AI Model:

Cam Spencer▲

MEM · PG

PPG

11.4

RPG

2.6

APG

5.4

L5 PPG

11.4

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG0.0

11.4

RPG-1.2

2.6

1.4

APG-0.8

5.4

4.6

SPG-0.1

0.7

0.6

BPG+0.2

0.2

0.4

OVER 9.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

9.5

DAL

2026-02-27

2026-02-27 vs DAL: 25 pts

IND

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs IND: 10 pts

MIN

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs MIN: 10 pts

POR

2026-03-04

2026-03-04 vs POR: 12 pts

LAC

2026-03-07

2026-03-07 vs LAC: 12 pts

BKN

2026-03-09

2026-03-09 vs BKN: 6 pts

PHI

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs PHI: 12 pts

DET

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs DET: 19 pts

CHI

2026-03-16

2026-03-16 vs CHI: 12 pts

DEN

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs DEN: 8 pts

Over 9.5

Under 9.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

OVER 9.5DRAFTKINGS

58%

REB

UNDER 2.5STAKE

63%

AST

OVER 4.5DRAFTKINGS

56%

3PM

OVER 1.5DRAFTKINGS

69%

STL

OVER 0.5

54%

STL+BLK

OVER 1

52%

OVER 1

57%

P+R

OVER 13.5DRAFTKINGS

55%

P+A

OVER 13.5DRAFTKINGS

60%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

9.4

11.3

RPG

3.1

2.0

APG

4.5

5.2

vs BOS (H2H)2 games

PPG

2.5

RPG

1.0

APG

1.5

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Herbert Jones	3	12	50%	+2.7%	medium
Bruce Brown	3	11	0%	-47.3%	medium
Julian Champagnie	4	10	63%	+2.7%	medium
Kris Dunn	4	10	33%

Cam Spencer’s role supports scoring, but assist volume looks capped

Cam Spencer is trending slightly up, with his last-10 scoring at 12.6 PPG versus a 11.4 season mark, while his minutes have held steady at 23.2. The more important split is that his assists have cooled recently to 4.5 over the last 10 and his season assist mean is 5.42, but tonight’s context is mixed because the Grizzlies are at home on a back-to-back. Against Boston, his prior head-to-head sample is very small and weak, with just 2.5 PPG and 1.5 APG across 2 games and 15 MPG, so the matchup history does not point to a ceiling game. The opponent also shows a 106.96 defensive rating and -1.919 scoring suppression, which nudges the projection slightly lower than his recent scoring form.

Stat Trends

PPG

11.4(→ from 11.4)

APG

4.6(↓ from 5.4)

RPG

1.4(↓ from 2.6)

3PM

1.8(↓ from 2.1)

Key Matchup

Boston’s opponent profile shows a 106.96 defensive rating with -1.919 scoring suppression and -0.107 three suppression. There is no specific defender matchup data, so the projection leans on team-level context and his weak 2-game history versus this opponent.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Cam Spencer▼	Points	9.5	OVER	58%MEDIUM	1/2	80%	11	✓
Cam Spencer▼	Rebounds	2.5	UNDER	63%MEDIUM	2/2	70%	3	✗
Cam Spencer▼	Assists	4.5	OVER	56%MEDIUM	1/2	40%	5	✓
Cam Spencer▼	3PM	1.5	OVER	69%MEDIUM	1/2	80%	3	✓
Cam Spencer▼	Steals	0.5	OVER	54%MEDIUM	—	60%	1	✓
Cam Spencer▼	STL+BLK	1	OVER	52%MEDIUM	—	30%	1	✗
Cam Spencer▼	Turnovers	1	OVER	57%MEDIUM	—	10%	0	✗
Cam Spencer▼	P+R	13.5	OVER	55%MEDIUM	1/2	40%	14	✓
Cam Spencer▼	P+A	13.5	OVER	60%MEDIUM	1/2	90%	16	✓

ML Scout Analysis

R+A7.5UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (10/20)OVER 5x9/2045%▼

P+A15OVER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (10/20)OVER 4x10/2050%▼

P+R12OVER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 2x10/2050%▼

Featured Pick

Cam Spencer

Threes OVER 1.5HIGH

This is the cleanest prop because his season average is 2.05 threes, with 2.0 over the last 5 and 2.0 over the last 10. The line of 1.5 is below his normal output, giving the best combination of role stability and recent form.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Baylor Scheierman	2	4	0	0%	0%
Payton Pritchard	2	3	5	67%	83%
Sam Hauser	2	3	0	0%	0%
Jaylen Brown	2	3	8	67%	67%
Derrick White	2	2	0	0%	0%

pointsOVER 9.558%MEDIUM

He is averaging 11.4 PPG on the season and 12.6 over the last 10, both above 9.5. The recent production is solid, but this is still a modest edge rather than a strong one because his last-5 sits at 11.4 and the opponent history is poor.

reboundsUNDER 2.563%MEDIUM

His season rebounding mean is 2.6 and recent mean is 2.4, so 2.5 is right on the number. With last-5 rebounds at just 1.4 and only 2.0 RPG in away games, the under is the cleaner side.

assistsOVER 4.556%MEDIUM

Season assists are 5.4 and the last-10 average is 4.5, exactly around the line. Because his away mean is 5.2 and he has cleared this range often enough, the over is playable but not high confidence due to recent cooling.

threesOVER 1.569%MEDIUM

He averages 2.05 made threes per game on the season and 2.0 over the last 5, with 2.0 also over the last 10. A 1.5 line sits below his baseline volume, making the over the strongest category prop.

stealsOVER 0.554%MEDIUM

He averages 0.7 steals on the season and 0.7 over the last 10, which supports a modest over lean. The variance is still meaningful, so confidence stays limited.

stocksOVER 152%MEDIUM

His combined season stocks are 0.85, while recent form is 1.1 over the last 10 and 1.0 over the last 5. This is close to the market and the variance is high, so the play is only a slight over lean.

turnoversOVER 157%MEDIUM

He has 1.0 turnovers in the last 5 and 0.7 in the last 10, but his role as a 23.8 MPG rotation guard still creates some ball-handling exposure. This is only a small lean because the turnover profile is fairly controlled.

prOVER 13.555%MEDIUM

His season points plus rebounds is 14.0, and his recent form remains near that range. The line is close enough that the over is viable, but rebounds have trended down, limiting the edge.

paOVER 13.560%MEDIUM

He averages 16.8 points plus assists on the season and 17.2 over the last 10, both above 13.5. That said, assist volatility is noticeable, so this is more comfortable than PR but still not a premium play.

timelineOVER 9.5 PTS

Defensive Matchup Profile

Cam Spencer’s role supports scoring, but assist volume looks capped

Stat Trends

Key Matchup

Prop Analysis

ML Scout Analysis

Featured Pick

OVER 9.5 PTS