Last 10 games
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Dončić | 3 | 14 | 46% | -2.6% | medium |
| Karl-Anthony Towns | 2 | 9 | 57% | +16.0% | low |
| Kawhi Leonard | 2 | 9 | 50% | +5.1% | low |
| Cooper Flagg | 3 | 8 | 17% |
Tari Eason is averaging 10.5 points, 6.3 rebounds, and 1.2 steals this season across 26.5 MPG, but his recent scoring has cooled to 7.0 PPG over the last 5 and last 10. The matchup environment is not especially inviting for points, with the opponent defense listed at a 116.61 defensive rating and 0.285 scoring suppression, while his own head-to-head sample versus this opponent is just 8.0 PPG in 19.7 MPG. His rebound role remains the steadiest path to value, especially with 6.7 RPG over the last 10 and 6.8 RPG over the last 5.
No specific defender matchup data should be used here beyond the provided key defenders, and the opponent context shows a 116.61 defensive rating with 0.285 scoring suppression. His prior games versus this opponent were 8.0 PPG and 9.33 RPG in 19.7 MPG, which points to weaker scoring and decent rebounding output.
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tari Eason▼ | Points | 10.5 | UNDER | 78%HIGH | 2/2 | 100% | 10 | ✓ |
Tari Eason▼ | Rebounds | 6.5 | OVER | 69%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 40% | 10 | ✓ |
Tari Eason▼ | Assists | 1.5 | OVER | 54%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 60% | 2 | ✓ |
Tari Eason▼ | 3PM | 1.5 | UNDER | 74%HIGH | — | 90% | 1 | ✓ |
Tari Eason▼ | Steals | 1.5 | UNDER | 67%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 70% | 1 | ✓ |
Tari Eason▼ | Blocks | 0.5 | OVER | 58%MEDIUM | — | 30% | 1 | ✓ |
Tari Eason▼ | STL+BLK | 1.5 | OVER | 61%MEDIUM | — | 40% | 2 | ✓ |
Tari Eason▼ | P+R | 16.5 | UNDER | 71%HIGH | 2/2 | 90% | 20 | ✗ |
Tari Eason▼ | R+A | 7.5 | OVER | 66%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 60% | 12 | ✓ |
This is the cleanest blend of role, recent form, and value. He is at 6.3 RPG on the season, 6.7 over the last 10, and the value data shows a positive edge on the over at this line, while his scoring props have cooled too much to trust as much.
| medium |
| Shaedon Sharpe | 3 | 8 | 77% | +22.5% | medium |
| Defender | Games | Min | PTS | FG% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0% | 0% |
| Jalen Johnson | 1 | 2 | 2 | 33% | 33% |
| Zaccharie Risacher | 1 | 1 | 3 | 100% | 150% |
| Dyson Daniels | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Jock Landale | 1 | 1 | 2 | 100% | 100% |
His season mean is 10.49 points, but the last 5 and last 10 are both 7.0, and the value data shows UNDER as the best side at 9.5 with positive edge. With recent production below the line and no strong scoring spike in the logs, the under is the safer read.
He averages 6.3 rebounds on the season and 6.7 over the last 10, with 6.8 over the last 5, so the recent board work is slightly stronger than the season baseline. The value data also shows a positive edge on the over at 6.5.
He is at 1.6 assists per game on the season and 1.8 over the last 10, which sits just above the listed line. The profile is still volatile with a 1.42 season standard deviation, so this is only a modest lean.
His season mean is 1.62 made threes, but the last 5 has fallen to 0.0 and the last 10 is only 0.3, a clear recent downturn. The recent shooting trend is well below the season rate, making the under the stronger side.
He averages 1.2 steals on the season, which is below 1.5, even though the last 5 is 1.4. With the season baseline still short of the line and a high-variance steal market, the under is preferred.
He averages 0.5 blocks on the season and 0.4 over the last 10, so this sits right on the threshold. The line is low enough that a single block clears it, but confidence stays moderate because the sample is thin.
He averages 1.76 stocks on the season and 1.6 over the last 5 and last 10, both above 1.5. This is one of the cleaner volume-based combo reads for him, though steals/blocks still add variance.
His season points plus rebounds profile is 16.8 on average, but the recent scoring dip to 7.0 PPG makes clearing 16.5 harder. Since combo props add variance and his recent offense is muted, the under is the better angle.
He averages 6.3 rebounds and 1.6 assists for a 7.9 season R+A, and the last 10 rebounds-plus-assists trend is also strong at 8.5. This is a more stable combo than PRA because it leans on his rebound production.