Last 10 games
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VJ Edgecombe | 4 | 17 | 40% | -6.2% | medium |
| Desmond Bane | 3 | 14 | 63% | +10.5% | medium |
| Tobias Harris | 4 | 14 | 61% | +17.6% | medium |
| Kelly Oubre Jr. | 4 | 12 | 31% |
Derrick White is averaging 17.4 PPG, 4.5 RPG, and 5.6 APG on the season across 34.2 MPG, with his last-10 scoring slightly higher at 18.7 PPG but the overall trend marked down. His recent game log shows volatile scoring outcomes, including 11, 21, 15, 34, and 6 points over the last five, which makes his points props tricky at elevated numbers. Against this opponent, he has averaged just 12.9 PPG, 3.4 RPG, and 4.6 APG in 13 games, and the opponent’s scoring suppression profile suggests a tougher environment. The strongest angle is to lean under inflated scoring/combined lines while respecting his steady assists baseline.
He has no specific defender matchup data provided. The opponent profile shows a 118.62 defensive rating, 100 pace, and 0.744 scoring suppression, which points to a more difficult scoring environment overall.
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Derrick White▼ | Points | 16.5 | OVER | 54%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 60% | 14 | ✗ |
Derrick White▼ | Rebounds | 4.5 | UNDER | 63%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 50% | 5 | ✗ |
Derrick White▼ | Assists | 5.5 | OVER | 55%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 40% | 3 | ✗ |
Derrick White▼ | 3PM | 2.5 | OVER | 51%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 70% | 2 | ✗ |
Derrick White▼ | Blocks | 1.5 | UNDER | 66%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 70% | 1 | ✓ |
Derrick White▼ | STL+BLK | 2.5 | UNDER | 58%MEDIUM | — | 60% | 3 | ✗ |
Derrick White▼ | PRA | 26.5 | UNDER | 57%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 40% | 22 | ✓ |
Derrick White▼ | P+A | 21.5 | UNDER | 60%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 40% | 17 | ✓ |
This is the cleanest edge because his season average is exactly 4.5 RPG, last-10 is 4.4, and the value data explicitly favors the under at 4.5. There is little statistical room for error, but the line is also not offering enough upside to justify an over.
| medium |
| CJ McCollum | 6 | 10 | 27% | -12.8% | medium |
| Defender | Games | Min | PTS | FG% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Wells | 2 | 8 | 6 | 50% | 50% |
| Vince Williams Jr. | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Tyler Burton | 1 | 2 | 6 | 67% | 100% |
| Walter Clayton Jr. | 1 | 1 | 2 | 100% | 100% |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
His season mean is 17.4 PPG and his last-10 is 18.7 PPG, both above 16.5. That said, the recent downtrend and opponent suppression keep this from being a strong play.
He averages exactly 4.5 RPG on the season and 4.4 RPG over the last-10, so there is no real cushion above this line. With the value data also favoring the under at 4.5, this is the cleaner side.
White’s season average is 5.6 APG, his last-10 is 5.4 APG, and his away mean rises to 6.28 APG. The edge is modest, but the data slightly supports an over on this number.
He averages 2.86 threes per game on the season and 3.0 over the last-10, which is above 2.5. The recent form supports it, but the margin is thin and the confidence should stay modest.
His season mean is 1.4 blocks and his last-5 is 0.8, so the under is favored at 1.5. The recent block rate has cooled from his broader season level.
He averages 2.61 stocks on the season, but his last-10 is 2.2 and last-5 is 1.8, showing a downward short-term trend. With variance still high, the under is the safer lean if this number appears near 2.5.
His season PRA profile is 27.5 using the provided season means, but the matchup history versus this opponent is only 12.9 PPG, 3.4 RPG, and 4.6 APG across 13 games. Combo props carry extra variance, so this is a cautious under lean.
His season points plus assists baseline is 23.0, but the opponent history is much lower at 17.5 combined points and assists per game. That gap makes the under appealing even with his solid season workload.