AI Model:

Danny Wolf▼

BKN · SF

PPG

8.9

RPG

4.9

APG

2.3

L5 PPG

10.0

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+1.1

8.9

10.0

RPG+2.1

4.9

7.0

APG+0.1

2.3

2.4

SPG-0.3

0.5

0.2

BPG+0.4

0.6

1.0

UNDER 10.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

10.5

CLE

2026-03-01

2026-03-01 vs CLE: 23 pts

MIA

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs MIA: 11 pts

MIA

2026-03-05

2026-03-05 vs MIA: 0 pts

DET

2026-03-07

2026-03-07 vs DET: 8 pts

MEM

2026-03-09

2026-03-09 vs MEM: 14 pts

DET

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs DET: 13 pts

ATL

2026-03-12

2026-03-12 vs ATL: 8 pts

PHI

2026-03-14

2026-03-14 vs PHI: 15 pts

POR

2026-03-16

2026-03-16 vs POR: 8 pts

OKC

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs OKC: 6 pts

Over 10.5

Under 10.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 10.5FANDUEL

64%

REB

UNDER 5.5FANDUEL

70%

AST

OVER 2.5DRAFTKINGS

52%

3PM

UNDER 1.5FANDUEL

61%

BLK

OVER 0.5BETMGM

55%

STL+BLK

UNDER 1.5

58%

P+R

UNDER 16.5FANDUEL

66%

P+A

OVER 13.5FANDUEL

54%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

12.5

9.5

RPG

6.4

5.0

APG

2.7

3.1

vs NYK (H2H)1 games

PPG

3.0

RPG

2.0

APG

0.0

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Adem Bona	3	7	100%	+59.5%	medium
Matas Buzelis	4	7	25%	-15.5%	medium
Tobias Harris	3	6	0%	-40.5%	medium
Bilal Coulibaly	1	6	0%

Home split boost, but the market still leans under on Danny Wolf

Danny Wolf has been a modest producer all season at 8.9 points, 4.9 rebounds, and 2.3 assists in 21.0 minutes, with recent playing time rising to 23.8 minutes. His last 10 show a stronger scoring/rebounding stretch at 10.6 points and 6.4 rebounds, but the trend is listed down and his recent game logs include multiple low-output nights, including 6 points and 4 rebounds against OKC. This is a home game, and his home splits are better than away splits at 12.5 points vs 9.5 and 6.4 rebounds vs 5.0, but the opponent data and sportsbook pricing still suggest caution on overs. With no specific defender matchup data available, the projection is more stable on the under side for his main counting props.

Stat Trends

PPG

10.0(↑ from 8.9)

RPG

7.0(↑ from 4.9)

APG

2.4(→ from 2.3)

Key Matchup

Opponent defense data shows a 110.6 defensive rating, pace of 100, scoring suppression of -1.087, and three-point suppression of -0.042. There is no specific defender matchup data, so the main matchup note is that the environment does not strongly boost his scoring ceiling.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Danny Wolf▼	Points	10.5	UNDER	64%MEDIUM	2/2	50%	8	✓
Danny Wolf▼	Rebounds	5.5	UNDER	70%HIGH	2/2	50%	6	✗
Danny Wolf▼	Assists	2.5	OVER	52%MEDIUM	2/2	40%	2	✗
Danny Wolf▼	3PM	1.5	UNDER	61%MEDIUM	2/2	60%	2	✗
Danny Wolf▼	Blocks	0.5	OVER	55%MEDIUM	—	60%	0	✗
Danny Wolf▼	STL+BLK	1.5	UNDER	58%MEDIUM	—	50%	1	✓
Danny Wolf▼	P+R	16.5	UNDER	66%MEDIUM	1/2	60%	14	✓
Danny Wolf▼	P+A	13.5	OVER	54%MEDIUM	2/2	50%	10	✗

ML Scout Analysis

PRA18.5UNDER3%gbt_praDecent Leg (14/20)UNDER 4x10/2050%▼

PTS10UNDER17%gbt_pointsDecent Leg (13/20)UNDER 4x10/2050%▼

3PA4UNDER19%gbtDecent Leg (13/20)8/2040%▼

FTM1.5UNDER21%gbtDecent Leg (12/20)UNDER 2x10/2050%▼

FTA2.5UNDER9%gbtDecent Leg (12/20)UNDER 4x10/2050%▼

R+A8UNDER0%gbt_raDecent Leg (12/20)UNDER 3x8/2040%▼

P+R16UNDER0%gbt_prDecent Leg (12/20)UNDER 4x9/2045%▼

P+A13OVER0%gbt_paDecent Leg (12/20)UNDER 4x10/2050%▼

AST2OVER0%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 3x6/2030%▼

REB5OVER22%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (10/20)9/2045%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

3PM1.5OVER6%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (9/20)10/2050%▼

Featured Pick

Danny Wolf

Rebounds UNDER 6.5HIGH

The value data is strongest here, with the under showing a 17.4% edge and 30.89 EV per 100 at DraftKings, and the underlying season mean is only 4.9 rebounds. His recent rebound surge to 6.4 over the last 10 is above season level, but the market number is still higher than his true baseline, which makes the under the best blend of value and stability.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
OG Anunoby	2	4	4	67%	67%
Jalen Brunson	2	2	7	60%	60%
Karl-Anthony Towns	2	2	4	33%	33%
Mohamed Diawara	2	2	5	40%	50%
Landry Shamet	2	1	3	50%	75%

pointsUNDER 10.564%MEDIUM

Season mean is 8.9 points and the value data shows the under is positive EV at this line, with an adjusted mean of 9.4. His last 5 at 10.0 is only modestly above season form, and the recent logs include 6 and 8-point games.

reboundsUNDER 5.570%HIGH

Season mean is 4.9 rebounds and the value data shows strong under support at both 5.5 and 6.5. Even with a 6.4 last-10 and 7.0 last-5, the projection still sits closer to his season baseline than the inflated recent run.

assistsOVER 2.552%MEDIUM

His season mean is 2.3 assists and recent mean is 3.0, while the market line is only 2.5. This is a low-confidence lean because the edge is tiny and the season standard deviation is relatively high at 1.54.

threesUNDER 1.561%MEDIUM

He averages 1.18 made threes on the season and 1.2 over the last 10, which is below this 1.5 line. The under also shows positive value in the provided data, making this a safer look than the over.

blocksOVER 0.555%MEDIUM

He averages 0.6 blocks on the season and 0.8 over the last 10, so 0.5 is a reachable threshold. The recent form is supportive, but the sample is volatile enough to keep confidence moderate.

stocksUNDER 1.558%MEDIUM

His season stocks average is 1.11 and the last 10 is 1.2, both below 1.5. Because this is a combined stat with variance from both steals and blocks, the safer side is under.

prUNDER 16.566%MEDIUM

His season points plus rebounds combine to 13.8 using the provided season means, and even recent form is 16.4 from last-5 averages. The line is sitting above that seasonal baseline, so the under is the cleaner side.

paOVER 13.554%MEDIUM

Season points plus assists is 11.2, but recent form rises to 13.0 using last-10 averages. This is close to the number and the over is only a slight lean, so confidence stays modest.

timelineUNDER 10.5 PTS