12 pts

Over 13.5

Under 13.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

OVER 13.5DRAFTKINGS

54%

REB

OVER 6.5FANDUEL

71%

AST

OVER 2.5DRAFTKINGS

56%

3PM

OVER 1.5DRAFTKINGS

57%

STL+BLK

OVER 1.5

55%

P+A

OVER 16.5DRAFTKINGS

52%

P+R

OVER 20.5DRAFTKINGS

57%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

14.8

15.4

RPG

7.8

7.1

APG

3.4

2.0

vs HOU (H2H)8 games

PPG

12.1

RPG

10.4

APG

1.6

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Jalen Duren	4	25	65%	+17.1%	medium
Nikola Vučević	3	19	71%	+18.8%	medium
Moussa Diabaté	3	19	75%	+27.1%	medium
Karl-Anthony Towns	2	18	93%

Okongwu’s rebounding market looks strongest, while scoring is more volatile

Onyeka Okongwu is averaging 15.8 PPG, 7.8 RPG, and 3.2 APG on the season, but his recent scoring has cooled to 12.4 PPG over the last 5 and 13.8 over the last 10. His rebound profile is steadier, with 8.3 RPG over the last 10 and 8.09 RPG in home games, which lines up better with his current role than his scoring spike. The matchup data is mixed: he has averaged 12.125 PPG and 10.375 RPG in 8 games vs this opponent, while the opponent defense profile shows a 109.7 defensive rating and 100 pace. Given the season-vs-recent split and the lower-volatility rebound profile, the best betting angle is the boards market rather than points or a high-variance combo.

Stat Trends

PPG

12.4(↓ from 15.8)

RPG

7.6(→ from 7.8)

APG

2.8(↓ from 3.2)

Key Matchup

No specific defender matchup data is available beyond the listed names and their minutes/pts_allowed/fg_pct, so there is no specific defender matchup data to confidently isolate. The broader opponent profile shows a 109.7 defensive rating and 100 pace, with the head-to-head sample favoring rebounds more than scoring.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Onyeka Okongwu▼	Points	13.5	OVER	54%MEDIUM	1/2	40%	6	✗
Onyeka Okongwu▼	Rebounds	6.5	OVER	71%HIGH	1/2	80%	8	✓
Onyeka Okongwu▼	Assists	2.5	OVER	56%MEDIUM	1/2	70%	3	✓
Onyeka Okongwu▼	3PM	1.5	OVER	57%MEDIUM	1/2	60%	1	✗
Onyeka Okongwu▼	STL+BLK	1.5	OVER	55%MEDIUM	—	60%	3	✓
Onyeka Okongwu▼	P+A	16.5	OVER	52%MEDIUM	1/2	50%	9	✗
Onyeka Okongwu▼	P+R	20.5	OVER	57%MEDIUM	1/2	70%	14	✗

ML Scout Analysis

P+R21UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (10/20)9/2045%▼

P+A16UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (10/20)9/2045%▼

R+A11UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 3x6/2030%▼

Featured Pick

Onyeka Okongwu

Rebounds OVER 6.5HIGH

This is the cleanest market relative to his season mean of 7.81 RPG and last-10 mark of 8.3 RPG. The line is lower than both, his home rebound average is 8.09, and his 8-game average vs this opponent is 10.375 RPG, making it the strongest side in the profile.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Alperen Sengun	1	6	7	75%	75%
Kevin Durant	1	1	5	50%	63%
Tari Eason	1	1	0	0%	0%
Amen Thompson	1	1	0	0%	0%
Reed Sheppard	1	1	3	50%	75%

pointsOVER 13.554%MEDIUM

His season mean is 15.76 PPG and the market line is 13.5, but the recent form is softer at 12.4 PPG over the last 5 and 13.8 over the last 10. That creates only modest edge because the current trend is down and the season mean should be weighted more heavily than the short-term dip.

reboundsOVER 6.571%HIGH

He averages 7.81 RPG on the season and 8.3 RPG over the last 10, with 8.09 RPG in home games and 10.375 RPG in 8 games vs this opponent. The line sits at 6.5, which is below both season and recent production, and the value data shows a +EV over on this number.

assistsOVER 2.556%MEDIUM

His season assist mean is 3.24 and his last-10 mark is 3.6, so 2.5 is a relatively low bar. Still, the standard deviation of 1.78 means some volatility, so this is a playable over but not a top-confidence spot.

threesOVER 1.557%MEDIUM

He averages 2.03 made threes per game on the season and 2.0 over the last 5, with 2.2 in home games. The line of 1.5 is modest, but his 1.77 standard deviation keeps this from being a high-confidence play.

stocksOVER 1.555%MEDIUM

His season stocks average is 2.21 and he is at 2.7 over the last 10, so the combo baseline is comfortably above 1.5. The market data shown is more useful for individual steals and blocks, but the combined production supports an over lean.

paOVER 16.552%MEDIUM

His season points-plus-assists mean is 18.24 when combining 15.76 PPG and 3.24 APG, but combo props carry extra variance. With his recent scoring down, this is only a thin over and should be treated cautiously.

prOVER 20.557%MEDIUM

He averages 23.57 points plus rebounds on the season and 21.1 over the last 10 points/rebounds window from the provided data. That clears the line, but combo variance and the recent scoring dip keep confidence moderate.

timelineOVER 13.5 PTS