AI Model:
PF
Taylor Hendricks▲
MEM · PF
PPG
7.1
RPG
3.6
APG
0.9
L5 PPG
12.2
Last 10 GamesPTS
Season vs Last 5
Season Last 5
PPG+5.1
7.1
12.2
RPG+1.4
3.6
5.0
APG+0.1
0.9
1.0
SPG+1.5
0.7
2.2
BPG+1.1
0.5
1.6
UNDER 9.5 PTS
Last 10 games
2
Current Streak
2
Longest Streak
OVER
Streak Type
9.5
14
GSW
2026-02-25
2026-02-25 vs GSW: 14 pts
11
DAL
2026-02-27
2026-02-27 vs DAL: 11 pts
19
IND
2026-03-01
2026-03-01 vs IND: 19 pts
8
MIN
2026-03-03
2026-03-03 vs MIN: 8 pts
18
LAC
2026-03-07
2026-03-07 vs LAC: 18 pts
8
PHI
2026-03-10
2026-03-10 vs PHI: 8 pts
17
DAL
2026-03-12
2026-03-12 vs DAL: 17 pts
7
DET
2026-03-13
2026-03-13 vs DET: 7 pts
16
CHI
2026-03-16
2026-03-16 vs CHI: 16 pts
13
DEN
2026-03-18
2026-03-18 vs DEN: 13 pts
Over 9.5
Under 9.5
Last 10 games
Prop Confidence
PTS
UNDER 9.5DRAFTKINGS
71%
REB
UNDER 4.5DRAFTKINGS
67%
AST
UNDER 1
69%
3PM
UNDER 1.5DRAFTKINGS
66%
BLK
OVER 0.5BETMGM
63%
STL+BLK
OVER 1.5
64%
P+R
UNDER 14.5FANDUEL
62%
Home vs Away
Home
Away
PPG
11.2
9.1
RPG
4.8
3.9
APG
1.9
0.9
vs BOS (H2H)2 games
PPG
2.5
RPG
3.0
APG
1.5
Defensive Matchup Profile
Top Defenders This Season
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokić | 3 | 9 | 62% | +16.3% | medium |
| Miles Bridges | 3 | 7 | 100% | +21.5% | medium |
| Moussa Diabaté | 3 | 6 | 60% | +14.8% | medium |
| Jaylen Brown | 3 | 6 | 38% |
Hendricks’ recent usage spike keeps the overs live, but rebounds and threes remain shaky
Taylor Hendricks is trending up, with his last 5 jumping to 12.2 PPG, 5.0 RPG, and 24.8 MPG versus a season line of 7.1 PPG, 3.6 RPG, and 18.1 MPG. The recent production is real, but it is still a smaller sample and he has already shown some volatility, including a 7-point game and a 2-rebound game in his last five. This matchup also comes with a back-to-back for Memphis, while Boston’s opponent profile shows a 106.96 defensive rating and -1.919 scoring suppression, which nudges expectations down a bit. His strongest path is via all-around defensive stats, but the low season baselines make the full scoring and combo overs less attractive than they first appear.
Stat Trends
PPG
12.2(↑ from 7.1)
RPG
5.0(↑ from 3.6)
APG
1.0(→ from 0.9)
Stocks
3.8(↑ from 1.2)
Key Matchup
There is no specific defender matchup data for Taylor Hendricks beyond the listed key defenders, so no specific defender matchup data. The team context points slightly toward a tougher scoring environment, with Boston carrying a 106.96 defensive rating and -1.919 scoring suppression.
Prop Analysis
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Taylor Hendricks▼ | Points | 9.5 | UNDER | 71%HIGH | 30% | 12 | ✗ |
Taylor Hendricks▼ | Rebounds | 4.5 | UNDER | 67%MEDIUM | 40% | 5 | ✗ |
Taylor Hendricks▼ | Assists | 1 | UNDER | 69%MEDIUM | 40% | 2 | ✗ |
Taylor Hendricks▼ | 3PM | 1.5 | UNDER | 66%MEDIUM | 60% | 0 | ✓ |
Taylor Hendricks▼ | Blocks | 0.5 | OVER | 63%MEDIUM | 80% | 2 | ✓ |
Taylor Hendricks▼ | STL+BLK | 1.5 | OVER | 64%MEDIUM | 70% | 4 | ✓ |
Taylor Hendricks▼ | P+R | 14.5 | UNDER | 62%MEDIUM | 30% | 17 | ✗ |
points
ML Scout Analysis
R+A5.5UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 3x8/2040%▼
P+A12OVER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 6x10/2050%▼
P+R15UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 6x8/2040%▼
Featured Pick
Taylor Hendricks
Points Under 9.5HIGH
This is the cleanest value read because the season mean is 7.1 PPG and the value data repeatedly shows the under with a positive edge, including 13.8% at draftkings. His recent 12.2 PPG form is strong, but it is materially above his season baseline and more vulnerable to regression than the under line suggests.
This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.