Jalen Wilson▲

BKN · SF

PPG

5.4

RPG

1.6

APG

0.6

L5 PPG

8.0

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+2.6

5.4

8.0

RPG+1.0

1.6

2.6

APG+0.2

0.6

0.8

SPG-0.2

0.4

0.2

BPG0.0

0.0

UNDER 5.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

5.5

CLE

2026-02-19

2026-02-19 vs CLE: 3 pts

OKC

2026-02-20

2026-02-20 vs OKC: 5 pts

SAS

2026-02-26

2026-02-26 vs SAS: 9 pts

BOS

2026-02-27

2026-02-27 vs BOS: 0 pts

MIA

2026-03-03

2026-03-03 vs MIA: 0 pts

MIA

2026-03-05

2026-03-05 vs MIA: 0 pts

MEM

2026-03-09

2026-03-09 vs MEM: 6 pts

DET

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs DET: 14 pts

ATL

2026-03-12

2026-03-12 vs ATL: 5 pts

OKC

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs OKC: 15 pts

Over 5.5

Under 5.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 5.5

63%

REB

OVER 1.5

58%

AST

OVER 0.5

56%

3PM

OVER 1

57%

STL+BLK

UNDER 0.5

64%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

7.7

5.2

RPG

2.4

2.5

APG

1.0

0.6

vs NYK (H2H)10 games

PPG

6.3

RPG

3.4

APG

1.2

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Ronald Holland II	3	4	50%	+3.2%	medium
Amen Thompson	2	4	67%	+27.0%	low
Daniss Jenkins	3	4	50%	+10.3%	medium
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	2	3	25%

Wilson’s minutes trend up, but the scoring line stays fragile

Jalen Wilson is coming in with an upward short-term trend, as his last-5 scoring is 8.0 PPG versus a season mark of 5.4, and his minutes have risen to 17.2 from a 14.2-season average. That said, his production remains volatile: his season standard deviation is 4.29 points and his recent std is 5.22, which keeps confidence in any overs limited. The matchup data is mixed but not a clear boost, and his head-to-head average of 6.3 PPG in 10 games versus this opponent points more toward modest production than a breakout. With the Knicks on a back-to-back, there is some pace/minutes support, but Wilson’s role still looks rotation-based and capped.

Stat Trends

PPG

8.0(↑ from 5.4)

RPG

2.6(↑ from 1.6)

APG

0.8(↑ from 0.6)

3PM

1.4(↑ from 1.0)

Key Matchup

He has no specific defender matchup data beyond the listed key defenders, so there is no clear one-on-one edge to project. The opponent profile shows a 110.6 defensive rating with -1.087 scoring suppression and -0.042 three suppression, which does not materially improve Wilson’s outlook.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend
Jalen Wilson▼	Points	5.5	UNDER	63%MEDIUM	1/2	60%
Jalen Wilson▼	Rebounds	1.5	OVER	58%MEDIUM	1/2	60%
Jalen Wilson▼	Assists	0.5	OVER	56%MEDIUM	—	20%
Jalen Wilson▼	3PM	1	OVER	57%MEDIUM	2/2	30%
Jalen Wilson▼	STL+BLK	0.5	UNDER	64%MEDIUM	—	80%

ML Scout Analysis

PTS12.5UNDER20%gbt_pointsDecent Leg (14/20)4/1429%+20.9% edge▼

3PM1.5UNDER26%gbt_three_pmDecent Leg (14/20)5/1436%+22.6% edgePrediction flipped OVER to UNDER; Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM; Value edge shifted +0.522▼

FTM2UNDER29%gbtDecent Leg (12/20)5/1436%▼

FTA2.5OVER17%gbtDecent Leg (12/20)OVER 5x7/1450%▼

R+A5UNDER0%gbt_raDecent Leg (12/20)OVER 2x5/1436%▼

P+A10.5OVER0%gbt_paDecent Leg (12/20)OVER 5x7/1450%▼

REB4.5UNDER13%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (11/20)OVER 2x4/1429%+7.1% edge▼

AST1OVER28%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (11/20)OVER 3x5/1436%▼

3PA3UNDER19%gbtWeak Leg (11/20)OVER 2x5/1436%▼

P+R13OVER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (11/20)OVER 5x7/1450%▼

PRA15OVER17%gbt_praWeak Leg (10/20)OVER 5x6/1443%Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW▼

Featured Pick

Jalen Wilson

Points UNDER 5.5MEDIUM

His season scoring baseline is 5.4 PPG, and the recent 8.0 PPG run is elevated relative to that level. Given the volatility in his minutes and scoring, the under is the cleaner lean than chasing a short-term hot streak.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Miles McBride	3	3	0	0%	0%
Guerschon Yabusele	3	2	4	50%	75%
Josh Hart	2	2	6	100%	150%
Jordan Clarkson	3	2	3	100%	100%
Jalen Brunson	2	2	7	75%	88%

pointsUNDER 5.563%MEDIUM

His season mean is 5.4 PPG, and while the last-5 is 8.0, that recent bump is well above the season level and likely to regress. The recent game log shows inconsistent scoring with multiple low-output games, which supports the under on a modest line.

reboundsOVER 1.558%MEDIUM

He averages 1.6 rebounds on the season and 1.9 over the last 10, so a low rebound line is playable. The variance is manageable relative to the category and his minutes trend is slightly better recently.

assistsOVER 0.556%MEDIUM

Wilson’s season assist mean is 0.6, and he has been at 0.8 over the last 5 and 0.8 over the last 20. The line is low enough that one assist clears it, but the role still keeps confidence moderate.

threesOVER 157%MEDIUM

He averages 1.04 threes per game on the season and 1.2 over the last 5, so a 1.0 line is within reach. His volume from deep has been steady enough to support an over lean, though not strongly.

stocksUNDER 0.564%MEDIUM

His combined stocks average is only 0.42 on the season and 0.3 over the last 10, so he has not shown consistent defensive event production. That keeps the over unlikely unless he spikes well above baseline.

timelineUNDER 5.5 PTS